BUY
Industrial focused REIT which he likes due to secular changes post-pandemic involving re-shoring and on-shoring - getting goods as close to the end user as possible. The portfolio is in the EU, US and Canada and is one of the best ways to play Europe. It has a wide discount to net asset value and a nice yield. It remains a buy for him.
HOLD
65% Walmart. It is retail, anchored primarily by Walmart. It comes with very low rent growth but an attractive distribution growth that is quite safe. He can find growth and value elsewhere, however.
WATCH
Focused on the US sunbelt. Office industrial. There is a nice discount. The catalyst could be in the next quarter where they announce a spinout of at least one of their sectors. The new entity could have a better cost of capital or have a better growth rate.
STRONG BUY
One of his top holdings. A great holding because it focuses on single family dwellings. They have a more affordable rent for those in the sunbelt. They have seen great rent growth (19%). They are fueled to double their portfolio over the next three years.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 29/20, Up 55%) It is a great blend of internal and external growth. It has a 15-20% loss-to-lease embedded in their portfolio. You will see market rent growth from here but they don't need it. It is easily worth more than $19 dollars based on cap rate.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 29/21, Up 52%) All of its business is in the US. It owns multi-family in Dallas, Austin, and Oklahoma City. They are affordable rents. It is one of the cheapest residential stocks. The price should be north of $20.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 29/20, Up 16%) It is controlled by a Canadian entity, Canadian Apartment REIT, but they won't be managing it next year. It is a bit of a tech hub.
DON'T BUY
They have a corridor of office space in downtown Toronto, more of a boutique style of building. It was hoped they would garner above-market rents and have started to roll this out to market, but the issue is that it is a more difficult market. We have not seen a lot of leasing yet. We have to believe there will be a net reduction in office space demand after the pandemic. He is not looking to invest in it right now.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Cold Storage in the US. A leader. An integral part of the food chain. He thinks this is a great business. They have had a lot of difficulty recently on the expense side. Many of the suppliers are running through the safety stock and not replenishing supplies. This is a very labour-intestive business. We are getting very close to the bottom and he thinks it is probably a good buying opportunity.
COMMENT
Focused on office across Canada. High Quality buildings in secondary locations. They operate at a higher distribution level. The issue is that they are paying out all of their cash flow. It is highly cap-x driven. There should be some cushion between AFFO and distribution.
BUY
PLD-N vs. EQIX-Q. PLD is the largest operator of industrial warehouse space globally. It is a fantastic company. It has benefitted so much from everyone going online and buying goods. EQIX-Q is focused on data center space. A great operator. The largest in its space. He prefers industrial space over data center space. The supply side is the big question and there is little supply of industrial space but there is lots of data center space. He prefers PLD-N.
DON'T BUY
PLD-N vs. EQIX-Q. PLD is the largest operator of industrial warehouse space globally. It is a fantastic company. It has benefitted so much from everyone going online and buying goods. EQIX-Q is focused on data center space. A great operator. The largest in its space. He prefers industrial space over data center space. The supply side is the big question and there is little supply of industrial space but there is lots of data center space. He prefers PLD-N.
BUY
US grocery anchored in the US. It is in a good spot. They recently did a good acquisition of complimentary stores. It is pretty safe in terms of distribution.
TOP PICK
He likes that over the past three years they did a great job of recycling capital. As a result there will be a lot of earnings growth in the company. It trades at a discount to market value. He sees it going north of $20. (Analysts’ price target is $21.55)
TOP PICK
A value name in the multi-family space for some time. Higher energy prices don't hurt a REIT with a lot of presence in Calgary and Edmonton. He is focused on demand and supply. What has plagued them is concessions, which are going away in Calgary. This puts it at worth north of $50. Shorts are going to have to cover. The set-up is pretty good. (Analysts’ price target is $53.92)