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COMMENT

The Canadian market remains cheap compared to the US, and still offers excellent profit growth. Gold stocks have helped, but oil is weak. There's value in financials, railways and Loblaws and Dollarama. Diversified in Canada. The effect of tariffs haven't fully hit yet; consumers haven't felt it yet. US job growth and wage growth have been reasonable. Not yet, but for sure there will be an impact. Tariff policy in the US has been a yo-yo, but if there's too much of an impact on US consumers, he fully expects some tariff relief as we approach the US midterms 1 months from now. We can't invest based on what we think will happen with tariffs down the road, but rather look at the long-term value of companies. Things can change quickly. Corporate earnings have been strong and he expects this to continue. Also, we're seeing big capex from megetach on AI. Comapnies are re-shoring to the US. Tariffs have been a wake-up call to Canada, the EU, etc, and are now encouraging companies to invest domestically to improve productivity.

DON'T BUY

Their main drivers are Sony Playstation, Sony Music, and films. The Playstation has its ups and downs from competition. Music is well behind the #1 player. Films are also unpredictable. Sony should spin off its music publishing business and focus on the other two areas. Not a cheap stock. Earnings vary. 

WEAK BUY

Has a rock-solid dividend. Prefers TC Energy and many Enbridge, partly because of US policy and the changing view in Canada about building pipelines. PPL would benefit less so than these companies. 

DON'T BUY

Well-run, gaining market shares and buying companies. But the stock isn't cheap enough, and AI could hurt them.

DON'T BUY

It has done everything right the last few years. An excellent turnaround story. However, the stock is priced for perfection. Too expensive to enter. 

BUY

The genius running their insurance business remains--business as usual. No, there won't be another Buffett or Munger, but their successor is well-train and hope he was the right choice. Look at Apple: Tim Cook put his own stamp on the company. He remain comfortable owning BRK.

BUY

It's time to step back into telcos. Dividends are sustainable. He owns all 3 Canadian telcos. Share prices have bottomed, and he expects margin improvement. Costs have been slashed. Is partially optimistic, because shares have been so beaten down, and yet the industry isn't going anywhere. There will be some growth going forward. Is bullish on telcos. BCE's strategy in the US (buying a US company) will generate reasonable value. Telus is the faster grower and has made good moves outside telecoms to create value. Rogers is more of a question mark, including their sports holding, but is worth a ton of money (the value of sports teams is huge).

BUY

It's time to step back into telcos. Dividends are sustainable. He owns all 3 Canadian telcos. Share prices have bottomed, and he expects margin improvement. Costs have been slashed. Is partially optimistic, because shares have been so beaten down, and yet the industry isn't going anywhere. There will be some growth going forward. Is bullish on telcos. BCE's strategy in the US (buying a US company) will generate reasonable value. Telus is the faster grower and has made good moves outside telecoms to create value. Rogers is more of a question mark, including their sports holding, but is worth a ton of money (the value of sports teams is huge).

BUY

It's time to step back into telcos. Dividends are sustainable. He owns all 3 Canadian telcos. Share prices have bottomed, and he expects margin improvement. Costs have been slashed. Is partially optimistic, because shares have been so beaten down, and yet the industry isn't going anywhere. There will be some growth going forward. Is bullish on telcos. BCE's strategy in the US (buying a US company) will generate reasonable value. Telus is the faster grower and has made good moves outside telecoms to create value. Rogers is more of a question mark, including their sports holding, but is worth a ton of money (the value of sports teams is huge).

BUY

Extremely well-run and conservative. It has outperformed the S&P for decades. Is very bullish RY and Canadian banks. There's ongoing dividend and earnings growth. Is overcapitalized with lots of runway to deliver 8-10% earnings growth over time and therefore 10% annualized return for the next 5 years.

COMMENT
Investing in bonds

Don't buy long-duration bonds, not 30-year, but rather 1-5-years laddered.  Buy individual bonds in units of $10,000. Include provincial bonds for safety and some corporate ones. For lower amounts, buy a bond ETF.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 27/24, Up 18%)

Streaming turned profitable by end of 2024, finally, after a reorganization, and is now a major growth driver. Theme parks have been the largest profit generator and they keep coming out with new parks; people are paying high amounts to enjoy them. He expects healthy earnings to come. They will announce a deal between their ESPN and the NFL--sports drives huge profits. Everything is going right, but they need to appoint a successor to Bob Iger.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 27/24, Up 49%)

Historically, is a good allocator of capital (dividends, buybacks), but lacks growth. They partly returned to growth on the $30 billion purchase of Splunk to drive their cybersecurity business. In turn, this drives earnings and margins. Are a free cash flow machine.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 27/24, Down 22%)

They had disappointing earnings, because China has been weak and now have excess inventory. Nothing is going well, except they continue to generate free cash flow and buy back a whack of shares. When they get rid of that excess, the company should be well-positioned. 

PARTIAL SELL

How much of their forward PE is already baked into their price vs. the upside. If you hold a large position, take profits. When a commodity price is high, always take some profits. The long-term chart is choppy.

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