Restaurant stocks are usually purchased for their dividend payouts, although there are some growth names. There are various royalty income funds, or individual stocks investors can choose between. Some have a specific location base, and others are growing, aggressively entering new markets and expanding their global reach.
Although the discretionary spending in restaurant is cyclical, some companies have differentiated themselves, and have proven to remain consistent despite various economic cycles. Many of these restaurants are chain operations, and they continue to grow profitably in the long term.
Quick Service restaurants and casual diners makeup the majority of this list.
Here are the top restaurant stocks to buy in 2019.
SIR Royalty Income Fund (SRV.UN-T)
A privately held restaurant trust with its base in the Greater Toronto area. They have some high-end restaurants in their portfolio.
A restaurant trust. This is a part of the market that he stays away from. A very tough business, cyclical, very hard to make money in the longer term.
Recipe Unlimited Corporation (RECP-T)
Some brands under the corporation include well-known brands including Harvey’s, Swiss Chalet and St-Hubert. It’s one of the largest restaurant chains in Canada. They brought in new management and made some acquisitions.
Has been suffering lately. It went from being overpriced to being hugely underpriced. Part of the reason is that they have a good set of their operations in Alberta, and the weakness in the energy patch has hurt sales. Recently they’ve suffered by negative same store sales, which apparently has now turned positive. They’ll be…
Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA-T)
They pay a nice yield although some analysts are beginning to question whether it is sustainable. They need to manage their cash flow in order to continue dividends. This is considered an income stock.
Considered a consumer discretionary, but to him it borders on the consumer staples area. If it drops below its support level of around $13, something might be up. Chart shows a big head and shoulders rolling top, which is why the $13 level becomes really, really important. You bring in a lot of volume once…
The Second Cup Ltd (SCU-T)
The Canadian coffee shop announced last summer that they were looking into converting their some of their coffee shops to cannabis shops. They say they are primarily focusing on western Canada, and now Ontario.
This and Tim Hortons (THI-T) will profit from an economy that is going backwards, to some degree. A lot of the high dividend payers come out of very high multiples and cannot sustain their multiples.
Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T)
A Canadian multinational fast food holding company that holds Burger King and Tim Hortons. They recently launched a loyalty program with significant interest.
(A Top Pick Jul 04/18, Up 21%) Consumer discretionary, but more defensive. Lower beta. Decent growth rate of 10-12%. Nice dividend of 2.9%. Sales performance improving. Focusing on guest experience. Strong dividend income and growth, plus earnings growth.
MTY Food Group (MTY-T)
A Canadian franchisor for casual dining. They have multiple brands including Thai Express, Sushi Shop and Extreme Pita. They are primarily in food courts and growth comes from acquisitions.
Fast food franchises in the malls. They’ve made an acquisition to increase their US presence. Excellent operators. Probably a nice, long term growth story.
A&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund (AW.UN-T)
People have been loving their plant protein line of burgers. A very well-run company with 900 Canadian stores. They pay a dividend of 4.5% and has a good track record of increasing it. They are adding more stores.
He is not concerned about the distribution because it is a royalty structure. He thinks it is one of the faster growing companies in the space. 3% same store sales growth. Anything with a high dividend is getting beaten up because of interest rate fears.
Boston Pizza Royalties (BPF.UN-T)
The pizza chain pays a yield of 8.2%. However, investors worry about their 85% payout and whether the dividend is safe. They cut earning estimates by 2%. They were one of the first restaurant royalty income companies and grew rapidly. Same store sales have been lagging for them, but a turnaround might be possible.
Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN-T)
A high dividend paying stock with a yield of 6.47%. They are a leading operator of steakhouses and is one of the best managed.
Freshii Inc (FRII-T)
They have not done too well since their IPO. They also missed expectations and were hit during tax loss selling. They have huge potential if they are able to manage their operations better. Initial valuation during the IPO was considered to be high with hard targets to meet.
She doesn’t like the food, but you see them expanding everywhere. Apparently the millennial’s love it. She is giving it another couple of quarters to see what happens before she makes up her mind.
The top restaurant stock in the world. McDonald’s remains a favorite among investors. The restaurant is considered to have the most convincing valuation amongst fast food companies. Same store sales are growing and there is more upside to come.
They demonstrate everything that is negative about stock buybacks. You erode your book value and now they trade at 100 times book value. It is trading at only 20 times earnings, however. He calculates a fair market value 46% lower than where it is now. The balance sheet is mediocre, but not strong. He does…
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N)
The company’s stock has improved and has bounced back due to changes being implemented by the new CEO. The restaurant has been focusing on product diversification and their loyalty program as well as improving core operations.
(A Top Pick Dec 19/12. Up 77.45%.) Seemed like a powerful trend to him, principally driven by their attention to organic high-quality and basically competing with the fast food industry.
Cheesecake Factory Inc (The) (CAKE-Q)
A restaurant brand famous for their cheesecakes. They performed well but topped out and pulled back. The restaurant has struggled to grow and same store growth has plateaued. Is a comeback in sight?
Top Short Expects to see a lowered guidance from same sales stores going forward. Extremely highly priced at 32 X earnings.
Yum! Brands (YUM-N)
An American fast food company that operates KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut. They are diversified globally and positioned in markets that have growing sales. China account for a big part of their revenues. They are now moving into India.
Has buying this for new accounts. It is now being spun off from the US company. Thinks this could be a heck of an interesting play in China. His bias is towards it because if China becomes a more consumer oriented society, and the middle class is being built up, this is good for all…
Shake Shack Inc (SHAK-N)
A fast casual restaurant chain that started In New York City. They recently announced that same-store sales have risen by 3.6%. They are investing in innovations and working on adding to their menu.
A quick serve restaurant. Trading at a very high multiple. Because she is a value oriented investor, the value is way too extreme. If you own, consider lightening up.
The world famous coffee shop that shaped coffee culture across the globe. They are a well run company that continues to innovate but their valuation has gotten quite high. There are also questions of where new growth will come for, but they’re sure to have a plan. Wait for a pullback and hold for long-term.
It has always been too expensive for him. Maybe they have built out too many stores, but it has had a hard time continuing to justify valuations.