Opinions
Stephen Groff
Allison Transmission Holdings
ALSN-N
HOLD
Dec 05, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Generating very high returns, very high margins, and a lot of cash flow. You have to look at free cash flow on this, because they have everything from NOLs meaning that they convert higher percentages of revenue of EBITDA into cash flow. Margins are very high, north of 30%, because a lot of technology goes into making heavy-duty applications for everything from garbage trucks to school buses. Dividend yield of 2.17%.
(A Top Pick April 20/16. Up 34%.) This tends to specialize on medium/heavy duty size automatic transmissions that go into things like school buses, refuse trucks, etc. This is a cash flow machine. It was very cheap a year ago and is still attractive, but not inexpensive. Still a great company.
It is an auto play company. Very low capital intensity. When you look at their end markets, the transition to electric will benefit them. It is a well run company and they buy back a lot of their stock. It is attractively valued but they are exposure to certain end markets like construction.
He still likes and owns it. Some businesses have been challenged and some are doing well. At some point you burn through heavy duty transmissions and they have to be replaced. The conversion to electric vehicles will require capital expenditures on the part of these companies.