Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 7, 2010
Doesn't follow this closely, but in his quantitative strategy, he has a Short position in the name.
Doesn't follow this closely, but in his quantitative strategy, he has a Short position in the name.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$5.860
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 7, 2010
Diamond project that will need hundreds of millions of dollars of CapX to bring it to bear. Doesn't see banks really ready to land on these types of projects any time soon. Good project.
Diamond project that will need hundreds of millions of dollars of CapX to bring it to bear. Doesn't see banks really ready to land on these types of projects any time soon. Good project.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$0.710
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 7, 2010
Has always liked management but it has been a serial disappointer. Had to do a massive dilution in the share count earlier this year. Will also be beholden to subsidies for green energy (solar energy) in Germany.
Has always liked management but it has been a serial disappointer. Had to do a massive dilution in the share count earlier this year. Will also be beholden to subsidies for green energy (solar energy) in Germany.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$0.215
Owned
No
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 7, 2010
Believes consumers are trading down, looking for brand names at a reasonable price. New management from US with a similar type of business. Revamping all stores and same store sales growth in newer stores is roughly 20%. Looking for $10 million a year in EBITDA. Could easily be $2-$3 in 12 months.
Believes consumers are trading down, looking for brand names at a reasonable price. New management from US with a similar type of business. Revamping all stores and same store sales growth in newer stores is roughly 20%. Looking for $10 million a year in EBITDA. Could easily be $2-$3 in 12 months.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$0.920
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 7, 2010
Top Short A classic and successful “growth through acquisition” over past decade. Now at about 5X debt to EBITDA, a level where he doesn't think banks will fund any more funds for growth. Competitive business and margin for error is very small. (Short is roughly at $9.)
Top Short A classic and successful “growth through acquisition” over past decade. Now at about 5X debt to EBITDA, a level where he doesn't think banks will fund any more funds for growth. Competitive business and margin for error is very small. (Short is roughly at $9.)
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$9.120
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 7, 2010
(Pairs Trade – Long this one and Short Avalon Rare Metals (AVL-T)). Thinks rare earth sector is in a bubble and will be trading much lower in 2 to 3 years. This company should be in full production next year while Avalon won't be in production for 4 or 5 years.
Molycorp Inc (MCP-N)
October 7, 2010
(Pairs Trade – Long this one and Short Avalon Rare Metals (AVL-T)). Thinks rare earth sector is in a bubble and will be trading much lower in 2 to 3 years. This company should be in full production next year while Avalon won't be in production for 4 or 5 years.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$27.140
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 7, 2010
Top Short (Pairs Trade – Long Molycorp (MCP-N) and Short this one.) Thinks rare earth sector is in a bubble and will be trading much lower in 2 to 3 years. This company won’t be in production for 4-5 years while Molycorp should be in full production next year.
Top Short (Pairs Trade – Long Molycorp (MCP-N) and Short this one.) Thinks rare earth sector is in a bubble and will be trading much lower in 2 to 3 years. This company won’t be in production for 4-5 years while Molycorp should be in full production next year.
James Hodgins
Chief Investment Officer, Curvature Hedge Strategies
Price
$3.400
Owned
Yes