Stock Opinions by Kevin Simpson

BUY
Home Depot

Pays a 2.6% dividend and boasts $18 billion free cash flow.

specialty stores
COMMENT

He's been buying this weakness. Lots of risk. Can't recommend it.

medical services
BUY
Amgen Inc.

He's surprised with how strongly shares are soaring on phase 3 trial results of their obesity drug. They're a little late to the party in these drugs, but theirs you would take less often their than peers'. Also, a recent acquisition makes them double-digit revenue growers and is accretive. Loves the dividend growth too.

biotechnology / pharmaceutical
BUY

After they reported, shares declined 10%, but he still thinks they're best in breed, with retail banking on top. They increase their 2.4% dividend by 10% annually and trades at a 10x forward PE. Banks have been strong the past year.

Financial Services
BUY
TJX Companies

He added more. The consumer is trading down (see Kellogg's and Starbucks earnings). There's growth here again, and have been increasing their modest dividend. Boast $4 billion in free cash flow the past year.

clothing stores
PARTIAL SELL
Chevron Texaco

He just trimmed it on oil's move upward. 

integrated oils
SELL ON STRENGTH
Apple Inc

Doesn't think the earnings increase justifies the $20 increase a weak. Is now 29x fowrad PE now. The share buyback is massive. He wrote a covered call this morning because today's move was huge. Take profits at $190-200.

electrical / electronic
COMMENT

The market is up so much since the Oct. 27 lows. History says that we are due for a correction and tech is vulnerable. He's sell tech (take profits). The markets are 100% frothy.

Unknown
BUY
Apple Inc

He's now bullish after exiting last November. They just announced AI innovations, which is a tailwind, though he's not that concerned about China pushing its own smartphones. They have $100 billion of free cash flow--they print money and he likes that.

electrical / electronic
PARTIAL BUY

He just started a position. Everything that Boeing is doing well, aerospace companies like this benefit. Also, they're streamlining their business, starting with aerospace, and can benefit from the infrastructure play. Pays a 2.2% dividend, bug share buybacks and solid dividend growth. He's expecting a breakout after sluggishnes.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
TRADE

He's selling calls on this. The volatility spike is giving him opportunities to write calls for a $57 strike two weeks out (11% annualized). 

non-base metal mining
HOLD
McDonalds

His price target is $300. Has owned this for over a decade, a great dividend compounder, but he wouldn't rush into it now.

food services
WATCH

It reports next week. Is hitting a 52-week low today. He bought it higher, at $470, last month. Don't buy ahead of earnings. They're taking punch after punch. He's close to being stopped out of his position. He will watch for guidance. If it's a sell-the-news event, he might sell.

medical services
SELL
Johnson & Johnson

They report on Tuesday. He sold it and would avoid it. Has no expectations for it.

biotechnology / pharmaceutical
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Procter & Gamble

Wait till they report earnings next week. He expects sell-off the week after. Buy then.

misc consumer products
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