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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary) opinion on 2017-03-20

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Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert was $0.020 at time of opinion
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Educational Segment: Long-Term Investing. This is on geopolitical and global macro, because a lot of global hedge funds macro views and look for themes in markets. This week, Canada has their budget. Global investors look at things like this and look for what is diverging and what is different, and is it good or bad compared to others. The US is cutting taxes, both corporate and personal, while Canada is raising taxes. Global money follows the flow of funds. Canada has net outflows on capital account, net outflows on current account, so we run trade deficits. There is less money coming into Canada so the global investors see that Canada is vulnerable and if they Short Canada as well as the currency, will the Bank of Canada raise rates? Investing in Canada has a lot to do with oil, and as oil goes, so goes the TSX.

If the budget is as bad as he thinks it is going to be, in terms of taxing capital and savings, you use inverse ETF’s. HBP 60 Inverse ETF (HIX-T) is an inverse play on the TSX 60. While Canada is somewhat cheap this year, it is only going to grow at 1.5% a year over the next 5 years, and only because they are borrowing money.

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All opinions for A Commentary (10678)

677 BUY
49 BUY on WEAKNESS
3058 COMMENT
687 DON'T BUY
132 HOLD
5156 N/A
10 PARTIAL BUY
7 PARTIAL SELL
216 PAST TOP PICK
53 SELL
1 SELL ON STRENGTH
4 SPECULATIVE BUY
8 STRONG BUY
401 TOP PICK
15 VAGUE
74 WAIT
57 WATCH
71 WEAK BUY
2 Unspecified
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All opinions for A Commentary (10678)

677 BUY
49 BUY on WEAKNESS
3058 COMMENT
687 DON'T BUY
132 HOLD
5156 N/A
10 PARTIAL BUY
7 PARTIAL SELL
216 PAST TOP PICK
53 SELL
1 SELL ON STRENGTH
4 SPECULATIVE BUY
8 STRONG BUY
401 TOP PICK
15 VAGUE
74 WAIT
57 WATCH
71 WEAK BUY
2 Unspecified
View All

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