Top Independents Operators Oil Stocks to Buy in 2019

Attractively valued, trading at around 12% free cashflow yield at $60 oil. Would go up to 17% at $70 oil. Big underperformance relative to CNQ. Good upside, even up to 50%. More than that at $70 oil. Sold to buy small cap oil companies. Preference for other names.

(A Top Pick Mar 04/20, Up 21%) He'll own this for a long time and will still buy it in the low-30s. They increased their dividend last year and for the last 30 years or so. Super management enduring in a tough environment. Managers focus on free cash flow.

Small oil and gas producer operating in Colombia. His preferred play is Parex Resources. GTE is more aggressive and not as financially strong. Parex has no debt, in fact has cash. GTE production fell off a cliff last year. Higher beta. More leveraged to an oil recovery, if you think oil's going to $70-75, which…

(A Top Pick Feb 12/20, Down 33%) A higher-beta oil play. They have excess debt that they'll pay down this year with free cash flow. They have a good free cash flow yield. He targets $1.40-1.50 based on $60 oil. At $60, this is a free cash flow machine. The business model changes drastically from…

HSE-T + CVE-T: Stay after the merger? He does not own either one. He understands the merger makes sense. There are a lot of cost savings that can be found. He prefers CNQ-T, PXT-T and one of his Top Picks today. He prefers these to HSE-T. If the sector bounces back you could get an…

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The sector rally has paused though TOU is still up 39% this year. The stock remains attractive on most metrics and good growth is expected this year. Next year should see slower growth. Cash flow is good and dividend was raised a couple weeks ago. Unlock…

Had a convertible note that was converted to stocks so bought it. 7% stake in the company. 2.3x cashflow at $60 oil. Trading at 34% free cashflow yield. Not the most exciting asset, but generates a lot of free cash. They could reinstate their dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $2.65)

Has pulled back. An opportunity to buy into it. Bought an asset from Shell. The Duvernay play gives them new wind. A higher cost play but worth it at $60 oil. Paid an attractive price for the acquisition. Trade at 3.3x cashflow, and could trade up to 5x cashflow. 80-90% upside. Sold it in the…

An excellent operator with low costs. Problem is, this rallies only when the FAANGs dive and vice versa.

Oil price advances is going to help the advances of oil stocks. Chinese economy is likely to grow at an 8/8.5% for the next decade on a compound basis. Good opportunities.

The best valuation opportunities are in Canada, he thinks. He would sell WPX for the tax loss and buy Parsley instead, who has better exposure to Canada.

It's his favourite oil company. Very conservative. They always put on a conference call clinic. He doesn't like oil stocks but likes this. They report Wednesday.

The unique thing is their cost profile -- it is very low compared to peers. The trouble for CVE is getting their production out of Canada. That is why he favours pipelines over producers. There is too much commodity price risk, so he would not be a buyer. You might want to consider EOG instead…

This all depends on what oil prices are going to do. $50 oil kind of keeps them going, but the costs are much higher than they are getting at the end of the day.

The best of the pipelines, but he stopped recommending these stocks because they have disappointed investors. EPD does deliver and it pays a 7% yield, too.

(A Top Pick April 2/14. Down 18.73%.) His job it is to watch for change and as he sees change, be able to reposition portfolios as required. Last summer, the US$ started to blast off, which happened at the same time that energy prices started to roll over. He got stopped out of virtually all…

Very bullish outlook on gas and this will give you great exposure to gas. Well run and a tremendous track record in production growth and reserve growth. Both shale gas and conventional gas exposure. Potential take-out candidate.

(A Top Pick April 18/16. Down 8.31%.) He sold this and got about 5.5% from it.

(A Top Pick Jan 19/21, Up 29.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with DVN has achieved its $26 objective. We now recommend covering 50% of the position to remain disciplined. We also recommend trailing up the stop to $20 (near the original recommended entry) to all but ensure a minimum investment return…

Energy company - oil and gas producer. He is looking for companies that are good quality, selling off and with volume picking up as it turns, which this is. He is already making money on it. Stop is $47.

This was the poster child for the US growth machine. But now they are in one of the worst places. Cut cap X program and will likely have to cut it again. Prefers Canadian oil stocks. Thinks there will still be revisions to CLR-N’s cash flow.

(Top Pick March 10/14, Down 14.12%) They are a lower cost operator. He sold this a couple of months after recommending it. Their challenge has been that their industry has been wildly successful in getting production growth and now there is a severe shortage of pipelines in the region so the price they sell for…

A name in transition. Used to be viewed as a leveraged way to play oil because they had financial leverage and were in the US Bakken play, which is still exceptional economics in a lot of their acreage. In the fall, they did a massively diluted share offering to purchase acreage in the Permian, paying…

Probably a name he would hold or avoid, simply because it is so highly levered. A good company. It has some good assets. If you see a sustained bull market in energy, this could be fairly attractive. However he doesn’t think we are going to have a bull market in energy right now, so this…

A tertiary play in that they do oil recovery after-the-fact for oilfields. Primarily oil driven.

Tremendously high profile in the US and has held up relatively better than our Canadian oil stocks. Good properties and good reserve life. Good price. Really a question of what you think is going to happen on commodity prices.