This is a utility, so shouldn’t be volatile, but it is. Has 20 year contracts to the oil companies. Also, oil sands development is still growing. Their capital structure is fine. They got hit with the whole oil price situation. This has been oversold and overdone. Dividend yield of 7.3% is sustainable.
He owns this through convertible debentures, which is giving about a 7% yield and an option to participate in the upside of the underlying. Just released numbers last week which were quite good. This has always been a free cash flow business, and has always gushed out earnings. The biggest issue was the print media business which was decaying by 20%. 65% of all their revenue now comes from the digital side, which has an 8%-9% growth. He likes the company from a convertible debenture standpoint.
Just reported and beat on some metrics. This is the right time to own this company. It is focused out East where vacancy rates are dropping and there is stability. They seem to have executed on what they promised in the last several years. Thinks it is on the cheap side. Trading at about 11X price to AFFO. Yield of 5.6%.
They are diversified to the industrial side such as FedEx and low intense industries. The only issue is Alberta, but Ontario and BC have lower vacancy rates. Kind of a desirable asset class globally with mergers and acquisitions. Industrials tend to be really defensive on a recession basis. Has always shied away from this because of their management contracts.
The sector is rather strange because of a transforming acquisition by Ontario Teachers on Amica, which messed up all valuations on these retirement investments. Sold their US assets and are now totally located in Canada. The largest provider of seniors housing. Have done a good job of curtailing costs and have grown through acquisitions. They only pay out about 70% of their Net Operating Income. They are in a good spot to execute further, as well as a possible distribution increase. The sector is still somewhat expensive.
Canadian Banks have been the massive outperformers over the last 5 years. All banks have been saying that exposure to the oil/gas sector has been minimal, but they will be taking write-downs. Household debt is at an all-time high. There are a lot of negative headwinds coming. He prefers TD (TD-T) and Royal (RY-T). If you are going to be in this sector, he would want to be in the best and the most conservative with regards to the Canadian consumer. Has shaved down some of his banking positions in the last 6 weeks. In the long-term, you are not going to really get hurt, because they are good managers of their business.
There are things he likes and things he doesn’t. Has exposure to Alberta, but the properties are preleased for 10 years. One thing he doesn’t like is that it is all over the place. It is in the US. It has office and retail. Prefers the simple stories. One of the benefits is their US assets which is in US$. Good managers. Yield of 7%+.
Markets. The US has GDP growth of 2% and unemployment at sectorial lows with pay increases. He wouldn’t be surprised if he saw a short-term 3-9 months’ rally in Canada relative to the US. Feels markets will go up, but will be quite volatile.