Educational Segment
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Educational Segment Table


Signal Opinion Expert
N/A
General Market Comment 

December 10, 2018

Educational Segment. Seasonality this time of year is very positive as everyone looks for a Santa Clause rally. His chart does not include 1987. Sell in May and Go Away still holds until early October. This year has not played out at all. As markets recovered, there was a big down. We got none of the taking off from the seasonal lows of October. This is the longest bull market in history. We expect a bunch of failed rallies. We likely will not get anything big on the upside. The highs are probably in for this bull cycle. Bear market rallies on good news can make new highs, but we are in a bear market.
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Educational Segment. Seasonality this time of year is very positive as everyone looks for a Santa Clause rally. His chart does not include 1987. Sell in May and Go Away still holds until early October. This year has not played out at all. As markets recovered, there was a big down. We got none of the taking off from the seasonal lows of October. This is the longest bull market in history. We expect a bunch of failed rallies. We likely will not get anything big on the upside. The highs are probably in for this bull cycle. Bear market rallies on good news can make new highs, but we are in a bear market.
Unknown
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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

December 3, 2018

Educational Segment. David Rosenberg is his favouite economist on the planet and was his guest today. He is a forensic economist. He focuses on the yield curve. We have seen that the yield curve did not invert in two countries recently and yet they have gone into recession. It is the general increase of interest rates in the most indebted countries in the world that could tip it into a recession. The recession odds are one in three right now. Catalysts around recession are around trade. Since Trump put tariffs on goods, the markets are really down. His guest feels it is all about the FED. A global recession will be caused by liquidity. We will have massive fiscal policy withdrawal next year. When interest rates rise, the impact is down the road. We are transitioning away from the long term bull market.
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Educational Segment. David Rosenberg is his favouite economist on the planet and was his guest today. He is a forensic economist. He focuses on the yield curve. We have seen that the yield curve did not invert in two countries recently and yet they have gone into recession. It is the general increase of interest rates in the most indebted countries in the world that could tip it into a recession. The recession odds are one in three right now. Catalysts around recession are around trade. Since Trump put tariffs on goods, the markets are really down. His guest feels it is all about the FED. A global recession will be caused by liquidity. We will have massive fiscal policy withdrawal next year. When interest rates rise, the impact is down the road. We are transitioning away from the long term bull market.
Unknown
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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

BUY
Canadian Banks, BAC-N. See his educational segment today on Canadian banks. The US banks will make weaker lows before new highs. He is long on KRE-T (US Banks).
E.T.F.'s
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Canadian Banks, BAC-N. See his educational segment today on Canadian banks. The US banks will make weaker lows before new highs. He is long on KRE-T (US Banks).
E.T.F.'s
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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$54.900
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 19, 2018

Canadian Banks, BAC-N. See his educational segment today on Canadian banks. The US banks will make weaker lows before new highs. He is long on KRE-T (US Banks).
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Canadian Banks, BAC-N. See his educational segment today on Canadian banks. The US banks will make weaker lows before new highs. He is long on KRE-T (US Banks).
Unknown
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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

N/A
General Market Comment 

November 19, 2018

Educational Segment. Covered Call ETFs. All the ETF providers write Options differently. The Covered Call bank ETF vs. the non covered call variant were compared since inception. In 5 different periods, ZWB-T went down less in market downturns. In strong periods, you make most of your money. The covered call exposure significantly underperforms the non-covered call strategy.
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Educational Segment. Covered Call ETFs. All the ETF providers write Options differently. The Covered Call bank ETF vs. the non covered call variant were compared since inception. In 5 different periods, ZWB-T went down less in market downturns. In strong periods, you make most of your money. The covered call exposure significantly underperforms the non-covered call strategy.
Unknown
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0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

November 12, 2018

Educational Segment. Controlling risk in portfolios. Beta is market risk. Buying a low cost ETF on the market index is a beta of 1. Get this when the outlook is clear. Otherwise he suggests ZUE-T, ZSP-T, ZLU-T, ZPW-T, ZWH-T. All but ZSP-T have a beta lower than 1.
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Educational Segment. Controlling risk in portfolios. Beta is market risk. Buying a low cost ETF on the market index is a beta of 1. Get this when the outlook is clear. Otherwise he suggests ZUE-T, ZSP-T, ZLU-T, ZPW-T, ZWH-T. All but ZSP-T have a beta lower than 1.
Unknown
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0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

November 5, 2018

Educational Segment. When the outlook is not clear, we have options – How to use option strategies. We don’t know what will happen after this US election. There are 4 strategies: 1. Outright long. Highest potential risk. 2. Add a covered call to long to reduce risk. 3. Sell At The Money Put and use a Money Market Fund for your cash; and 4. Sell an Out of The Money Put. He thinks the current lows will hold and you could use one of the 4 types.

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Educational Segment. When the outlook is not clear, we have options – How to use option strategies. We don’t know what will happen after this US election. There are 4 strategies: 1. Outright long. Highest potential risk. 2. Add a covered call to long to reduce risk. 3. Sell At The Money Put and use a Money Market Fund for your cash; and 4. Sell an Out of The Money Put. He thinks the current lows will hold and you could use one of the 4 types.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

October 29, 2018

Educational Segment.  The funding market – The Euro market call.  Euro dollars are financial markets linked to the libor market.  All the banks in the world participate in it.  The Euro dollar still goes out 10 years.  Each contract is a three month interest rate.  It is a series of three month interest rates that equate to the year.  The curve graphs a year, a month and a day ago tell us that the yield curve is starting to change.  2020-2021, rates are expected to be slightly lower in Europe.  This is where we have to worry – when we get the inverted yield curve a year out.  In history the average correction in recessions is 29%.  We are starting to see late cycle behavior.

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Educational Segment.  The funding market – The Euro market call.  Euro dollars are financial markets linked to the libor market.  All the banks in the world participate in it.  The Euro dollar still goes out 10 years.  Each contract is a three month interest rate.  It is a series of three month interest rates that equate to the year.  The curve graphs a year, a month and a day ago tell us that the yield curve is starting to change.  2020-2021, rates are expected to be slightly lower in Europe.  This is where we have to worry – when we get the inverted yield curve a year out.  In history the average correction in recessions is 29%.  We are starting to see late cycle behavior.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

October 22, 2018

Educational Segment.  Political polarization.  In the long term it will start to weight on markets.  He looks at the risk side of the equation before looking at potential returns.  Governments slapped the world with a massive amount of debt after the financial crisis.  We have a credit crisis coming, but you can't time when.  The math does not work.  Governments have to work on balancing the books.  He thinks the US lower house will move to the impeachment of Trump next year and that the house will be democrat controlled after the election (6 in 7 chance).

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Educational Segment.  Political polarization.  In the long term it will start to weight on markets.  He looks at the risk side of the equation before looking at potential returns.  Governments slapped the world with a massive amount of debt after the financial crisis.  We have a credit crisis coming, but you can't time when.  The math does not work.  Governments have to work on balancing the books.  He thinks the US lower house will move to the impeachment of Trump next year and that the house will be democrat controlled after the election (6 in 7 chance).

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

October 15, 2018

Educational Segment.  You do a disservice if you just hold to an asset class mix.  Interest rates won't go up much more any time soon.  The recent market bottom was right about Brexit in terms of timeframe.  Maybe people are calling for the end of the bond bull, but he disagrees.  Bond ETFs have made no money from 2016 to date except high risk bonds.  He recommends floating rate bonds.

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Educational Segment.  You do a disservice if you just hold to an asset class mix.  Interest rates won't go up much more any time soon.  The recent market bottom was right about Brexit in terms of timeframe.  Maybe people are calling for the end of the bond bull, but he disagrees.  Bond ETFs have made no money from 2016 to date except high risk bonds.  He recommends floating rate bonds.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

October 1, 2018

Educational Segment.  [Today's segment was replaced by a live new broadcast]

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Educational Segment.  [Today's segment was replaced by a live new broadcast]

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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

N/A
General Market Comment 

September 24, 2018

Educational Segment.  Gold and Gold Stock Valuations.  Gold equities are the cheapest they have been in a decade.  XGD-T has gone down to where it is approaching its cheapest ever.  It is almost uncorrelated with anything.  There are things that have to happen for Gold to do well.  We need a debt crisis.  A lot of junior stocks don’t have production, but he is okay with them.

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Educational Segment.  Gold and Gold Stock Valuations.  Gold equities are the cheapest they have been in a decade.  XGD-T has gone down to where it is approaching its cheapest ever.  It is almost uncorrelated with anything.  There are things that have to happen for Gold to do well.  We need a debt crisis.  A lot of junior stocks don’t have production, but he is okay with them.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

BUY

See his educational segment on Gold.  Gold is one of the biggest exposures he has.  He has no problem with this one if you want a little more risk.

E.T.F.'s
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0 comments

See his educational segment on Gold.  Gold is one of the biggest exposures he has.  He has no problem with this one if you want a little more risk.

E.T.F.'s
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$27.910
Owned Owned
Unknown

N/A
General Market Comment 

September 17, 2018

Educational Segment.  The Longest Bull Market?  It depends on how you measure it.  If you measure it on a close to close basis we have not had a 20% decline since the bottom in 2009.  But if you measure it on a peak to trough basis, we had a 20%+ decline in 2011.  When you buy and sell, what you buy and sell is critical.  We are definitely late in the cycle.  He thinks you need to be cautious.

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Educational Segment.  The Longest Bull Market?  It depends on how you measure it.  If you measure it on a close to close basis we have not had a 20% decline since the bottom in 2009.  But if you measure it on a peak to trough basis, we had a 20%+ decline in 2011.  When you buy and sell, what you buy and sell is critical.  We are definitely late in the cycle.  He thinks you need to be cautious.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

N/A
General Market Comment 

September 10, 2018

Educational Segment.  Breadth, lack thereof, and what it means to you.  It is terrible.  There are various ways to measure it.  He is talking about the US market being one of the only ones around the world to be in positive territory.  Canada has gone negative for the year as has much of the rest of the world.  Emerging markets seem a good buy because they are terribly cheap, but ACWX on London shows how world markets are going down.  The S&P index has been going up, but is marginally positive if you take out the top 5 stocks.  The markets tend to get narrower and narrower until some major event takes place.  Either US markets have to go down or emerging markets have to go back up.  Most likely it is the US market that will go down.  Stay away from emerging markets.  Consumer staples will do well in the fall.  The Canadian dollar does well compared to the US as we approach Christmas.

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Educational Segment.  Breadth, lack thereof, and what it means to you.  It is terrible.  There are various ways to measure it.  He is talking about the US market being one of the only ones around the world to be in positive territory.  Canada has gone negative for the year as has much of the rest of the world.  Emerging markets seem a good buy because they are terribly cheap, but ACWX on London shows how world markets are going down.  The S&P index has been going up, but is marginally positive if you take out the top 5 stocks.  The markets tend to get narrower and narrower until some major event takes place.  Either US markets have to go down or emerging markets have to go back up.  Most likely it is the US market that will go down.  Stay away from emerging markets.  Consumer staples will do well in the fall.  The Canadian dollar does well compared to the US as we approach Christmas.

Unknown
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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