Top Independents Operators Oil Stocks to Buy in 2019

Which company in the oils sands would he like to buy? All energy companies are going to have a poor year, this year. As the recovery takes hold, demand for energy should increase. SU-T would be one of the better places to be. It is well financed and has a good balance sheet. It is…

It is tough to knock CNQ. The Saudis are rumoured to be divesting their holdings. They have lots of liquidity. He does not own it as it is so large within the energy index. He thinks he would do better owning names that are not already known.

An oil producer in Colombia. They have shut-in volumes and are not spending money, but rather are paying down debt. Expect a production cut in the next two quarter and only rising in Q4. Buy this below 40 cents.

Speculative buy you thought? If you are bullish on oil, it can be a good buy. He sold it at $0.34 so he could buy others that did not have the same financial risk. He bought it back at $0.40 before the rally up. He sold it after making 100% in a week. There will…

ATH vs HSE vs MEG? The clear stand out is MEG, who is 55% hedged at $59 oil prices. ATH has a high cost project with Hangingstone and is burning cash, although they have enough liquidity for the next 9 months. He would never own HSE, because of their ESG issues. All bets are off…

(A Top Pick Jun 20/19, Down 26%) It's generating free cash flow and paying down debt. Buy this under $10 for the long term. This is the premier large gas company in Canada with a strong management team who will maximize shareholder value. Managers also own a lot of shares.

Light production? It struggles for relevance in the market as a medium to medium-light oil producer. They cut the dividend to zero to de-lever. They purchased old oil fields, but with the higher operating costs and higher risk for environmental liability he would not own this.

It is certainly a high risk/reward play. One thing it has going for it is a very favourable hedge going for it. The question is only going into next year, what will prices look like. They have net debt over $2 Billion. The dividend has been reduced to a level where it is hopefully sustainable.…

(A Top Pick Mar 08/19, Down 22%) They stubbed their toe and he sold out about mid-year. Their inventory turned out not to be as deep as they had advertised. Within $50 oil prices they can generate 10% free cash flow going forward.

Oil price advances is going to help the advances of oil stocks. Chinese economy is likely to grow at an 8/8.5% for the next decade on a compound basis. Good opportunities.

The best valuation opportunities are in Canada, he thinks. He would sell WPX for the tax loss and buy Parsley instead, who has better exposure to Canada.

(Top Pick Oct 17/16, Down 23%) He used a stop loss. The tidal theme went out and he exited. After a difficult year he got stopped out. He was X-energy until about a month ago.

Energy is facing its toughest times. If you are bottom feeding, he might still avoid this sector. The companies that will get through the best will be the ones with their costs under control. CPG is a lower cost producer, but he would prefer someone like EOG -- the lowest cost shale producer. He thinks…

This all depends on what oil prices are going to do. $50 oil kind of keeps them going, but the costs are much higher than they are getting at the end of the day.

EPD-N vs. SE-N. He likes both stocks. These MLP structures are quite complicated. There is generally the General Partner and a Limited Partner. In SEP they are separate, and has SE as a general partner and SEP is the Master Limited Partnership. The market prefers a company with enterprise products where they are rolled into…

(A Top Pick April 2/14. Down 18.73%.) His job it is to watch for change and as he sees change, be able to reposition portfolios as required. Last summer, the US$ started to blast off, which happened at the same time that energy prices started to roll over. He got stopped out of virtually all…

Very bullish outlook on gas and this will give you great exposure to gas. Well run and a tremendous track record in production growth and reserve growth. Both shale gas and conventional gas exposure. Potential take-out candidate.

(A Top Pick April 18/16. Down 8.31%.) He sold this and got about 5.5% from it.

This is not a bad name. He sees risk on the asset disposition. The list of buyers for Canadian oil sand properties is not that extensive. If you want US exposure he would go elsewhere.

Energy company - oil and gas producer. He is looking for companies that are good quality, selling off and with volume picking up as it turns, which this is. He is already making money on it. Stop is $47.

This was the poster child for the US growth machine. But now they are in one of the worst places. Cut cap X program and will likely have to cut it again. Prefers Canadian oil stocks. Thinks there will still be revisions to CLR-N’s cash flow.

(Top Pick March 10/14, Down 14.12%) They are a lower cost operator. He sold this a couple of months after recommending it. Their challenge has been that their industry has been wildly successful in getting production growth and now there is a severe shortage of pipelines in the region so the price they sell for…

A name in transition. Used to be viewed as a leveraged way to play oil because they had financial leverage and were in the US Bakken play, which is still exceptional economics in a lot of their acreage. In the fall, they did a massively diluted share offering to purchase acreage in the Permian, paying…

Probably a name he would hold or avoid, simply because it is so highly levered. A good company. It has some good assets. If you see a sustained bull market in energy, this could be fairly attractive. However he doesn’t think we are going to have a bull market in energy right now, so this…

A tertiary play in that they do oil recovery after-the-fact for oilfields. Primarily oil driven.

Tremendously high profile in the US and has held up relatively better than our Canadian oil stocks. Good properties and good reserve life. Good price. Really a question of what you think is going to happen on commodity prices.