Stock price when the opinion was issued
MTD has a strong long-term performance track record and is now trading at 30x times' Forward P/E. In the 1Q, MTD’s revenue grew 3% to $929M (grew 7% on the constant currency), beating estimates of $921M and EPS was $8.69 beating estimates of $8.61. The guidance was quite weak, however, as management expects revenue growth to slow down to 3% on a constant currency basis for Q2 and around 5% for 2023. Overall, the company has executed really well, by consistently growing its top-line organically, while repurchasing shares aggressively over the years, creating shareholder value (shares compounded around 20% annualized in the last ten years). We think the current outlook is understandable due to the challenging macro headwinds. However, it is not cheap, and the guidance may temper gains this year. We think one can start buying slowly if it drifts lower over the next few months, in the low $1,300 range.
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Are the global leader in scales (i.e. trucks on highways). They enjoy a recurring revenue model. They buyback over $800 million of shares annually; bought back 25% of shares over 10 years. Pays no dividend. Since 2003, earnings are up 17x.
(Analysts’ price target is $1358.31)