COMMENT
Historically, midterm election year markets go higher in 3rd week of April and tend to move lower until end of September when they bottom. Then go higher for the next 12 months. Expected to be end of October this year because Bush tax cuts are coming off at yearend and a lot of people will want to claim capital gains. Market will be so oversold it will give a classic buying opportunity.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 3/10. Up about 10% as of May 9th when it was to be sold.) S&P/TSX equal weighted Oil & Gas ETF.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 3/10. Up about 14% as of early May when it was to be sold.) S&P/TSX Base Metals ETF.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 3/10. Up about 17% as of the end of May when it was to be sold.) Physical platinum.
TOP PICK
Market Vectors Jr Gold Miners ETF. About 58 middle to small cap gold producers. 65% are Canadian. Bullish on gold. He will buy it and hedge it based on the possibility of currency situation.
TOP PICK
He is over 80% cash right now because the uncertainty of the midterm election and market should bottom in October. The low for the 4th year cycle is coming in the 4th quarter of this year. Watch for the low and then get back into the market.
TOP PICK
Technology ETF. Buy in October at the low and sell it in the 2nd week of January when the Las Vegas Consumer Electronic show happens. This will be a great year for technology.
BUY
Just had a breakout this week and the stock has very positive momentum. Gold and gold stocks are just getting started into their seasonal strength, which runs from the 3rd week in July until the 3rd week in September.
BUY
Seasonal strength for agriculture stocks is from the end of June until the end of December. Technically it is getting very close to a resistance point and if it breaks through this stock will go significantly higher.
HOLD
Disconnection between the price of gold and this stock? Has under performed the sector, but even this stock is starting to go higher with seasonality.
COMMENT
Gold. IMF still has 150 tons of its original form and 50 tons of gold. They are under pressure to get rid of the last 150 and this is overhanging the market and keeping gold from going to an all-time high. If they were to blow out the last 150, look for gold to spike to all-time highs. He has a technical target of $1440 by year-end based on this scenario.
DON'T BUY
Seasonality for oil stocks basically starts 3rd week in November and goes higher right through to the 1st week in May. The real sweet spot is from the end of January to the 1st week in May. Technically, the chart on this one does not look good.
DON'T BUY
Basic materials stocks have seasonality from late October through until May. Technically, the stock is struggling and it probably will break its support level into the month of September.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Silver/silver stocks are generally tracking gold stocks and currently are outperforming them. Technically looks very good and you want to hold at least until end of September and he suspects right through until end of December.
HOLD
Pretty strong seasonality, usually from Oct 9 until Jan 17 when the technology sector picks up. Technically it is not looking very interesting at this time. This is going to be a good one.