Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 15, 2017

(A Top Pick Dec 9/16. Up 3%.) This really hasn't come to fruition yet. He chose it for its discounted valuation. Trading at around 9X versus same restaurant peers that are trading around 15X that have growth. It has been impacted by minimum wage hikes. He is looking for 3% restaurant sales growth over 2018 from a rebound in Calgary and the strong Québec. A very good name to be owning.

Show full opinionHide full opinion

(A Top Pick Dec 9/16. Up 3%.) This really hasn't come to fruition yet. He chose it for its discounted valuation. Trading at around 9X versus same restaurant peers that are trading around 15X that have growth. It has been impacted by minimum wage hikes. He is looking for 3% restaurant sales growth over 2018 from a rebound in Calgary and the strong Québec. A very good name to be owning.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 15, 2017

(A Top Pick Dec 9/16. Up 11%.) Had thought the banks were a good deal because of a rebound in the economy in front of us. Also felt that this had the best mix at the time. They’re also trading at an attractive valuation. All these things are still there. Still a buy.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T)
December 15, 2017

(A Top Pick Dec 9/16. Up 11%.) Had thought the banks were a good deal because of a rebound in the economy in front of us. Also felt that this had the best mix at the time. They’re also trading at an attractive valuation. All these things are still there. Still a buy.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
December 15, 2017

He likes this for recovering steel prices, steady demand, and its position in Canada as the leading distributor. The yield looks very sustainable. Has a 76% payout ratio. Balance sheet looks really good for M&A, because they want to buy mom and pop shops and be a consolidator. On strengthening steel prices, he models them growing cash flows 25% from 2016 to 2018. However, on a PE basis, it’s a little more expensive than its peers, but on an EV to EBITDA basis, it is in line. He would look to buy this on a bit of a pullback. Pays a real nice dividend.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Russel Metals (RUS-T)
December 15, 2017

He likes this for recovering steel prices, steady demand, and its position in Canada as the leading distributor. The yield looks very sustainable. Has a 76% payout ratio. Balance sheet looks really good for M&A, because they want to buy mom and pop shops and be a consolidator. On strengthening steel prices, he models them growing cash flows 25% from 2016 to 2018. However, on a PE basis, it’s a little more expensive than its peers, but on an EV to EBITDA basis, it is in line. He would look to buy this on a bit of a pullback. Pays a real nice dividend.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 15, 2017

They've sold a lot of assets and repaid a lot of debt. They've got covenant amendments, so are still in operations. Sees the balance sheet turning the corner in 2019. The bad news is that the debt to cash flow is about 6 times. Very vulnerable if prices plummet. It is still very pricey on an EV 2 discounted cash flow. He would look at something else.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Pengrowth Energy (PGF-T)
December 15, 2017

They've sold a lot of assets and repaid a lot of debt. They've got covenant amendments, so are still in operations. Sees the balance sheet turning the corner in 2019. The bad news is that the debt to cash flow is about 6 times. Very vulnerable if prices plummet. It is still very pricey on an EV 2 discounted cash flow. He would look at something else.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
December 15, 2017

Not cheap, trading at around 18X 2018. Has a pretty high payout ratio around 86%, but sees that coming down. On Q3 their CAP X guidance was lower for the 1st time since 2010. They've laid most of their fibre and have done their footprint, so costs will be coming down. At the same time, there is a lot of strength in wireless and wireline. He models 15% per share growth 2016-2018. In 2020 this trades at a 15X reasonable multiple. He would buy at $46.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Telus Corp (T-T)
December 15, 2017

Not cheap, trading at around 18X 2018. Has a pretty high payout ratio around 86%, but sees that coming down. On Q3 their CAP X guidance was lower for the 1st time since 2010. They've laid most of their fibre and have done their footprint, so costs will be coming down. At the same time, there is a lot of strength in wireless and wireline. He models 15% per share growth 2016-2018. In 2020 this trades at a 15X reasonable multiple. He would buy at $46.

HOLD
HOLD
December 15, 2017

This stock never gets cheap. He expects them to grow their cash flow 6%-11% annually from contract inflation and margin expansion and development. They want to grow their dividend 5% annually. The only thing is, it is very expensive, trading at a 5.9% 2018 pre-cash yield.

Show full opinionHide full opinion

This stock never gets cheap. He expects them to grow their cash flow 6%-11% annually from contract inflation and margin expansion and development. They want to grow their dividend 5% annually. The only thing is, it is very expensive, trading at a 5.9% 2018 pre-cash yield.

COMMENT
COMMENT
December 15, 2017

Had a pretty good Q3 driven by their US operations and lower costs. Their developments are attracting well. Very solid dividend growth. Has a low Payout Ratio that supports the dividend growth. There are other projects outside their capital plan that can drive growth further. Not cheap anymore, trading at around 18.5X 2018, versus its peers at around 17X. It really doesn't have the best growth. He is only modelling 3% growth 2017-2019.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Fortis Inc. (FTS-T)
December 15, 2017

Had a pretty good Q3 driven by their US operations and lower costs. Their developments are attracting well. Very solid dividend growth. Has a low Payout Ratio that supports the dividend growth. There are other projects outside their capital plan that can drive growth further. Not cheap anymore, trading at around 18.5X 2018, versus its peers at around 17X. It really doesn't have the best growth. He is only modelling 3% growth 2017-2019.