J. Zechner & Assoc
Latest Top Picks
It's one of his few core energy names; he's underweight energy. He's added to his position. They won't build any new oil sands plants. They enjoy long-life reserves and low costs. A great, long-term core hold in oil. He also likes Tourmaline and CPG, and pipelines. See also his top picks today.
It's one of his few core energy names; he's underweight energy. He's added to his position. They won't build any new oil sands plants. They enjoy long-life reserves and low costs. A great, long-term core hold in oil. He also likes Tourmaline and CPG, and pipelines. See also his top picks today.
Gold peaked in August, and has been slipping, especially the stocks. The reason is a move into copper and other recovery-based metals. That said, negative interest rates are a tailwind for gold, and you need to own 3-5% gold stocks in your portfolio. Barrick is not his first choice, prefers B2Gold or Agnico-Eagle, for example. Also, he prefers silver to gold. Bitcoin is a whole different story....
Gold peaked in August, and has been slipping, especially the stocks. The reason is a move into copper and other recovery-based metals. That said, negative interest rates are a tailwind for gold, and you need to own 3-5% gold stocks in your portfolio. Barrick is not his first choice, prefers B2Gold or Agnico-Eagle, for example. Also, he prefers silver to gold. Bitcoin is a whole different story....
He owns little retail now. It's done well in 2020, but is a little pricey given their PE, but he's stick with it. They're online presence suggests they could go head-to-head with Amazon. They continue to grow and reinvent themselves for the changing consumer, when old models don't work. A great stock.
He owns little retail now. It's done well in 2020, but is a little pricey given their PE, but he's stick with it. They're online presence suggests they could go head-to-head with Amazon. They continue to grow and reinvent themselves for the changing consumer, when old models don't work. A great stock.
(A Top Pick Dec 10/19, Up 22%) John Chen should get CEO of the year award. They've generated cash flow all along. BB gets no respect from investors. Recently, they got a boost with the Amazon self-driving car deal. The balance sheet is good with net cash. He likes it and has added to it. This is a great long-term play in cybersecurity.
(A Top Pick Dec 10/19, Up 22%) John Chen should get CEO of the year award. They've generated cash flow all along. BB gets no respect from investors. Recently, they got a boost with the Amazon self-driving car deal. The balance sheet is good with net cash. He likes it and has added to it. This is a great long-term play in cybersecurity.
He doesn't own REITs now, especially in offices and retail. How long will it take for their occupancy to return? In REITs, you pay around 90% earnings so there's little wiggle room for error. He'd rather buy retirement homes like Chartwell and Sienna, which offer better growth.
A core name, but it's hard for big pharma names like this to find a product to drive growth. He prefers biotechs which offer better growth, even ETFs like IBB.
A core name, but it's hard for big pharma names like this to find a product to drive growth. He prefers biotechs which offer better growth, even ETFs like IBB.
In a post-Covid world Benefited huge from the freight movement during the pandemic. But Air Canada could expand more into freight, which could encroach on CJT. Watch the valuation here. Growth is another concern. Take profits and look elsewhere.
In a post-Covid world Benefited huge from the freight movement during the pandemic. But Air Canada could expand more into freight, which could encroach on CJT. Watch the valuation here. Growth is another concern. Take profits and look elsewhere.
He ranks Walmart ahead of Costco, since Walmart is reinventing themselves in e-commerce and healthcare. Has greatly benefitted a lot ffrom the lockdown, but that tailwind won't repeat in 2021. Valuation is now high, in the 30s. Take some profits here and hold onto the rest.
Keyera vs. Pembina He owns both. Keyera: pays a slightly higher dividend, but also slightly riskier, due to its mix of liquids and gas processing, so probably more earnings volatility short-term. Pembina is a pipeline play with operating cash flow around 9-10x. They were resilient in the downturn. What's good about both is that they are sensitive to volumes, not the oil price, especially Pembina. The dividends are safe and earnings resilient. If the stocks do nothing, at least both pay more than 8% in dividend yields.
Keyera vs. Pembina He owns both. Keyera: pays a slightly higher dividend, but also slightly riskier, due to its mix of liquids and gas processing, so probably more earnings volatility short-term. Pembina is a pipeline play with operating cash flow around 9-10x. They were resilient in the downturn. What's good about both is that they are sensitive to volumes, not the oil price, especially Pembina. The dividends are safe and earnings resilient. If the stocks do nothing, at least both pay more than 8% in dividend yields.
Keyera vs. Pembina He owns both. Keyera: pays a slightly higher dividend, but also slightly riskier, due to its mix of liquids and gas processing, so probably more earnings volatility short-term. Pembina is a pipeline play with operating cash flow around 9-10x. They were resilient in the downturn. What's good about both is that they are sensitive to volumes, not the oil price, especially Pembina. The dividends are safe and earnings resilient. If the stocks do nothing, at least both pay more than 8% in dividend yields.
Keyera vs. Pembina He owns both. Keyera: pays a slightly higher dividend, but also slightly riskier, due to its mix of liquids and gas processing, so probably more earnings volatility short-term. Pembina is a pipeline play with operating cash flow around 9-10x. They were resilient in the downturn. What's good about both is that they are sensitive to volumes, not the oil price, especially Pembina. The dividends are safe and earnings resilient. If the stocks do nothing, at least both pay more than 8% in dividend yields.
Has done very well, considering their business is retail business payments. Recent earnings beat the street. They just did a listing in the U.S. which will likely raise valuations, but that valuation is as bad as, say, Shopify. It's not without its risks. The sector has very high valuations.
Has done very well, considering their business is retail business payments. Recent earnings beat the street. They just did a listing in the U.S. which will likely raise valuations, but that valuation is as bad as, say, Shopify. It's not without its risks. The sector has very high valuations.
He prefers buying a insurance company directly like Manulife and Intact. Though well-run, FFH has a mixed bag of many assets. This mix adds a level of risk vs. pure insurers.
Amazon vs. Apple He owns Apple. The companies are completely different. Apple's ecosystem will continue to dominate. Amazon's valuation is excessive, but the growth justifies the stock price. Sometimes you hold your nose and buy, say, half a position. Buy, hold and don't trade. Add on weakness. (Same with Microsoft and Google.) Amazon will continue to take share from brick-and-mortar retailers. Just look at how often you shop Amazon.
Amazon vs. Apple He owns Apple. The companies are completely different. Apple's ecosystem will continue to dominate. Amazon's valuation is excessive, but the growth justifies the stock price. Sometimes you hold your nose and buy, say, half a position. Buy, hold and don't trade. Add on weakness. (Same with Microsoft and Google.) Amazon will continue to take share from brick-and-mortar retailers. Just look at how often you shop Amazon.
Amazon vs. Apple He owns Apple. The companies are completely different. Apple's ecosystem will continue to dominate. Amazon's valuation is excessive, but the growth justifies the stock price. Sometimes you hold your nose and buy, say, half a position. Buy, hold and don't trade. Add on weakness. (Same with MSFT and Google.) Amazon will continue to take share from brick-and-mortar retailers. Just look at how often you shop Amazon.
Amazon vs. Apple He owns Apple. The companies are completely different. Apple's ecosystem will continue to dominate. Amazon's valuation is excessive, but the growth justifies the stock price. Sometimes you hold your nose and buy, say, half a position. Buy, hold and don't trade. Add on weakness. (Same with MSFT and Google.) Amazon will continue to take share from brick-and-mortar retailers. Just look at how often you shop Amazon.
It's a mishmash restructuring play. They made a blunder buying back so many shares in recent years. Don't throw more more into this if you own it. Doesn't like how it's been run. Instead, he likes industrials and would buy Honeywell.
It's a mishmash restructuring play. They made a blunder buying back so many shares in recent years. Don't throw more more into this if you own it. Doesn't like how it's been run. Instead, he likes industrials and would buy Honeywell.
Wants a clean energy stock Brookfield Renewable in the largest player in the sector and the most international. Are you a growth or value investor? He'd rotate more into value now. Looking ahead 20 years, renewables will be a strong growth area. With BEP, you're paying 18-20x operating cash flow vs. oil stocks are 5-10x. You're paying a lot more now for future growth, but that's fine. The renewables are a good investment as a whole to hold for a long time. Others like Algonquin Power are also good.
Wants a clean energy stock Brookfield Renewable in the largest player in the sector and the most international. Are you a growth or value investor? He'd rotate more into value now. Looking ahead 20 years, renewables will be a strong growth area. With BEP, you're paying 18-20x operating cash flow vs. oil stocks are 5-10x. You're paying a lot more now for future growth, but that's fine. The renewables are a good investment as a whole to hold for a long time. Others like Algonquin Power are also good.
A good operator with fine internationally diversification. They cut their high dividend, but had to and won't return to that level. We live in a different world with lower oil prices and demand. VET's balance sheet is okay and this will survive. That said, he prefers Tourmaline Oil which has more cash.
A good operator with fine internationally diversification. They cut their high dividend, but had to and won't return to that level. We live in a different world with lower oil prices and demand. VET's balance sheet is okay and this will survive. That said, he prefers Tourmaline Oil which has more cash.
He's held this for 30 years. Investors underestimate their infrastructure assets in their networks built-out. The stock is cheap now. They benefit from heavy streaming now. They generate good cash flow and a cheap valuation. (He also own BCE, Telus and Shaw.) Rogers' advantage as that it trades at a similar valuation, but pays the lowest dividend in the group, which means they can increase their dividend in the future. True, he's been disappointed in their performance this year, but it's a buying opportunity now. (Analysts’ price target is $63.64)
He's held this for 30 years. Investors underestimate their infrastructure assets in their networks built-out. The stock is cheap now. They benefit from heavy streaming now. They generate good cash flow and a cheap valuation. (He also own BCE, Telus and Shaw.) Rogers' advantage as that it trades at a similar valuation, but pays the lowest dividend in the group, which means they can increase their dividend in the future. True, he's been disappointed in their performance this year, but it's a buying opportunity now. (Analysts’ price target is $63.64)
Looks cheap and still owns some, but not adding. Losing market share to AMD in particular. He prefers the semiconductor ETF, SMH, as a way to play the group at a more reasonable valuation.
