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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary) opinion on 2017-05-15

Last Price Recorded: 0.0200 on 0000-00-00

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE Oct 2000

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Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert was $0.020 at time of opinion
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Educational Segment. He gets a lot of questions on hedging, and this is to show you his favourite indicators, and what are quite popular on the street for figuring out where the Cdn$ might go. A upper part of the chart showed the traded value of the Cdn$ over a two-year span. When it was going up, it indicated the dollar was weakening. The bottom part showed the interest rate differential 2-year US and 2-year Canada. As the differential was rising, the spread to US interest rates, the US yields more than Canada. Money tends to flow towards the higher yielding currency on average. With that in mind, the Fed is likely going to keep raising rates, which is a bit of a negative. However, compared to where the spread was when we were back at the extremes, we are now at the same level spread wise. The chart also showed the correlation of oil to the Cdn$, which pretty much followed. The chart also showed the speculative position in the futures market. Currently, we are at the highest level in terms of net speculative Shorts in the last couple of weeks. That tells him that there is an imbalance in the market. The loonie might be close to a bottom for at least the next 6-12 months. Going out to the end of 2020 on the futures curve on a crude oil chart, we are looking at pretty stable oil prices in and around $50 looking out 4 years.

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All opinions for A Commentary (10664)

677 BUY
49 BUY on WEAKNESS
3057 COMMENT
687 DON'T BUY
132 HOLD
5143 N/A
10 PARTIAL BUY
7 PARTIAL SELL
216 PAST TOP PICK
53 SELL
1 SELL ON STRENGTH
4 SPECULATIVE BUY
8 STRONG BUY
401 TOP PICK
15 VAGUE
74 WAIT
57 WATCH
71 WEAK BUY
2 Unspecified
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All opinions for A Commentary (10664)

677 BUY
49 BUY on WEAKNESS
3057 COMMENT
687 DON'T BUY
132 HOLD
5143 N/A
10 PARTIAL BUY
7 PARTIAL SELL
216 PAST TOP PICK
53 SELL
1 SELL ON STRENGTH
4 SPECULATIVE BUY
8 STRONG BUY
401 TOP PICK
15 VAGUE
74 WAIT
57 WATCH
71 WEAK BUY
2 Unspecified
View All

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Add A Commentary to Watch List

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