Earning Reports to Watch (Jan 21-25)

Opinion about MBA-T: (A Past Top Pick on April 26, 2017, Down 5%) They build student housing very well and there's currently a shortage in the west. They make a 10% EBITDA margin on these schools. In addition to revenues, they benefit from the asset value is rising in those projects. They have several the…

Opinion about CP-T: Likes the railway sector. Oligopolies; infrastructure will never be rebuilt. Its acquisition of KSU will likely be the last acquisition in that area. Somewhat cyclical, but its transport of so many essential goods means it will always have underlying business. Decent pricing power, as rail is less expensive than trucking.Stock pulled back…

Opinion about ER-T: They haven't indicated a discovery in the St. James Bay area, though he likes the management and this part of the world for exploration.

Opinion about FCC-X: Cobalt is attractive but this is not a cheap producer, because they're in Canada and not Russia or Congo.

Opinion about NG-T: Leveraged call on gold. Very large, undeveloped deposit with very high upfront capital costs. If gold price continues to do well, will ultimately find a partner to put its asset into production. If gold price doesn't do well, value trap.

Opinion about TK-X: They have quality zinc deposits in Peru, but the zinc price is the issue, so is it a good time to sell it now? They will drill another 10,000 meters so find more high-grade. He escapes a scoping study by end-June. Has a flat chart though, reflecting the low zinc price. Zinc…

Opinion about AGF.B-T: Over the decades, they made poor acquisitions and should have accepted buy-out offers. It's now a shadow of itself, though is well run and generates cash. The only way to maximize value is to sell it (or raise the dividend each year).

Opinion about SCR-T: Thoughts on the offer? Both SCR and MEG held in taxable account. He's not an M&A guy. If you want a really good answer, ask somebody else 😉  A board will often reject something like this because they think it should be higher. And maybe a competitor will come along with a…

Opinion about RCH-T: Very good operators and acquirers. Post-pandemic funk, excess inventory had to be marked down. It'll take time for things to normalize. Murky construction and renovation outlook in US. More housing activity may be a good time to step back in.

Opinion about RCI.B-T: All telcos have been facing highly competitive pricing environment, slowing immigration targets, and lots of infrastructure capex. Better payout ratio, as it didn't raise dividends as much as others. So the dividend is safe. Debt issue from MLSE deal; sports assets are valuable, but not necessarily cashflow positive.