Toys will always sell, but the toy industry faces serious headwinds. Toys are a highly cyclical business and, despite the S&P hitting all-time highs this week, an economic downturn is expected down the line.
Add to this the ongoing threat of tariffs in the US-China trade war which has prompted CEOs, including Hasbro’s, to lobby Trump to reconsider his tariffs.
Here are the top toymakers and sellers:
SpinMaster has been a growing strongly since going public in 2015, renown for innovation and in establishing a global brand, but the Canadian toymaker has been struggling lately. The street respects its management, but expects the stock to go sideways for a while.
Largest demographic group is the 29 years old. Ready at the point of household formation. No debt. They generate a lot of cash. (Analysts’ price target is $50.33)
Yes, the Canadian icon sells toys, lots of them, branding this department the Kids’ Zone. The stock itself is facing various headwinds from e-commerce and leverage from recent acquisitions that the company is still digesting. The recent pullback may offer a buying opportunity, though long-term prospects remain positive.
He tends not to ‘step into traffic’ and initiate new positions before important news releases. Wait for the earnings. We have seen two or three months of very weak Canadian retail sales growth and so the stock has come down.
Canada’s dominant bookseller also offers a robust toy section, but Indigo has taken a hit after missing its earnings in the last four quarters.
Canada’s Berkshire-Hathaway has endured some big swings in its chart, but investors continue to bet on Prem Watsa’s investing acumen to steer his company to calmer waters with fresh investments in BlackBerry, India and even Toys ‘R’ Us (Canada).
Problem is we don't know what Prem's doing until he does it. Some things work, and some don't. Has always had difficulty figuring out what's going on with this company. It's supposed to be an insurance company, but it's not really. You're buying Prem, if you buy the company. He likes Prem, but if they…
Still one of America’s largest toymakers, Mattel has been struggling for the past few years in the face of e-commerce. Losing retailer Toys ‘R’ Us didn’t help. The latest CEO has yet to right this ship, while some investors hope for a buyout to end this company’s woes.
This has been a really tough stock. Has come under quite a bit of pressure. You would think it would be a lower beta name and it seems that all beta names have gone up. They have really suffered from low demand. Have all sorts of Frozen stuff, which is supposed to be in high…
In contrast to Mattel, Hasbro’s stock price has climbed over the past five years, despite Toys ‘R’ Us’ exit in early 2018. Business is so good that Hasbro even opened a movie studio along the lines of Marvel. However, Hasbro faces higher costs in the face of Trump’s tariffs in the face of the ongoing US-China trade war.
When comparing this to Mattel (MAT-Q), you get a really good company. In this game space, you have a consumer stock that has been there forever and that continues to generate wonderful free cash flows. The dividend has been growing at a wonderful pace. Has no problem if he wanted to own this.
As the grown-ups buy tools, the kids play with toys at Home Depot. This sector has some insulation from e-commerce, so the stock continues to do well as homeowners renovate their houses in this late inning of the economic cycle.
Earnings came out today and the stock was punished HD is the go-to store for certain products and taking market share from the mom-and-pop shops, like Walmart. They're investing heavily in store technology that will pay off. It has a strong position in its sector, but there remains room for growth, say, outside North America.…
A big-box retailer like Costco and Wal-Mart, Big Lots has locations in the U.S., though it failed to break into Canada. Despite beating earnings the last two quarters and underoing a store remodeling campaign, Big Lots stock (and sales) has been struggling since peaking in January 2018.
Has a model price of around $24. Has competition with Costco and Wal-Mart. Good double overnight or just stay where it is.