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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
D R Horton Inc.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly RBC recently upgraded home builder DHI based on current trends in the housing market and its affordable regional focus (largely in Texas) is well positioned. It trades at only 10.5x earnings, compared to 32x for the construction space. With a PEG ratio of 0.72, it is good value based on EPS growth expected to be over 13% next year, following a 49% increase this year. It pays a small dividend backed by a payout ratio of only 10%. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $59, looking to achieve $89 -- over 30% upside potential. Yield 1.18% (Analysts’ price target is $89.21)
contractors
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly VZ is a defensive stock that pays you to hold it with a great dividend, backed by a payout ratio of only 56%. The company provides internet, cable and phone services -- all of which are deemed essential in today's world. It has already been launching 5G giving it an early advantage over competitors like AT&T. We would buy this with a stop-loss of $51, looking to achieve $67 -- upside of over 17%. Yield 4.37% (Analysts’ price target is $62.06)

telephone utilities
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
WD-40 Company
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This well known household product continues to put up solid results. Latest reported revenue was up over 26%, aggressively beating expectations, and gross margin continues to expand with increased cost efficiencies. Management just raised 2021 earnings guidance, above market expectations. The dividend is modest, but has increased in each of the past 11 years (backed by a payout ratio of 51%) and is due for another increase shortly. We would buy this with a stop-loss of $240, looking to target $353 -- over 20% upside. Yield 0.89% (Analysts’ price target is $353.00)
chemicals
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
Kellog
(A Top Pick Sep 08/20, Down 9.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK has triggered our stop-loss at $60. We are recommending covering the position at this time. We will look for better opportunities.
food processing
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
ConocoPhillips
(A Top Pick Nov 10/20, Up 29.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with COP has achieved its target of $46. We are recommending to cover 50% of the position to remain disciplined and to trail up the stop from $25 to $33.
integrated oils
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
Levi Strauss & Co.
(A Top Pick Oct 13/20, Up 40.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with LEVI has achieved its $22 target. We are recommending to cover 50% of the position, to remain disciplined and to trail up the stop to $19. This would all but guarantee a 31% return on the investment.
Consumer Products
COMMENT
Markets started the year euphoric and he sees 10% upside to spring and summer. The election and vaccines mark good news, bad news out of the way. In US, retail investors are throwing money at momentum stories, which is a big vulnerability. He wouldn't be surprised with a pullback. Bond yields increasing: he sees the yield curve climbing steeply. Doesn't see negative rates. After Covid, this economy will be incredibly strong driven by pent-up spending (savings rates are up). This leads to inflation and reflation which he hasn't seen in years. He sees a risk to bond prices as rates climb--the short end will be low while mid- and late-term will be higher. This could lead to inflation that we haven't seen for decades.
Unknown
COMMENT

Brookfield buying BPY He expects BAM to take it over and it's a good thing to keep BPY within Brookfield/BAM. The deal is accretive for BAM which he really likes. About BPY, you don't want to own these assets (offices, large retail) during this pandemic. Better to own apartments and industrials. BAM fell 5% on news of the takeover, but investors don't understand how accretive this deal is. BAM is a fantastic asset allocator; he wouldn't bet against them.

REAL ESTATE
DON'T BUY
They over-distributed, so he avoided it. Then, the pandemic hit them hard, because they own some retail. Also, there are CEO succession worries. He avoids office and retail and likes industrials and multi-residential in real estate. This REIT is cheap, though, on valuation. It's hard to determine which sectors will survive in real estate.
property mngmnt / investment
WEAK BUY
Granite REIT

A very good REIT. They spun out their Magna industrial assets and recent quarters have been strong. Growing well. It's defensive, not totally industrial though. He likes it. He is neutral/likes this.

property mngmnt / investment
BUY
Magna Int'l. (A)

He just bought it. They've done a great job and expects them to be the generic "white label" parts-maker for all e-carmakers. Apple is talking to Hyundai about e-cars, but Hyundai works with Magna. He sees growth in e-cars. Costs will be managed efficiently (i.e. battery costs declining) as Magna transitions to e-cars, and Magna has been doing this for a long time, around 80 years.

Automotive
BUY
Killam vs. Crombie REITs Killam holds apartments, an asset class he really likes among REITs. Rent-collection rates are really high for Killam, so no worries about that. All these REITs trade at a 10-15% discount to NAV. Funding costs will drop 1%, because they get funding from CMHC. A hiccup comes from mobile homes which had weakness in the last quarter. Other businesses are fine. CROMBIE: He owns Crombie's debt, not the REIT. This is anchroed by Canadian Safeway and Sobey stores. Highly defensive. Sobeys had an integration problem out west. He likes this as a conservative REIT, but it won't do much. Likes both.
property mngmnt / investment
DON'T BUY
Used to own this. Pre-Covid they were a good asset creator through buying and integrating those assets. Problem is they also own retail, which could be a problem for a while. This exposure is a concern. Overall, though he likes the managers and the company.
property mngmnt / investment
COMMENT

It's one of the best survivors in retail. They held their own against Walmart. Great job diversifying into Sportscheck and Marks Work Warehouse. They have the goods that people want, so have benefitted from the pandemic. But the stock has recovered a lot. Trades at a 10x earning basis, so cheap. That said, there are better retailers, like ATD'B. CTC.A is well-diversified, though.

specialty stores
PAST TOP PICK
Cargojet Inc

(A Top Pick Jan 29/20, Up 90%) He of course watches Amazon, but the valuation was too high. CJT was an easier way to get into e-commerce and of course this business exploded with the pandemic. Their last two quarters blew-out earnings. Also, they enjoy less competition now so they're in a sweet spot. This has more room to run. Amazon owns 10% of CJT, so there is a chance of takeover, but he doubts they will.

Transportation & Environmental Services