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January 10, 2019
Market. Since we got super oversold back on Christmas Eve, we bounced up. Base metals look good; energy, base metals and technology look really good. Around the 24th we saw a further rollover of the US$. It will support emerging markets amongst others. We should move ahead strongly at the end of January. The base metals move inverse to the US$ so as it is breaking down, we expect base metals to go up. He expects a multi-year bear market in the US$. The 10-year US note is falling with the price of oil. These yields should now continue higher.
General Market Comment
January 10, 2019
Market. Since we got super oversold back on Christmas Eve, we bounced up. Base metals look good; energy, base metals and technology look really good. Around the 24th we saw a further rollover of the US$. It will support emerging markets amongst others. We should move ahead strongly at the end of January. The base metals move inverse to the US$ so as it is breaking down, we expect base metals to go up. He expects a multi-year bear market in the US$. The 10-year US note is falling with the price of oil. These yields should now continue higher.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
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N/A
January 10, 2019
US$. The billions of repatriation dollars are probably ending? There was a bit rush of money coming back in so we could start to see a fall in the US$ rate. The Canadian dollar has rebounded since Christmas. We will run into resistance around $0.76. You will probably see a continuation of the strength in the Canadian dollar. Resistance would be at $0.80.
General Market Comment
January 10, 2019
US$. The billions of repatriation dollars are probably ending? There was a bit rush of money coming back in so we could start to see a fall in the US$ rate. The Canadian dollar has rebounded since Christmas. We will run into resistance around $0.76. You will probably see a continuation of the strength in the Canadian dollar. Resistance would be at $0.80.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
January 10, 2019
Utilities vs. Telcos. Which Sector? He would look at a basket of them. XUT-T is a utility ETF. For Telcos he would get a basket directly because of the ETF's volume. In case rates go much higher he would not get a large position.
General Market Comment
January 10, 2019
Utilities vs. Telcos. Which Sector? He would look at a basket of them. XUT-T is a utility ETF. For Telcos he would get a basket directly because of the ETF's volume. In case rates go much higher he would not get a large position.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 10, 2019
Market Outlook - The Market got oversold on December due to negative sentiment. Concerns about US trade war with China, flat yield curve flattening and oil price collapsing and a misinterpretation from the market on what Powell said about raising rates regardless of what was going on weighted on sentiment. Powell then talked again and he said that he was data dependent. The Bank of Canada said the same recently. That provided relieve to the market. The preliminary holiday sales estimates indicate that it was a strong season. Unemployment is still low. It is too early to say.
General Market Comment
January 10, 2019
Market Outlook - The Market got oversold on December due to negative sentiment. Concerns about US trade war with China, flat yield curve flattening and oil price collapsing and a misinterpretation from the market on what Powell said about raising rates regardless of what was going on weighted on sentiment. Powell then talked again and he said that he was data dependent. The Bank of Canada said the same recently. That provided relieve to the market. The preliminary holiday sales estimates indicate that it was a strong season. Unemployment is still low. It is too early to say.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 10, 2019

Are we in a bear market? - How do you define a bear market? She doesn't think we are in a bear market. Some people say that a 20% threshold is how you define a bear market. The S&P 500 dropped from a high of September 20 to the low on December 24 19.4%. She doesn't see a recession in the near future. There is a slow down in 2019 with GDP growth being lower than 2018 but still positive. Same with corporate profit growth as the 2018 profits had been boosted by tax incentives.

General Market Comment
January 10, 2019

Are we in a bear market? - How do you define a bear market? She doesn't think we are in a bear market. Some people say that a 20% threshold is how you define a bear market. The S&P 500 dropped from a high of September 20 to the low on December 24 19.4%. She doesn't see a recession in the near future. There is a slow down in 2019 with GDP growth being lower than 2018 but still positive. Same with corporate profit growth as the 2018 profits had been boosted by tax incentives.

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 10, 2019
Is it a good moment to convert CAD into USD? - It is always very difficult to call on currency. She sees the CAD in a range of 1.25 to 1.35. We are kind of at the high end of that end of that range. Having said that she doesn't see the CAD appreciating as there is no reason for that.
General Market Comment
January 10, 2019
Is it a good moment to convert CAD into USD? - It is always very difficult to call on currency. She sees the CAD in a range of 1.25 to 1.35. We are kind of at the high end of that end of that range. Having said that she doesn't see the CAD appreciating as there is no reason for that.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management