Grocery stocks are great consumer staple stocks that are defensive in times of volatility, such as what we have seen in the past months. Metro has been hitting its 52-week high, as seen on our high list.
Big box stores such as Costco and Walmart are threatening the growth of grocery stores, as they create super centres that offer much more than just groceries and can sometimes offer better value. These companies are ramping up their grocery section and are looking into online as well. The minimum wage situation could also affect grocery stores negatively, since they run on pretty tight margins. Competition could cut revenues and leave grocery stores vulnerable. However, people have to eat and grocery stores aren’t going anywhere so this might be a good place to hide during stock market storms.
Couche-Tard, who’s weathered the sell-off, is growing its business and might threaten the classic grocery store with its convenience and availability. As a company that continually adds value to stockholders, this could be a good alternative buy.
Canadian groceries y drugstores
You want defensive stocks right now. Big thing is Jean Coutu, and integration will create earnings and cash flow growth. More difficult issue is how to expand that brand beyond Quebec, and this is already priced into the stock. A defensive name, and you can do quite well. Yield is 1.7%.
Are grocers safe? Yes, during this stay at home phase. Loblaw trades at 16x forward PE with a 7% growth rate. It's low beta at half the volatility of the TSX. Q2 will probably be good in terms of revenues. But he's concerned with their private label segment has required a lot of investment. Also,…
Pays a 1.5% yield. 13% YOY sales growth and a large 12.8% free cash flow yield. Cash flow grew YOY 236%. Earnings to grow 7% this year and 5% in 2021 with a PE of 14.3x. (Analysts’ price target is $37.67)
A good entry? He has used it personally for food delivery, but does not own the stock. From a valuation perspective be careful here. A good story and good margin business. He would look for a better entry level.
He used to it own two years ago when its growth stalled. They operate in the extreme north so enjoy a retail monopoly, even insulated from e-commerce. So, they're stable. But they struggle to integrate an airline they bought. It yields 4%, which is safe, but he doesn't see stock price appreciation.
These companies are a threat:
(A Top Pick Feb 07/20, Up 6%) It is fortunate that it had positioned itself for on-line sales. He thinks this will benefit from the overall trend coming for increased spending.
Sobeys had an 18% increase in earnings even after the extra cost of front line workers. A lot of people are flocking to local supermarkets. As people become more comfortable wearing masks, visits to Costco will become much more meaningful. Longer term this company is effectively a tax on consumption. He prefers other options and…
Doesn't own, but ranks decently in his screening. Recovered from March selloff. Some growth long term, at 20x PE, so he likes it. But for a 5-10 year move, look at some of the communication or tech companies. Likes it in general, but has been meandering sideways for the last year. Look for a breakout…