Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
WATCH
WATCH
January 15, 2019
He's watching it closely. Disclosure: A colleague of his sits on their board. A good business. CI can transition from mutual funds into private wealth management. They have a good cost structure. At $17, they're buying back lots of stock, but using debt to do so. They suffered a huge correction last year. But he's closely watching this as a serious buy. 4.1% dividend.
CI Financial Corp(CIX-T)
January 15, 2019
He's watching it closely. Disclosure: A colleague of his sits on their board. A good business. CI can transition from mutual funds into private wealth management. They have a good cost structure. At $17, they're buying back lots of stock, but using debt to do so. They suffered a huge correction last year. But he's closely watching this as a serious buy. 4.1% dividend.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$17.600
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 15, 2019
Yield of 7% which is not entirely safe. He's nervous about all Canadian oil dividends given CPG's cut today. WCP's management has been murky with its policies, so he's stayed away. To play an oil recovery, go to the majors instead like CNQ and Suncor with safer dividends. There could be a spike in oil companies if oil returns to $70. But there's better growth in the U.S. The Canadian oil space will continue to struggle. He prefers others like Vermillion that he owns.
Whitecap Resources(WCP-T)
January 15, 2019
Yield of 7% which is not entirely safe. He's nervous about all Canadian oil dividends given CPG's cut today. WCP's management has been murky with its policies, so he's stayed away. To play an oil recovery, go to the majors instead like CNQ and Suncor with safer dividends. There could be a spike in oil companies if oil returns to $70. But there's better growth in the U.S. The Canadian oil space will continue to struggle. He prefers others like Vermillion that he owns.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$4.640
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Down 47%) He continues to support this even though 2018 was difficult for their investors. You must take the long view, and ALA has long-term assets, with over 66% of their assets being contracted utilities. ALA's U.S. acquisition will continue to grow. Utilities typically have weak Q3s because of weaker heating/cooling demand, but Q4 should be stronger. ALA needs to execute growth in northern BC with the new propane export terminal that'll come on in Q2; he expects growth here. Compare to Transcanada when they cut their dividend in 1998: their stock plunged from $30 to $10, then they increased their dividend 2.5x; and today shares are over $50. ALA can do the same with sharp execution. He continues to average down.
Altagas Ltd(ALA-T)
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Down 47%) He continues to support this even though 2018 was difficult for their investors. You must take the long view, and ALA has long-term assets, with over 66% of their assets being contracted utilities. ALA's U.S. acquisition will continue to grow. Utilities typically have weak Q3s because of weaker heating/cooling demand, but Q4 should be stronger. ALA needs to execute growth in northern BC with the new propane export terminal that'll come on in Q2; he expects growth here. Compare to Transcanada when they cut their dividend in 1998: their stock plunged from $30 to $10, then they increased their dividend 2.5x; and today shares are over $50. ALA can do the same with sharp execution. He continues to average down.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$13.920
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Up 3%) They had a good 2018. Pays a solid 5% dividend and has good development projects in Taiwan and Korea. They brought on their big projects in Europe on time and on budget. They're now producing, so there's good cash flow to increase dividends and reinvest in the company. The end game could be as a tuck-in business for a larger infrastructure provider.
Northland Power Inc(NPI-T)
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Up 3%) They had a good 2018. Pays a solid 5% dividend and has good development projects in Taiwan and Korea. They brought on their big projects in Europe on time and on budget. They're now producing, so there's good cash flow to increase dividends and reinvest in the company. The end game could be as a tuck-in business for a larger infrastructure provider.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$22.580
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Down 20%) Weathered a perfect storm in 2018 including a short seller. Will discuss this in his Top Picks.
Manulife Financial(MFC-T)
January 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Down 20%) Weathered a perfect storm in 2018 including a short seller. Will discuss this in his Top Picks.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$20.860
Owned
Yes
HOLD
HOLD
January 15, 2019
IPL vs. ALA? Had an unfairly rough 2018. Dividend increased. (ALA is a utility now whereas IPL is a midstream/pipeline.) They're building a big petrochem plant in Edmonton--a big unknown they're developing themselves. Good managers, but there's execution risk with that plant. He's resisted buying this, holding onto Enbridge instead. That said, you can hold IPL and that's fine. But keep it small in your portfolio.
Inter Pipeline(IPL-T)
January 15, 2019
IPL vs. ALA? Had an unfairly rough 2018. Dividend increased. (ALA is a utility now whereas IPL is a midstream/pipeline.) They're building a big petrochem plant in Edmonton--a big unknown they're developing themselves. Good managers, but there's execution risk with that plant. He's resisted buying this, holding onto Enbridge instead. That said, you can hold IPL and that's fine. But keep it small in your portfolio.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$20.950
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
January 15, 2019
Huge recovery so far this year. Line 3 continues to see positive results in hearings, but there are still hearings. They increased the dividend 10%. He's been a long-term holder and continues to add. He likes the dividend growth compounded, the income stream.
Enbridge(ENB-T)
January 15, 2019
Huge recovery so far this year. Line 3 continues to see positive results in hearings, but there are still hearings. They increased the dividend 10%. He's been a long-term holder and continues to add. He likes the dividend growth compounded, the income stream.
Ryan Bushell
President, Newhaven Asset Management
Price
$47.250
Owned
Yes