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September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Thus utilities based ETF is a defensive holding that provides a solid yield. This can act as a hedge against investor equity holding in case of a broad market retracement. Utility holdings also benefit during a prolonged low interest rate environment. We would trade this with a $54 stop-loss. Yield 3.38%
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SPDR Utilities E.T.F. (XLU-N)
September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Thus utilities based ETF is a defensive holding that provides a solid yield. This can act as a hedge against investor equity holding in case of a broad market retracement. Utility holdings also benefit during a prolonged low interest rate environment. We would trade this with a $54 stop-loss. Yield 3.38%
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September 16, 2020
Second largest operator behind 7-11. As Covid restrictions loosen, we'll have more people on the road but also driving rather than using public transportation. Good job of thinking about the future. Launching own brand of food, exploring initiatives in e-charging stations and selling marijuana. Free cash flow has grown 16% over the last 5 years, dividend grows at 22%. Yield is 0.63%. (Analysts’ price target is $51.54)
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Second largest operator behind 7-11. As Covid restrictions loosen, we'll have more people on the road but also driving rather than using public transportation. Good job of thinking about the future. Launching own brand of food, exploring initiatives in e-charging stations and selling marijuana. Free cash flow has grown 16% over the last 5 years, dividend grows at 22%. Yield is 0.63%. (Analysts’ price target is $51.54)
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September 16, 2020
Choline product necessary to humans and animals. Also make a purifier for when you don't have water. Through Covid, EBITDA, revenue, and EPS all increased. Grow through acquisition and organically. Prudent with the debt they take on. About 12% free cash flow growth per year. Smart management team. Yield is 0.54%. (Analysts’ price target is $109.25)
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Balchem Corp (BCPC-Q)
September 16, 2020
Choline product necessary to humans and animals. Also make a purifier for when you don't have water. Through Covid, EBITDA, revenue, and EPS all increased. Grow through acquisition and organically. Prudent with the debt they take on. About 12% free cash flow growth per year. Smart management team. Yield is 0.54%. (Analysts’ price target is $109.25)
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September 16, 2020
Global leader in enzymes, 48% market share. Dividend has grown by 16% since 2000. Stock's been trading sideways, so with share buybacks investors get a bigger piece of the pie. 34% of sales come from EM. Enzymes are low in cost, but have a big impact on the outcome. Yield is 1.27%.
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Novozymes (NZYMB-CPH)
September 16, 2020
Global leader in enzymes, 48% market share. Dividend has grown by 16% since 2000. Stock's been trading sideways, so with share buybacks investors get a bigger piece of the pie. 34% of sales come from EM. Enzymes are low in cost, but have a big impact on the outcome. Yield is 1.27%.
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September 15, 2020

A regulated utility and they make green energy. 90% of revenues come from the U.S. It's defensive with a visible cash flow. Their renewable business is supported by long-term contracts. The 4.5% dividend is safe and will continue to rise. AQN recently raised $1 billion to fund their capital program this year into next. They've partnered with Chevron to develop their renewable energy. Last week, they bought a Chilean water utility and may buy the rest of it later. Overall, they're expanding their renewable power space. They have room to grow geographically here and abroad. Strong growth prospects here and an income stock. We're already seeing capital pour into renewable power globally and here in Canada. (Analysts’ price target is $20.59)

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A regulated utility and they make green energy. 90% of revenues come from the U.S. It's defensive with a visible cash flow. Their renewable business is supported by long-term contracts. The 4.5% dividend is safe and will continue to rise. AQN recently raised $1 billion to fund their capital program this year into next. They've partnered with Chevron to develop their renewable energy. Last week, they bought a Chilean water utility and may buy the rest of it later. Overall, they're expanding their renewable power space. They have room to grow geographically here and abroad. Strong growth prospects here and an income stock. We're already seeing capital pour into renewable power globally and here in Canada. (Analysts’ price target is $20.59)

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September 15, 2020
A diversified healthcare name. The pharma drug pipeline is robust with success launching products that should continue. Strong balance sheet and pays under a 3% yield that they've increased in 50 straight years. The medical devices unit got hit by the lockdown, but surgeries are coming back (they reportedly snapped back to 85% pre-Covid). They are developing a vaccine, but won't make a profit, they say, in the first stage. (Analysts’ price target is $163.63)
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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N)
September 15, 2020
A diversified healthcare name. The pharma drug pipeline is robust with success launching products that should continue. Strong balance sheet and pays under a 3% yield that they've increased in 50 straight years. The medical devices unit got hit by the lockdown, but surgeries are coming back (they reportedly snapped back to 85% pre-Covid). They are developing a vaccine, but won't make a profit, they say, in the first stage. (Analysts’ price target is $163.63)
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September 15, 2020

Food retailing is defensive. Unlike Empire, Loblaw owns Shoppers which gives it an edge. Loblaw is expanding their health business, entering digital health with a new acquisition. The locations of both Loblaw and SDM are great and boast a 30% market share. People are becoming comfortable using online medical services, a trend that will continue across North America long term. The growth rate in their click-and-collect and grocery delivery may not be that strong, but will continue to rise. Trades at 14x forward earnings, reasonable. The dividend is a moderate 2%. Even if we enter high volatility, this sector and stock will be fine. (Analysts’ price target is $80.82)

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Loblaw Companies Ltd (L-T)
September 15, 2020

Food retailing is defensive. Unlike Empire, Loblaw owns Shoppers which gives it an edge. Loblaw is expanding their health business, entering digital health with a new acquisition. The locations of both Loblaw and SDM are great and boast a 30% market share. People are becoming comfortable using online medical services, a trend that will continue across North America long term. The growth rate in their click-and-collect and grocery delivery may not be that strong, but will continue to rise. Trades at 14x forward earnings, reasonable. The dividend is a moderate 2%. Even if we enter high volatility, this sector and stock will be fine. (Analysts’ price target is $80.82)

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September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly BANF operates 107 commercial banking locations in Oklahoma. Its latest earnings report topped analyst expectations by over 30% and it achieves margins over 23%. EPS has grown on average 8.9% annually over the past five years. The dividend was just raised and pays a decent yield that is backed by a 37% payout ratio. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $39.00. Yield 3.03% (Analysts’ price target is $66.00)
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BancFirst Corp. (BANF-Q)
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly BANF operates 107 commercial banking locations in Oklahoma. Its latest earnings report topped analyst expectations by over 30% and it achieves margins over 23%. EPS has grown on average 8.9% annually over the past five years. The dividend was just raised and pays a decent yield that is backed by a 37% payout ratio. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $39.00. Yield 3.03% (Analysts’ price target is $66.00)
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September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly It will soon be tax time again and HRB is set to see a seasonal uptick in business. Latest earnings beat expectations by almost 50%. Although EPS was negative the company's investment in its online digital platform will better position it for this pandemic based economy. It pays a nice dividend, but its payout ratio of cash flow is a bit high at 84% -- we think improving earnings will keep it safe. We expect some technical resistance near $17, when breached will lead to a test of $20 -- 35% upside. We would trade this with a $13 stop-loss. Yield 7.07% (Analysts’ price target is $20.17)
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H&R Block (HRB-N)
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly It will soon be tax time again and HRB is set to see a seasonal uptick in business. Latest earnings beat expectations by almost 50%. Although EPS was negative the company's investment in its online digital platform will better position it for this pandemic based economy. It pays a nice dividend, but its payout ratio of cash flow is a bit high at 84% -- we think improving earnings will keep it safe. We expect some technical resistance near $17, when breached will lead to a test of $20 -- 35% upside. We would trade this with a $13 stop-loss. Yield 7.07% (Analysts’ price target is $20.17)
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September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly UGI distributes energy, primarily propane, to over 1.7 million customers through 1900 distribution locations in the US. This is a bit of a seasonal play as their business is getting busy now shipping energy to its customers ahead of winter. It pays a nice dividend that is backed by a payout ratio of only 57% of cash flow. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $30, looking for a return to $45 -- 35% upside. Yield 4.05% (Analysts’ price target is $45.25)
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UGI Corporation (UGI-N)
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly UGI distributes energy, primarily propane, to over 1.7 million customers through 1900 distribution locations in the US. This is a bit of a seasonal play as their business is getting busy now shipping energy to its customers ahead of winter. It pays a nice dividend that is backed by a payout ratio of only 57% of cash flow. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $30, looking for a return to $45 -- 35% upside. Yield 4.05% (Analysts’ price target is $45.25)
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September 14, 2020
It has a 3% dividend yield and trades at 0.8-0.9 times book value. They increased profitability by reducing costs. They took less of a loan loss provision than the other banks. They have a great balance sheet and will continue to pay their dividend. They have a great capital markets and wealth management business. (Analysts’ price target is $27.91)
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Bank of America (BAC-N)
September 14, 2020
It has a 3% dividend yield and trades at 0.8-0.9 times book value. They increased profitability by reducing costs. They took less of a loan loss provision than the other banks. They have a great balance sheet and will continue to pay their dividend. They have a great capital markets and wealth management business. (Analysts’ price target is $27.91)
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September 14, 2020
Medical devices. A lot of elective surgeries were put off but are now coming back. They acquired an ankle and wrist company. There is good international growth. There is a risk in the steep learning curve on these products. (Analysts’ price target is $213.91)
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Stryker Corp. (SYK-N)
September 14, 2020
Medical devices. A lot of elective surgeries were put off but are now coming back. They acquired an ankle and wrist company. There is good international growth. There is a risk in the steep learning curve on these products. (Analysts’ price target is $213.91)
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September 14, 2020
It has one of the best retail franchises in North America. They have done a very good job of executing. They are well capitalized. They have lots of capital. It may take a couple of quarters and then it will out perform. (Analysts’ price target is $67.50)
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Toronto Dominion (TD-T)
September 14, 2020
It has one of the best retail franchises in North America. They have done a very good job of executing. They are well capitalized. They have lots of capital. It may take a couple of quarters and then it will out perform. (Analysts’ price target is $67.50)
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September 11, 2020
Has a 900M market cap. They make pressure sensitive and water activated sealing tape used in e-commerce shipping. They have 11% free cashflow yield that they would use to pay down debt. Earnings are expected to grow well through 2021. Technical analysis notes that it has reversed a 3 year down trend. Potential 30-34% upside. An e-commerce play. (Analysts’ price target is $18.19)
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Has a 900M market cap. They make pressure sensitive and water activated sealing tape used in e-commerce shipping. They have 11% free cashflow yield that they would use to pay down debt. Earnings are expected to grow well through 2021. Technical analysis notes that it has reversed a 3 year down trend. Potential 30-34% upside. An e-commerce play. (Analysts’ price target is $18.19)
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September 11, 2020
$20B market cap that operates in N Ontario and California. A very big free cash flow yield. Earnings, sales are both up nicely. They are undertaking a new drilling program that could potentially offer high grade underground deposits. A potential 10-17% upside. (Analysts’ price target is $79.82)
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Kirkland Lake Gold (KL-T)
September 11, 2020
$20B market cap that operates in N Ontario and California. A very big free cash flow yield. Earnings, sales are both up nicely. They are undertaking a new drilling program that could potentially offer high grade underground deposits. A potential 10-17% upside. (Analysts’ price target is $79.82)
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