Toys will always sell, but the toy industry faces serious headwinds. Toys are a highly cyclical business and, despite the S&P hitting all-time highs this week, an economic downturn is expected down the line.
Add to this the ongoing threat of tariffs in the US-China trade war which has prompted CEOs, including Hasbro’s, to lobby Trump to reconsider his tariffs.
Here are the top toymakers and sellers:
SpinMaster has been a growing strongly since going public in 2015, renown for innovation and in establishing a global brand, but the Canadian toymaker has been struggling lately. The street respects its management, but expects the stock to go sideways for a while.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The target price was raised today by RBC and National Bank. There was a story that retailers are accelerating shipments to secure adequate supply. This may point to strong sales. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Yes, the Canadian icon sells toys, lots of them, branding this department the Kids’ Zone. The stock itself is facing various headwinds from e-commerce and leverage from recent acquisitions that the company is still digesting. The recent pullback may offer a buying opportunity, though long-term prospects remain positive.
It has not picked up to the same extent as HD-N. We are dealing with a general consumer related store whereas HD-N has benefited from the home renovation space because at home what else are you going to do with your day when shut in but renovate. As stores start to re-open again and assuming…
Canada’s dominant bookseller also offers a robust toy section, but Indigo has taken a hit after missing its earnings in the last four quarters.
Has had a huge run and is not sure he would be courageous enough to get onboard at this point. Management has done a remarkable job of building this. He would look for a little lower entry point.
Canada’s Berkshire-Hathaway has endured some big swings in its chart, but investors continue to bet on Prem Watsa’s investing acumen to steer his company to calmer waters with fresh investments in BlackBerry, India and even Toys ‘R’ Us (Canada).
He prefers buying a insurance company directly like Manulife and Intact. Though well-run, FFH has a mixed bag of many assets. This mix adds a level of risk vs. pure insurers.
Still one of America’s largest toymakers, Mattel has been struggling for the past few years in the face of e-commerce. Losing retailer Toys ‘R’ Us didn’t help. The latest CEO has yet to right this ship, while some investors hope for a buyout to end this company’s woes.
It reported last night monster earnings (95 cents vs. expected 35) and revenue beat (sales up 11%) in its highest quarterly increase ever. Dolls, games and action figures are selling hot. It shot up 9.6% today.
In contrast to Mattel, Hasbro’s stock price has climbed over the past five years, despite Toys ‘R’ Us’ exit in early 2018. Business is so good that Hasbro even opened a movie studio along the lines of Marvel. However, Hasbro faces higher costs in the face of Trump’s tariffs in the face of the ongoing US-China trade war.
A huge, huge toymaker. It had a phenomenal run, but has pulled back, but it’s not that far off historical highs. Insiders own about 10%, which is quite a bit in a company this size, but they've been selling a lot of shares, which is a negative indicator. Pays a good dividend. Makes money year…
As the grown-ups buy tools, the kids play with toys at Home Depot. This sector has some insulation from e-commerce, so the stock continues to do well as homeowners renovate their houses in this late inning of the economic cycle.
HD vs. Lowes He's come close to buying HD in the past. It pays a 2.1% yield vs. Lowes' 1.3%, and HD boasts better metrics elsewhere. Key point it that scale matters in this business, and the 3x bigger HD enjoys a size advantage and has a wider moat (can get better pricing and service…
A big-box retailer like Costco and Wal-Mart, Big Lots has locations in the U.S., though it failed to break into Canada. Despite beating earnings the last two quarters and underoing a store remodeling campaign, Big Lots stock (and sales) has been struggling since peaking in January 2018.
(A Top Pick Aug 08/18, Down 54%) He sold last fall around low-$40's so didn't suffer the drop to the low-$20's (where this stock is now).