Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Copa Holdings CPA-N TOP PICK Mar 13, 2025

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

We reiterate this Panama based airline for Latin America as a TOP PICK.  Recent data shows the airline utilization rates along with revenue per passenger mile continued to grow last mont.  We like that cash reserves are growing, shares trade at 5x earnings, under 2x book and supports a ROE of 27%.  The robust yield is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $86, looking to achieve $118 — upside potential of 28%.  Yield 7.0%

(Analysts’ price target is $149.60)
$92.000

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Transportation & Environmental Services
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TOP PICK

A play on raising income levels in emerging and frontier markets. 2nd largest airline in Colombia. One stop travel to anywhere in Latin America. Reasonable dividend.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 13/13. Down 13.45%.) Panamanian airline, the largest in Latin America. Very well run. Growth has been slower because of the Venezuelan situation. Still likes.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

CPA operates over 100 aircraft serving South America.  Pent up air travel demand is leading to an ROE of 35%, while the shares trade at 6x earnings and under 2x book value.  The good dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $78, looking to achieve $117 -- upside potential of 28%.  Yield 5.4%

(Analysts’ price target is $148.46)
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this Panama City based airline, operating 110 aircraft on 375 daily flights as a TOP PICK.  We like that quarterly cash reserves are growing once again and air flight demand is growing.  It trades at 6x earnings, under 2x book and supports a 35% ROE.  The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow.  We recommend maintaining the stop at $78, looking to achieve $120 -- upside potential of 28%.  Yield 5.4%

(Analysts’ price target is $148.46)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this Latin American airline as a TOP PICK.  Analysts see demand for air travel continuing to rise, while fuel prices dropped by over 10% on average last quarter -- this should be bullish for their upcoming earnings.  We like that cash reserves are growing as the stock trades at 6x earnings, under 2x book and supports a 35% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $78) to $86 looking to achieve $125 -- upside potential of 28%.  The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 35% of cash flow.  Yield 4.8%  

(Analysts’ price target is $148.54)
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TOP PICK

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger and cargo services. The company offers approximately 204 daily scheduled flights to 69 destinations in 29 countries in North, Central, and South America, as well as the Caribbean from its Panama City hub. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 91 aircraft comprising 77 Boeing 737-Next Generation aircraft and 14 Boeing 737 MAX 9 aircraft. Copa Holdings, S.A. was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama. Social media mentions are up 167% in the past 24h.

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 13/25, Down 6.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CPA has triggered its stop at $86.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 8%, when combined with our previous guidance.