The New York Times is reporting that the bond market is signalling recession warnings. Often times, the stock market follows the bond market. It’s been ten years from the market crash, and everyone wants to know if we are up for another financial crisis in 2019. No one can really tell when we will have a recession, but it’s less likely that will have a big crash as ten years ago.
Larry Berman on Market Outlook
Some countries whose yield curve didn’t invert have still gone into a recession. The danger of a recession comes form the rising interest rates in the most indebted countries and liquidity. Because of US tariffs markets have been down so we are far from a long-term bull market.