Stock Opinions by Stephen Weiss, Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners

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DON'T BUY

He sold it. It will stay at current levels. The big issue is the government is after all these consulting companies to lower their costs. Also, they have a big healthcare contract with the veteran hospitals, which is an overhang. Management is good, though.

BUY

Analysts when they made their estimates didn't count on GS winning the SpaceX and openAI IPOs.

BUY

He likes the moat around the cybersecurity incumbents. Fears that Anthropic and AI would break cyber companies were overblown.

BUY

He added more after they reported a good quarter. They did have margin issues at Foot Locker, but this will sort itself out. Valuable is reasonable, not expensive, and has a moat. They continue to improve store format to entire customers. 

PARTIAL SELL

He trimmed it. Trading at a 32x forward PE, but typically in the mid-teens. As long as data centres are being built, this will participate, but it doesn't hurt to take some money off the table.

COMMENT

Based on previous cycles where momentum can turn on a dime, Micron is especially vulnerable to this. Chips are acting like a commodity. That said, he doesn't see their share price or earning declining. A caveat is adding capacity, which has always killed the chips cycle. The difference is that now it takes longer given supply chain issues to add this capacity. Maybe one or two years out, MU will turn, doesn't know.

COMMENT

Is not concerned with rising costs. Dell has much-higher earnings backed by strong demand. They can pass on costs to their customers.

BUY

Critics say they're overspending on AI, like Meta, and not seeing a return, but cloud growth was 38% and cloud is their engine. The story is well intact. It's his way of playing AI in China.

PARTIAL SELL

He's taken some shares off the table. Is trading at 7x PE, but historically it's 6x. They have contracts through 2028. At some point, this will reset, but it's too early for it.

BUY

He just added more. The market is bearish MSFT. He misjudged that MSFT would be the largest benefiary of AI, though MSFT will remain a large one, but software companies won't go out of business (i.e. NOW). He's playing the momentum in MSFT now. MSFT is okay for now. It will take a while before AI impedes what they do. Without a doubt, it's the battleground stock in the market now.

BUY

He just added more shares. Next year, this looks like a commodity valuation. You can't ignore memory. Is up 133% in the last 6 months.

BUY

His largest holding. They just reported a good quarter. Management is superb. The best way to play the investment banking cycle. 

SELL ON STRENGTH

Since he bought it last May 25, it's up 140%. Insane. He is taking profits. It's overvalued here. It's not just a data centre story.

BUY

A battleground stock. Has done pretty well since the revision in the Medicaid rate from 0 to 3%, a major change. Run by a great CEO. Is not overvalued now.

BUY

An inflationary economy like this is goo for materials. Ongoing onshoring and builds will be tailwinds.

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