Stockchase Opinions

Norman Levine Comerica Inc CMA-N HOLD Jul 04, 2018

This is a regional US bank. The space has been on the bubble with concerns of rate increases on 10 year bonds breaking above 3%. He would continue to hold and sees a good future.

$90.440

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
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TOP PICK

This is a $70 billion regional bank. Next year, the CCAR limit will rise up to $200 billion, so this bank will not have to go through that very expensive process. Compliance costs for them are coming down if deregulation hits. This is a big beneficiary of lower tax rates. There is improved commercial lending going on in the US and they benefit from that. 90% of their loans our floating rate loans. Dividend yield of 1.4%. (Analysts' price target is $83.)

TOP PICK

Has branches primarily in Texas (rising oil prices) and California, two strong geographic regions. Regional banks are sensitive to rising interest rates. Loan origination is accelerating in the U.S. Expect dividend growth and return of capital to shareholders. Deregulation will help, too. (Analysts' price target: $103.04)

DON'T BUY

#4 loser in Q1, down 35%, all during March. It got killed in the regional bank crisis of March. Avoid.

BUY

He bought Comerica. Shares are down 30% this year, but recently it's breaking out. The regional banks are breaking out as a whole. The valuation is discounted at 7x PE 2024 and pays a 6.5% dividend yield. It's a larger regional in the healthy southern States and has less-than-average real estate exposure. Has healthy capital levels.

WEAK BUY
It was just kicked off the S&P

Not bad. It positioned poorly for the Fed rate hikes last year, but will be fine if rates decline later this year. A decent bank.

DON'T BUY

Trades at only 10x PE and pays a 5.4% dividend yield. It last reported a poor quarter.