Director & Portfolio Manager at Private Wealth Management, ScotiaMcleod
Member since: Jun '09 · 3481 Opinions
Independence of central banks is important. That's why we've seen weakness in the US dollar relative to other currencies. That policy uncertainty has been something to consider in the US. But when you look at markets and the drive from technology and AI-themed stocks, the market continues to be strong.
Often overlooked as people focus on SU and CNQ. He doesn't own energy names right now, due to weakness in the oil patch and crude oil prices. Concerns of global slowdown. Chart looks more attractive than many other energy names. Price has moved up since April lows, 200-day MA has been pretty steady. Decent dividend of ~2.4%, looks fairly solid.
Pretty cautious on consumer names, since we're about mid-late cycle economically. Interest rates coming down might help the consumer. Stocked popped on optimism around the turnaround story. 200-day MA trend continues lower. Tariffs are an issue. Premium at 45x forward PE for 15-19% EPS growth.
In the consumer space, he'd prefer names like DOL or TJX. Downshift in spending going on now.