Opinions
Bruce Campbell (1)
HBP NYMEX Oil Bull+ ETF
HOU-T
DON'T BUY
Dec 23, 2008
A double ETF, which is risky because you can get 10% swings in a day. Oil overshot on the downside. The longer it stays down here, the higher it goes eventually. Expecting it to go higher in the back half of 2009.
$2.100
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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DON'T BUY
Levered at 2x, hedged to the CAD, holds futures contracts but not shares of oil producers.
If you want to speculate on oil, is this a good vehicle? Very, very risky.
One good thing about being in the stock market is that if you don't get it right, right away, over the long term you tend to get bailed out. Products like this have serious tracking errors. You have to be very careful. Only for very short term. He wouldn't use it. The oil price is manipulated.
Lots of oil stocks are pretty cheap, pay nice dividends, have good shareholder returns. That's what he'd do. It's more boring, but less risky.
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