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Restaurant Brands International and the Top Restaurants Stocks to Feed your TFSA

Melisa R. H. Posted On May 9, 2019
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Restaurant stocks are usually purchased for their dividend payouts, although there are some growth names. There are various royalty income funds, or individual stocks investors can choose between. Some have a specific location base, and others are growing, aggressively entering new markets and expanding their global reach.

Although the discretionary spending in restaurant is cyclical, some companies have differentiated themselves, and have proven to remain consistent despite various economic cycles. Many of these restaurants are chain operations, and they continue to grow profitably in the long term.

Quick Service restaurants and casual diners makeup the majority of this list.

Here are the top restaurant stocks to buy in 2019.

🛍 Consumer

Canada

SIR Royalty Income Fund (SRV.UN-T)
A privately held restaurant trust with its base in the Greater Toronto area. They have some high-end restaurants in their portfolio.

SIR Royalty Income (SRV.UN-T) — Stockchase
SIR Royalty Income (SRV.UN-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about SRV.UN-T: (A Top Pick Dec 14/23, Down 11%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SRV.UN has triggered its stop at $14.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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Recipe Unlimited Corporation (RECP-T)
Some brands under the corporation include well-known brands including Harvey’s, Swiss Chalet and St-Hubert. It’s one of the largest restaurant chains in Canada. They brought in new management and made some acquisitions.

Recipe Unlimited Corporation (RECP-T) — Stockchase
Recipe Unlimited Corporation (RECP-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about RECP-T: Fairfax wants to buy RECP Sometimes Fairfax hits a home or strikes-out when it take over a company. He stands on the sidelines and watches in admiration. Doesn't know if this will work out or not.

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Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA-T)
They pay a nice yield although some analysts are beginning to question whether it is sustainable. They need to manage their cash flow in order to continue dividends. This is considered an income stock.

Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA-T) — Stockchase
Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about PZA-T: Monthly dividend of 7.75 cents. Pretty range-bound, between $12-15, for a couple of years. Looks as though it's pulled back into the middle. Steady stock, steady and mature business. More of a yield play. Yield is 7%.

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The Second Cup Ltd (SCU-T)
The Canadian coffee shop announced last summer that they were looking into converting their some of their coffee shops to cannabis shops. They say they are primarily focusing on western Canada, and now Ontario.

The Second Cup Ltd (SCU-T) — Stockchase
The Second Cup Ltd (SCU-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about SCU-T: A company like this could come down towards the end of the year when there is tax loss selling. When they eliminated the dividend, he put it on his watch list. When he discovers a company, he does not buy into it for at least 6 months. When you see a takeover…

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Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T)
A Canadian multinational fast food holding company that holds Burger King and Tim Hortons. They recently launched a loyalty program with significant interest.

Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T) — Stockchase
Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about QSR-T: (A Top Pick May 02/24, Down 4%)Reports tomorrow. Trades at 20x EBIT over EBITDA, about normal. Shares are below a declining 200-day MA, but still above 200-week MA. Rising input costs of labour and commodities, as well as competition, have really held shares back. Question of saturation in Canada. Challenge to scale…

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MTY Food Group (MTY-T)
A Canadian franchisor for casual dining. They have multiple brands including Thai Express, Sushi Shop and Extreme Pita. They are primarily in food courts and growth comes from acquisitions.

MTY Food Group (MTY-T) — Stockchase
MTY Food Group (MTY-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about MTY-T: Used to be a good "compounder" (~20% annually). However, growth has slowed to around 10%. Is watching, but not investing at this time. 

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A&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund (AW.UN-T)
People have been loving their plant protein line of burgers. A very well-run company with 900 Canadian stores. They pay a dividend of 4.5% and has a good track record of increasing it. They are adding more stores.

A W Food Services of Canada IncInstrument Symbol (AW-T) — Stockchase
A W Food Services of Canada IncInstrument Symbol (AW-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about AW-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research AW is relatively small, but we like it well enough. It has operated very well in differing economies, raised its dividend over time, and maintained its market share. However, we would view it far more as an income stock and not one…

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Boston Pizza Royalties (BPF.UN-T)
The pizza chain pays a yield of 8.2%. However, investors worry about their 85% payout and whether the dividend is safe. They cut earning estimates by 2%. They were one of the first restaurant royalty income companies and grew rapidly. Same store sales have been lagging for them, but a turnaround might be possible.

Boston Pizza Royalties (BPF.UN-T) — Stockchase
Boston Pizza Royalties (BPF.UN-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about BPF.UN-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Debt becoming a concern. Delivery and take-out only sources of sales. Special dividend paid this quarter. Dividend reinstated at a lower rate.

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Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN-T)
A high dividend paying stock with a yield of 6.47%. They are a leading operator of steakhouses and is one of the best managed.

Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN-T) — Stockchase
Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about KEG.UN-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research The Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN) is a $240M fund that invests in the Keg Rights Limited Partnership in connection with the operation and franchising of Keg steakhouse restaurants. It has a distribution yield of around 8%. Sales growth has mostly been…

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Freshii Inc (FRII-T)
They have not done too well since their IPO. They also missed expectations and were hit during tax loss selling. They have huge potential if they are able to manage their operations better. Initial valuation during the IPO was considered to be high with hard targets to meet.

Freshii Inc (FRII-T) — Stockchase
Freshii Inc (FRII-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about FRII-T: It has struggled since IPO. They are now optimizing their stores. They have had a hard time growing their profits. He would wait until they start to show some profit growth.

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United States

McDonalds (MCD-N)
The top restaurant stock in the world. McDonald’s remains a favorite among investors. The restaurant is considered to have the most convincing valuation amongst fast food companies. Same store sales are growing and there is more upside to come.

McDonalds (MCD-N) — Stockchase
McDonalds (MCD-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about MCD-N: They report Thursday. Restaurants have struggled because of high prices, but MCD rolled out some cheaper offerings and customers responded, he hopes.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N)
The company’s stock has improved and has bounced back due to changes being implemented by the new CEO. The restaurant has been focusing on product diversification and their loyalty program as well as improving core operations.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) — Stockchase
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CMG-N: He sold it. Momentum faded from a revenue slowdown. He owned it for a long time.

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Cheesecake Factory Inc (The) (CAKE-Q)
A restaurant brand famous for their cheesecakes. They performed well but topped out and pulled back. The restaurant has struggled to grow and same store growth has plateaued. Is a comeback in sight?

Cheesecake Factory Inc (The) (CAKE-Q) — Stockchase
Cheesecake Factory Inc (The) (CAKE-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about CAKE-Q: Sells at 11x PE, pays a great yield and shares are up 6% in the last month

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Yum! Brands (YUM-N)
An American fast food company that operates KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut. They are diversified globally and positioned in markets that have growing sales. China account for a big part of their revenues. They are now moving into India.

Yum! Brands (YUM-N) — Stockchase
Yum! Brands (YUM-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about YUM-N: They reported a solid quarter, beating same-store sales as their two brands (KFC and Taco Bell) crushing it. Is up 12% YTD in a tough environment, including weak consumer sentiment.

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Shake Shack Inc (SHAK-N)
A fast casual restaurant chain that started In New York City. They recently announced that same-store sales have risen by 3.6%. They are investing in innovations and working on adding to their menu.

Shake Shack Inc (SHAK-N) — Stockchase
Shake Shack Inc (SHAK-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about SHAK-N: They reported last week that they will open 40-50 new locations this year. He's long.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
The world famous coffee shop that shaped coffee culture across the globe. They are a well run company that continues to innovate but their valuation has gotten quite high. There are also questions of where new growth will come for, but they’re sure to have a plan. Wait for a pullback and hold for long-term.

Starbucks (SBUX-Q) — Stockchase
Starbucks (SBUX-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about SBUX-Q: 200-day MA is moving up a bit, which is positive. However, the price fell below that 200-day in April (as did a lot of stocks). About 30% below March highs. Always commands a premium valuation due to brand. Fallen below 200-week MA. Paying 30x forward PE, but only 8-9% earnings growth for…

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