Stock price when the opinion was issued
(Top Pick Jul 05/12, Up 77.18%) trimmed it and added back on the dips. We got a pull back in the spring due to currency flux. It is the third largest exporter in Brazil. 1.7 billions Poultry per year slaughtered. Owns the Brazilian market. They have potential for significant growth. The risk to the investment is currency risk, international competition, of which there is not a lot.
What worries him is that commodity companies in general tend to be highly cyclical. Things that will affect the sector is the grain trade that is starting to unwind in the US and will bring down input costs as well as issues around safety. Good company, but it’s not something that really excites him. You buy a commodity story when it is really weak and buy it on the recovery.
If he had to buy a company that was based in Brazil, it would be this. It is really well run and is in a great area, because it is in the food business. Brazil has competitive advantages in the food business with the currency down as much is it is. He is not in a rush to go back to this, but does have it on his watch list.
(A Top Pick Oct 22/13. Down 6.6%.) The biggest food exporter in Brazil and one of the largest globally. They do a lot of poultry and meat products. The operating side has been doing great. Cutting costs and getting some growth. He would be a Buyer rather than a Seller at this time.