This week’s new 52-week highs and lows… (Jan 9-15)

Very strong business - founder led & owned. Exception creator of wealth the past ~20 years. Has owned shares since 2014. Very good consolidator of convenience stores. High quality capital allocation skills. Recent 7-Eleven M&A is interesting, but depends on the final price that is settled on. Would recommend holding and/or buying. 

The black sheep of Canada's big three grocers, but recent results were pretty good and that's raised the stock. Are improving costs and being more efficient. Same-store sales growth is flat, though. They lack a discount brand like Metro and Loblaw, and lack presence in pharmacies. That's why their PE is lower than their peers.…

For consumer staples, he likes to stay close to home. Very few competitors. Stock's done very well for him.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research NWC slightly missed EPS forecasts of 60c coming in at 57c. Revenue marginally beat estimates of $617.16M coming in at $617.5M displaying growth of 4% year-over-year. Same-store-sales growth was 3.8%. Adjusted profit increased 13% to $29.4M, from $26.1M last year due to due to gross…

(A Top Pick Sep 18/23, Up 18%) Buys grocers for defensiveness and value, not growth. He hasn't been trimming, still some runway to go. Efficiency gains in the space have been incredibly strong via technology. Rate cuts support households, which supports retail including grocers.

Pulled off significantly. Downtrend since earlier this year, along with energy stocks in general. Over the next month and a half, energy is historically weak or sideways. January-April is a time of really positive seasonality. Price momentum started to improve. RSI started to tick up. Started to see institutional buying. Short-term price trend started to pick…

(A Top Pick July 3/15. Down 43.04%.) Sold his holdings at around $5.50, and lost money. Their business continues to grow, and this is one that he continues to watch. There is lots of promise here.

Dundee is nowhere as large as Barrick, Franco Nevada or Agnico Eagle, which comprise a third of the Canadian materials sector, but it has outperformed it so far in 2024. Dundee shares have rallied 8.5% in this time period while Barrick is down over 16%. Also, Dundee holds more potential upside. Consensus sales estimates are…

Intrigued with company and people. Does not own stock in company. Good, but not a great company to own.

Has no current plans to own this. Has a high regard for management, but his suspicion is that their cost of capital is too low. He sees them having a very difficult time thriving in the next 18 months. There are much better names out there.

(A Top Pick Jul 14/23, Up 51%) Company has increased share price since recommendation. However room left to grow. Mine continues to grow. Believes upside still left in the stock. 

One of the most senior producers of silver. Silver is better than gold, as the bulk of silver production comes from copper mines. Silver just crossed $24, and there's lots of upside. SSRM has a $28 price target. He wants something that will benefit once inflation is realized.

They make frack sand; not a commonly covered stock. Trades at 15x earnings. The 2021 outlook is much better, supported by strong demand. A good opportunity.

Diversified industrial globally. High quality properties. 10-12% discount to NAV. Focused on larger part of the market (over 300k square feet), where there's more vacancy. It needs to work through that. Likes the sector, stock's interesting at this level, keep owning it if you do.

(A Top Pick Sep 28/22, Up 45%) Got taken out. Traded at a 25% discount in a sector that was in high demand.

Great properties, but diversification means it doesn't get a great valuation from the market. Sunbelt properties are over-supplied. Owns office properties and retail. Transforming to multi-family and industrial. Trade action starting to pick up. Secure yield of about 6.7%. Growth will be a while, depends on your time horizon. Better names in the meantime.

A portfolio of US properties. It also has some interesting properties around the DVP area in Toronto. The CEO is one of the few people that not only knows how to buy, but also how to sell. Thinks that at some point, he will sell the entire company if he can, or bit by bit.

With 10-year bond yields popping up, some of the REITs are a bit challenged. This is a Canadian REIT, even though WMT is its anchor tenant. He prefers storage REITs in the US. He worries about the Canadian economy. Yield looks strong at over 7%, seems safe.

Stock vs. Stock. FIE-T vs. CMR-T. CMR-T is a money market fund. FIE-T is a multi holding income strategy holding all kinds of assets, so there will be more volatility. When markets are up go into CMR-T and FIE-T when they are down.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research PMIF is a more active fixed income fund designed to be adapt the portfolio to market conditions. We think fixed income funds in general can be good options offering low-risk, predictable cash flows which offer a diversification from equities. While returns have not been exceptional,…

De-risking 40% of a portfolio at age 59. Likes the idea of PSA. TLT, he believes, is a leveraged play on the bond market and wouldn't do that. BNS high interest savings, for example, pays 4.75% for optionality and no risk. For an ETF filled with 1-year bonds that's very low risk, look at ZST.L. Pays…

1-5 year Laddered ETF. This will have a pretty short duration so will probably give you in the 2.5% range. It will suffer too much from rising interest rates. Not a bad place to park for a while.

Effect of lower CAD? A short-term money market ETF is not going to be impacted by currency volatility. They're Canadian plays in Canada. Even though the BOC is a lot more aggressive in terms of cutting rates because the Canadian economy is significantly weaker than that of the US. 

Good if interest rates rise. Not when rates are falling. Would not invest lately (Fed likely to cut rates). 

Nothing wrong with this ETF at all. 5 to 6 year durations because they are mid-cap corps.

In a rising rate environment, you might want to stick to a shorter term. ZCS is a short-term, corporate, investment-grade ETF. Had drawdowns, but not as bad as a typical aggregate bond or high-yield ETF.

Competitive industry; harder to grow revenue, especially when costs are escalating. He owns Telus.

(A Top Pick Jul 25/24, Up 8.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with QBR.B has triggered its stop at $33.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 11%, when combined with our previous guidance.  

It comes down to the Rogers deal, which the street thinks will happen, but this is the fourth deadline extension. The deal has been priced into shares, so there isn't much upside. Better to buy Rogers or Telus than Shaw.

Has pulled back a lot. It holds US medical property. It has suffered inflationary pressures, but will diminish in 2023 and the stock will recover. Don't sell it in the current Dutch auction.

Rather bad couple of days. Was down substantially, outside of a range. Consolidated. It broke down and is more likely to go down. $1.50 on the downside.

This is how he'd play the renewable energy trade. Thinks rates will go higher next year, which makes him cautious. If that's the case for rates, a lot of the bond proxies like utilities and REITs are going to come under pressure. A bit more upside potential, but for a trade.

They generate electivity and sell it. As we move in this direction this company will have a foothold and niche. It is a capital intensive business and interest rates rising will be a problem.

Excellent asset base - very had to replicate. Consistent dividend increases. Cheap valuation given cash flow abilities. Company will perform well regardless of economy. Has a long history of quality dividends. Portfolio of growth projects for the next 5 years. 

The business allows a USB device to reach into a database. Many of the clients were US military and security agencies. A recent acquisition gives them good forward prospects.

Prefers Melcor Developments (MRD-T). When there have been housing difficulty like there has been, it’s extremely difficult for stocks like these.

In the middle of a long-term range. Yesterday's news looked very positive. Good, solid support around $38. Potential to get to $50 before it stalls out, in a 3-6 month timeframe. Get out if drops below $40.

He covers the stock and owns it. The business is doing well. They are a leader in their space. There was a big investor out of China that fell on hard times and has had to sell shares. It may be poised for a turnaround.

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. They have been growing their top-line quickly over the last quarters. Net profit margins are improving. Although debt is quite elevated, they have cash balances and equity positions that are decent. Valuation is cheap and future growth estimates are good.A smaller size so could see…

Listed in Canada but operations are in the far east. Is cautious because of high debt and accounting is weird. If you are betting gold will go a lot higher it is a pretty decent bet but if not it can decline a lot.

In Western Africa, this miner is looking for funding. It is not the exciting part of the cycle as they are in the de-risking mode. Investors are looking for projects that double resources. Institutional investors are not yet stepping in the space.

They have a project in Alaska. The grade looks nice, but isn't completely sold.

Has an old mine outside of Los Angeles that was run in the 1930s. Closed down during the Second World War and they are doing open pit mining in the area. Has some issues, but at these gold prices, it will probably start to work again. Under followed. Highly speculative.

Been a nice success story. His opinion is that the commodity cycle has really played out here.

Its BC nickel play. Doesn't like GGI. Last year this was a darling stock, but their drill holes haven't impressed him.

A tricky one. Have a very small mine in Ireland that they are trying to put into production as well as a small jewellery division. There is no clear indication of what they are trying to be. Gold deposit is very small.

Cameras on satellites. Feels they’ve made a lot of progress in the right direction. Management is working hard and there is now more clarity. We may see some positive free cash flow one day. At this point, it is starting to become interesting, although clearly there are still a lot of unclear questions.

They haven't won many contracts lately. They had signed a deal with Rogers to make them look like Apple TV and more user-friendly, but lost that contract, then signed a few new contracts, but those revenues haven't come to fruition. He still holds it thought it's been going down. There's lot of cash on the…

He stayed away because they went to the states to make acquisitions. He did not know why the Americans would not already take these assets. He stays away from it.

He would like to see a couple of good quarters out from them. It is thinly traded. You have to be prepared to watch it quarter by quarter.