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Top Independents Operators Oil Stocks to Buy in 2019

Melisa R. H. Posted On September 19, 2019
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This week’s drone strikes that shut down Saudi Arabia’s oil production sent many Canadian oil stocks upwards.

The energy sector seems to be picking up more steam and investors are returning to the prospects of the industry. Analysts have been enthusiastic about energy recently, citing consistent cash-flow and decent yield.

Energy sector stocks also benefit from having a lot of institutional investors, giving their share prices more stability. We’ve seen the energy sector lag behind these past couple of years, but the prices look to be recovering, especially with geopolitical uncertainty.

The North American energy sector looks poised to take off in the near future.

🛢 Oil

Canadian Stocks

Suncor Energy Inc (SU-T)
Although Suncor is relatively expensive to its peers, they offer good cash flow and decent yield. The yield is over 4% and they have one of the best integrated operations and assets in Canada.

Suncor Energy Inc (SU-T) — Stockchase
Suncor Energy Inc (SU-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about SU-T: Favourite oil stock? Has made tremendous strides over the last couple of years. BMO's report on insider buying shows highest level in last 5 years, and that speaks volumes. Timing is quite good, with oil showing resistance at $60. Very healthy at under 1x debt to EBITDA.Look beyond 2025, when tariffs will…

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Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ-T)
The stock is close to book value right now. In the low $30s, analysts look keen on buying it. The company is also buying back stocks aggressively with its large free cash flow.

Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ-T) — Stockchase
Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about CNQ-T: Oil's been under pressure, and so have energy stocks, due to concerns about global economy. All these names are in a downswing, but you're getting a pretty nice dividend here of over 5%. 200-day MA is falling, and price is just below that, so may be important inflection point to see if…

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Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE-T)
The balance sheet is in good shape, and it is trading at half book value right now. They are also increasing production. Their core assets are in South America, and they are now looking at Mexico.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE-T) — Stockchase
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about GTE-T: Great energy stock, but seeing better opportunity in other names. Operating in Colombia which has geopolitical risk. Windfall taxes etc.

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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
A Calgary based oil and natural gas company that received Top Pick by John Zechner. They have been paying down debt and about 60% of production gets a premium price. There are no dividends, but the company is expected to use their free cash flow to buy back lots of shares.

Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T) — Stockchase
Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about BTE-T: (A Top Pick May 23/24, Down 48%) It's down because of the fall in oil prices, pure and simple. He sold this around $4. The stock will excel if oil returns to $70+, but not at $60. He will revisit this at better oil prices later.

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Husky Energy (HSE-T)
One of Canada’s largest integrated energy companies. They were trailing along at their 52-week low recently. They are expected to grow in China with more thermal projects over time. The stock is cheap and it should recover along with the whole sector.

Husky Energy (HSE-T) — Stockchase
Husky Energy (HSE-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about HSE-T: HSE-T + CVE-T: Stay after the merger? He does not own either one. He understands the merger makes sense. There are a lot of cost savings that can be found. He prefers CNQ-T, PXT-T and one of his Top Picks today. He prefers these to HSE-T. If the sector bounces back you…

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU-T)
The company is transitioning from dry natural gas into more liquids. A very well run company who is expected to trade at 2 times cash flow in a couple of years, when commodity prices rise.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU-T) — Stockchase
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about TOU-T: He focuses on the top third of relative price performers in a group. The best companies tend to keep getting better. Good dividend plus dividend growth.

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Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ-T)
A mainly oil producing company. They have been using their cash flow to pay down debt and financials look good. They cut dividends as prices came down when it was dragged down along with the rest of the sector.

Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ-T) — Stockchase
Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about CJ-T: Bought at $8.50, now at $6.64. Sentiment remains challenged in the space (a common theme today), even though the Energy Index is up about 20% YTD. People are hiding in large caps, with few funds coming to small- or mid-caps. Hard to see it outperforming. Yield is 10.7%, pretty hard to replace.…

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Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG-T)
An oil and gas company out of Calgary. They recently sold some assets in Utah and southeast Saskatchewan. They had quite a rally this month, though it’s now run into some resistance.

Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG-T) — Stockchase
Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about CPG-T: Great company. Looking at the chart, big wall of resistance it just couldn't get through. Then it broke out. If you own it, hold. If it pulls back to the neckline, he'd be all over it.

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U.S. Stocks

Diamondback Energy (FANG-Q)
A company with a focus in the US Permian. As oil prices go back up, analysts expect this company to move first. They have a great inventory of over 7000 well locations.

Diamondback Energy (FANG-Q) — Stockchase
Diamondback Energy (FANG-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about FANG-Q: Bought more. Great management and M&A strategy, which will add to earnings regardless of the oil price. Likes their cost control and cash flow.

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CNOOC Limited (CEO-N)
China’s largest producer of offshore crude oil and natural gas. It is dual listed in the Hong Kong and the New York Stock Exchange. Rising oil prices will help advance this oil stock, although there is still some concern over the US-China trade war.

CNOOC Limited (CEO-N) — Stockchase
CNOOC Limited (CEO-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CEO-N: Oil price advances is going to help the advances of oil stocks. Chinese economy is likely to grow at an 8/8.5% for the next decade on a compound basis. Good opportunities.

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WPX Energy Inc. (WPX-N)
A petroleum and natural gas company. It is well run with assets in the Permian and the Bakker. The share price has not moved according to their fundamentals so there could be more upside when investors come back to the energy sector.

WPX Energy Inc. (WPX-N) — Stockchase
WPX Energy Inc. (WPX-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about WPX-N: The best valuation opportunities are in Canada, he thinks. He would sell WPX for the tax loss and buy Parsley instead, who has better exposure to Canada.

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Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD-N)
An American petroleum, natural gas and LNG exploration and production company. The company has very little debt with the lowest finding costs in the Permian Basin.

Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD-N) — Stockchase
Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about PXD-N: If you're already up, then take the gain and sell. Oil is uncertainty these days.

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EOG Resources Inc (EOG-N)
A Fortune 500 company that specializes in petroleum and natural gas exploration. It does have higher volatility because of the oil exposure, though it is quite well diversified with a lot of offshore assets. An international oil play.

EOG Resources Inc (EOG-N) — Stockchase
EOG Resources Inc (EOG-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about EOG-N: It will be a complicated report today. Prices in Q4 declined which will effect free cash flow. He expects EOG to reduce capex full year, which the street night like.

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Noble Energy Inc. (NBL-N)
A petroleum and natural gas exploration and production company. They have been rising steadily over the past months. More of the service side of the business.

Noble Energy Inc. (NBL-N) — Stockchase
Noble Energy Inc. (NBL-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about NBL-N: This all depends on what oil prices are going to do. $50 oil kind of keeps them going, but the costs are much higher than they are getting at the end of the day.

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Enterprise Products Partners L P (EPD-N)
A leading integrated provider of Natural Gas Liquids. They offer isomérisation services to produce mixed NGL products as well as their component products.

Enterprise Products Partners L P (EPD-N) — Stockchase
Enterprise Products Partners L P (EPD-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about EPD-N: (A Top Pick Feb 08/24, Up 20%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with EPD has triggered its stop at $31.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 19%, when combined with our previous guidance.    

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Matador Resources (MTDR-N)
An American oil and natural gas company that engages in exploration, development and acquisition of resources. It focuses on shale plays and other unconventional resource plays.

Matador Resources (MTDR-N) — Stockchase
Matador Resources (MTDR-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about MTDR-N: (A Top Pick Jan 21/25, Down 18.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MTDR has triggered its stop at $49.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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Southwestern Energy (SWN-N)
An exploration and production company in the natural gas and petroleum sector. It has the benefit of giving you exposure to both shale and conventional gas. It is a potential take-over candidate, according to some analysts.

Southwestern Energy (SWN-N) — Stockchase
Southwestern Energy (SWN-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about SWN-N: options Energy continues to see action. This is trading at $8, buying 20,000 of the May 7 calls in order to get more leverage. They will move as the stock moves up. He remains very overweight energy.

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Apache Corp (APA-N)
An independant energy company that specializes in natural gas, crude oil and natural gas liquids. It’s operations are focused in the Guld of Mexico, Permian Basin, Gulf Coast among other locations. It also has operations outside of North America.

APA Corporation (APA-N) — Stockchase
APA Corporation (APA-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about APA-N: Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly In recently reported earnings, APA indicated they expect operational efficiencies to result in $130 million in cost savings.  The company has been prudently using cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares -- all while providing a good dividend supported by a payout ratio under…

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Devon Energy Corp (DVN-N)
An independant natural gas, NGL and petroleum exploration company. They specialize in onshore exploration in North America. It has a particular exposure to the Canadian oil sand properties.

Devon Energy Corp (DVN-N) — Stockchase
Devon Energy Corp (DVN-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about DVN-N: A poor performer, a nightmare, maybe bottoming.

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SM Energy Company (SM-N)
An American petroleum and natural gas exploration company out of Denver. An analyst said that SM Energy Company is part of the oil stocks whose prices have outrun the fundamentals with major gains.

SM Energy Company (SM-N) — Stockchase
SM Energy Company (SM-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about SM-N: (A Top Pick Jan 14/25, Down 15.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SM has triggered its stop at $37.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 17%, when combined with our previous guidance.  

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Continental Resources (CLR-N)
An exploration and production company for petroleum and natural gas. They specialize in crude-oil concentrated, independent oil and natural gas. Their operations are in the Rocky Mountain, Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast regions in the US.

Continental Resources (CLR-N) — Stockchase
Continental Resources (CLR-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CLR-N: This was the poster child for the US growth machine. But now they are in one of the worst places. Cut cap X program and will likely have to cut it again. Prefers Canadian oil stocks. Thinks there will still be revisions to CLR-N’s cash flow.

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Cabot Oil & Gas (COG-N)
A low cost operator in petroleum, natural gas and NGL. The stock price has been under pressure from the shortage of pipelines in the region.

Cabot Oil & Gas (COG-N) — Stockchase
Cabot Oil & Gas (COG-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about COG-N: (Top Pick March 10/14, Down 14.12%) They are a lower cost operator. He sold this a couple of months after recommending it. Their challenge has been that their industry has been wildly successful in getting production growth and now there is a severe shortage of pipelines in the region so the price…

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Oasis Petroleum Inc. (OAS-N)
The company has gone through transition and has changed the way they operate. They did a massively diluted share offering in late 2017 and they are still proving their competency.

Oasis Petroleum Inc. (OAS-N) — Stockchase
Oasis Petroleum Inc. (OAS-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about OAS-N: A name in transition. Used to be viewed as a leveraged way to play oil because they had financial leverage and were in the US Bakken play, which is still exceptional economics in a lot of their acreage. In the fall, they did a massively diluted share offering to purchase acreage in…

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Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK-N)
Highly leveraged though it is a good company. It has some great assets, and analysts are waiting for a sustained bull market in energy. It is range bound.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK-N) — Stockchase
Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CHK-N: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research CHK's growth is expected to slow, so on a forward basis its P/E is 22X. EPS in 2023 will be less than half 2022's level. 25% growth though is expected in 2024. The balance sheet is very strong. The dividend varies, and…

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Denbury Resources (DNR-N)
A company who is primarily oil driven. They are exploring and developing assets in the Gulf Coast region.

Denbury Resources (DNR-N) — Stockchase
Denbury Resources (DNR-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about DNR-N: Will benefit from the Inflation Reduction Act An oil and gas producer, but they are the leading player in carbon capture technology.

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Mexico Stocks

Anadarko Petroleum Corp (APC-N)
It has performed relatively better than Canadian oil stocks. They have good properties and good reserve life. Their price is reasonable and the question is how you think the commodity prices will go.

Anadarko Petroleum Corp (APC-N) — Stockchase
Anadarko Petroleum Corp (APC-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about APC-N: Tremendously high profile in the US and has held up relatively better than our Canadian oil stocks. Good properties and good reserve life. Good price. Really a question of what you think is going to happen on commodity prices.

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