Stockchase Insights Frontier Lithium FL-X BUY Jul 03, 2023

A smallcap that's done well for him as lithium prices have jumped, fuelled by the boom in e-cars that will continue for the coming decade. Like Australia, all the Canadian projects have been hard rock. Most lithium comes from South America, which is low cost vs. hard cost which costs more in production. Australia leads hard rock production while Canadian is trying to generate more such business. Board members and the CEO have a background in mining and are well-connected in the industry. This is a high-beta way to own lithium.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

FL is now $120M market cap, up 20% this year. It has no revenue yet, losses and negative cash flow. It has about $20M cash. Insiders own 16%. The study shows a 31-year potential mine life for its PAK Ontario Lithium project.  The study talks up numbers a lot, but the expected rate of return is 17.9%, which is fairly low vs other studies, especially considering $1B in capital costs. This is not to say it is not a feasible project, but a higher IRR would be better. There is work to be done still here and of course financing will be needed. We would consider it OK, but there remains a lot of risks here too as well.
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