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The Big Canadian Telcos Stocks to Buy in 2019

Melisa R. H. Posted On August 20, 2019
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defensive stock

Global markets have been experiencing a tumultuous couple of weeks, with concerns mounting over an upcoming recession. The inverted yield curve that has only worsened, and has investors on edge. Concerns over the trade war between the U.S. and China have also depressed the market. In such volatile times, investors need to consider risk and look at more stable defensive stocks, such as the phone companies.
Telecommunication stocks are known to be resilient, even during a recession, as people are likely to keep their phone and internet connections. They are utility type holdings. In Canada, they are a virtual oligopoly that gives them further stability and protection. Furthermore, most telecom companies pay dividends with decent yield, so it could be an important place to hide your money and weather the storm.

📱 Telecommunications
Canada Stocks
BCE Inc. (BCE-T)
Previously known as Bell Canada, BCE is a good choice for those looking for dividends yield and growth. It’s a safe haven stock that grows dividends yearly. In a falling interest rate environment, it will continue to do well. It is a good income stock that will perform well since it is part of an oligopoly in Canada.

BCE Inc. (BCE-T) — Stockchase
BCE Inc. (BCE-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about BCE-T: Dividend cut was the right thing to do and stabilized the stock. Business model is facing a lot of challenges right now. Lots of competition on satellites and mobile. Revenues aren't growing. Looking for alternatives to break into broadband in the US, doesn't seem a smart decision. Wants to see asset sales…

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Telus Corp (T-T)
Telus is a strong choice for investors looking for a telecommunication company with good market share and a good yield. They are currently paying a dividend of around 4.7%. They have shown good organic business growth, and have continued to add new customers. They are diversified and is ideal for those seeking yield and safety.

Telus Corp (T-T) — Stockchase
Telus Corp (T-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about T-T: T vs. BCE Become differentiated when you drill into the metrics. Both suffering from credit downgrades. Took on a lot of debt for 5G buildout, but weren't able to increase pricing. Number of immigrants has slowed. Lots of price competition, just as elsewhere in the world.In last quarter, increased dividend. Less risky…

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Rogers Communications (B) (RCI.B-T)
Rogers has a good likelihood of growth. They will perform well later in the cycle and is more resilient in a recession, with a low beta. They are one of the most diversified telecommunication companies, with assets in sports, publication and other media.

Rogers Communications (B) (RCI.B-T) — Stockchase
Rogers Communications (B) (RCI.B-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about RCI.B-T: Good value, or value trap? Balance sheets have been a struggle for all the telcos; got caught when rates went up after spending so much. Less population growth was unexpected. Competition more intense. Dirt cheap at 7x PE for 2026, but no growth until then. There is MLSE upside.All stocks stumble at…

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Shaw Communication (B) (SJR.B-T)
Shaw is going through a long-term expansion, after buying Wind Mobile and other acquisitions. They are also investing into their streaming services. There are some concerns over their capability to grow, since 5G is expensive and they have some debt. It has a controlling interest in Corus Entertainment that is weighing down the stock. They pay a 4% monthly yield.

Shaw Communication (B) (SJR.B-T) — Stockchase
Shaw Communication (B) (SJR.B-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about SJR.B-T: It comes down to the Rogers deal, which the street thinks will happen, but this is the fourth deadline extension. The deal has been priced into shares, so there isn't much upside. Better to buy Rogers or Telus than Shaw.

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Cogeco Cable (CCA-T)
The company has done very well over the last couple of years, and has always been held out as a possible acquisition target by Rogers. They are diversifying by buying more U.S. assets. It has good return on capital and has grown very well this year.

Cogeco Communications (CCA-T) — Stockchase
Cogeco Communications (CCA-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about CCA-T: (A Top Pick Dec 19/23, Up 29%) Allowed to hop on Wi-Fi networks of the other telcos, so it's becoming a more asset-light business. Passes through higher margins, and can continue to grow dividend more than 10% a year.

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Quebecor Inc (B) (QBR.B-T)
A more regional telecommunication company, concentrated in Quebec. They are reinvesting a lot of money into their network and have experienced earnings growth of over 20% last year. They have a high free cash flow that they can redeploy. They have an edge over their competitors in Quebec, so this could be a good regional play.

Quebecor Inc (B) (QBR.B-T) — Stockchase
Quebecor Inc (B) (QBR.B-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about QBR.B-T: (A Top Pick Jan 23/24, Up 3%) Benefiting from the Freedom Mobile purchase. Able to expand in Ontario and Western Canada without deploying too much capex. Very high ROE and free cashflow, allowing them to lower debt and obtain investment-grade rating on bonds. Aggressively buying back shares. Best-performing telecom stock this year.

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Tucows Inc. (TC-T)
The second largest domain registrar worldwide. They were under the radar until last year when they broke out. The stock price has pulled back now, but the company is capital efficient and is expected to grow. They are also active in the reselling of mobile phone services.

Tucows Inc. (TC-T) — Stockchase
Tucows Inc. (TC-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about TC-T: Sold because its ROIC returns started to get a bit wonky. In fact in last 3 years, ROIC has been negative. Satellite internet access has eaten the lunch of fibre. Hard to form a moat around its domain business. Wait for ROIC to be in excess of 20% for at least 3…

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