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Signal Opinion Expert
COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 20, 2019

Market Outlook He is generally bullish. We have had a great year in just six weeks -- TSX up 10% already. The market is awaiting a resolution between the US and China on the trade front. This should bring back investor confidence. There is slowing earnings growth, so we need to proceed with cautious optimism. We might expect to see more M&A activity as confidence returns -- KWH.UN-T and SUM-T, for example today.
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Market Outlook He is generally bullish. We have had a great year in just six weeks -- TSX up 10% already. The market is awaiting a resolution between the US and China on the trade front. This should bring back investor confidence. There is slowing earnings growth, so we need to proceed with cautious optimism. We might expect to see more M&A activity as confidence returns -- KWH.UN-T and SUM-T, for example today.
Unknown
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Peter Hodson

CEO & Head, 5i Research Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

Buying the dips can work to degree, but generally he's not a fan of dollar-cost averaging. He buys stocks when stocks or the markets are way out of favour. In December, he bought a few stocks--it was not cheap, but cheaper than usual. Governments around the world are in bad shape, like Italy and Canada, because they carry a lot of debt. When the recession comes, those governments have little ammunition. Governments should have been paying down their debts. There are difficult days ahead. SNC is too expensive and the fall-out will continue, though he considers the fall-out overblown. It's still a great Canadian corporation.
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Buying the dips can work to degree, but generally he's not a fan of dollar-cost averaging. He buys stocks when stocks or the markets are way out of favour. In December, he bought a few stocks--it was not cheap, but cheaper than usual. Governments around the world are in bad shape, like Italy and Canada, because they carry a lot of debt. When the recession comes, those governments have little ammunition. Governments should have been paying down their debts. There are difficult days ahead. SNC is too expensive and the fall-out will continue, though he considers the fall-out overblown. It's still a great Canadian corporation.
Unknown
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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

You would average down, but would you ever break your rule and average up? Averaging up, no. If I can buy a stock at a particular price, why would I pay more? Even if the reward behind a stock has increase dramatically, he still won't. No. He stays within his discipline. Secondly, he would average down ONCE, not twice. He learned from past mistakes when averaged down three times on a stock and got wiped out for a lot of money. Overall, he's had a lot of success averaging down.
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You would average down, but would you ever break your rule and average up? Averaging up, no. If I can buy a stock at a particular price, why would I pay more? Even if the reward behind a stock has increase dramatically, he still won't. No. He stays within his discipline. Secondly, he would average down ONCE, not twice. He learned from past mistakes when averaged down three times on a stock and got wiped out for a lot of money. Overall, he's had a lot of success averaging down.
Unknown
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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

Per capita, US goverment debt is lower than Canadian, so he disagrees with the opening comment that our debt situation is that bad. He politely disagrees. True, per capita, American debt is higher than ours, but both situations are bad. Our Canadian debt load is huge and getting bigger. The Liberals are saying they will erase the deficit in 2042: How can they forecast that far ahead? That's stupid. Canada is in very bad shape. America: He disagrees with Trump on many, many things. He should be paying down the debt when the economy is good. It makes zero sense. He doubts he will be re-elected.
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Per capita, US goverment debt is lower than Canadian, so he disagrees with the opening comment that our debt situation is that bad. He politely disagrees. True, per capita, American debt is higher than ours, but both situations are bad. Our Canadian debt load is huge and getting bigger. The Liberals are saying they will erase the deficit in 2042: How can they forecast that far ahead? That's stupid. Canada is in very bad shape. America: He disagrees with Trump on many, many things. He should be paying down the debt when the economy is good. It makes zero sense. He doubts he will be re-elected.
Unknown
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0 comments
Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

Walmart's numbers were very good today, signalling that the U.S. consumer is healthier than we thought in December 2018. That challenges the idea that the American economy was doing well last year until September. But he doesn't any stock that pulls back in the last minutes of a trading day, but he likes Walmart for the long term. Compared to Amazon whose multiple can't be justified on a retail model. (He owns Amazon.) We've never done deleveraging on the scale that the US Fed has done, like it is now. The December rate rise in December was probably a rookie mistake by Powell. He's sure there won't be a rate hike this year. We'll be in a trading range until the US and China sign a trade deal which will be the next catalyst--and it's partially built into the market already. Conversely, we'll see a major sell-off if there's no deal.
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Walmart's numbers were very good today, signalling that the U.S. consumer is healthier than we thought in December 2018. That challenges the idea that the American economy was doing well last year until September. But he doesn't any stock that pulls back in the last minutes of a trading day, but he likes Walmart for the long term. Compared to Amazon whose multiple can't be justified on a retail model. (He owns Amazon.) We've never done deleveraging on the scale that the US Fed has done, like it is now. The December rate rise in December was probably a rookie mistake by Powell. He's sure there won't be a rate hike this year. We'll be in a trading range until the US and China sign a trade deal which will be the next catalyst--and it's partially built into the market already. Conversely, we'll see a major sell-off if there's no deal.
Unknown
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Richard Croft

President, R.N. Croft Financial...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

How long should you hold a covered cold after a stock goes ex-dividend? Say you buy a stock on Monday and sold covered calls on the same day. The stock hits $36 and you sell covered calls at $32. The next day is the ex-dividend day. On Tuesday morning 9 am, the stock is not been sold, so you re-purchase the covered call then sell the stock. On Thursday, he was told he must re-purchase the stock and shouldn't have sold it. The only reason you couldn't sell it the next day is if the optioned was exercised and the stock was taken from you; you shouldn't learned this on Tuesday morning. This is the dividend capture program. The challenge with this is if the dividend is large, then the person who bought the call has the right to exercise it--and if he does this on the ex-dividend date, then he owns the stock and captures the dividend. Such a move doesn't have much time value. Apparently, you didn't know you had lost it. Talk to your broker/firm.
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How long should you hold a covered cold after a stock goes ex-dividend? Say you buy a stock on Monday and sold covered calls on the same day. The stock hits $36 and you sell covered calls at $32. The next day is the ex-dividend day. On Tuesday morning 9 am, the stock is not been sold, so you re-purchase the covered call then sell the stock. On Thursday, he was told he must re-purchase the stock and shouldn't have sold it. The only reason you couldn't sell it the next day is if the optioned was exercised and the stock was taken from you; you shouldn't learned this on Tuesday morning. This is the dividend capture program. The challenge with this is if the dividend is large, then the person who bought the call has the right to exercise it--and if he does this on the ex-dividend date, then he owns the stock and captures the dividend. Such a move doesn't have much time value. Apparently, you didn't know you had lost it. Talk to your broker/firm.
Unknown
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0 comments
Richard Croft

President, R.N. Croft Financial...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 19, 2019

Where should a new investor start in today's market with a troubled outlook? He's never found a great time to invest in all his career. So, start--as a balanced investor--and buy the TSX 60 index with XIU, then SPY, XBB and XSB at 25% each, so that you buy the Canadian economy, bonds and the S&P 500.
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Where should a new investor start in today's market with a troubled outlook? He's never found a great time to invest in all his career. So, start--as a balanced investor--and buy the TSX 60 index with XIU, then SPY, XBB and XSB at 25% each, so that you buy the Canadian economy, bonds and the S&P 500.
Unknown
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0 comments
Richard Croft

President, R.N. Croft Financial...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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