2019's broad-based rally impresses him, particularly the global nature of it with Europe making new highs. It feels different heading into past years. In 2020, the US dollar will struggle--Canadian investors are now very overweight the US dollar and US stocks, so they should reduce exposure heading into 2020, because he expects the US dollar to roll over. Meanwhile, the US deficit keeps growing. There's still good growth there, but they have expanded the deficit 5% to gain 2% economic growth. Investor sentiment is so bullish that we're not in an overbought market. Hold onto some cash for an opportunity in 2020--it's always great to buy when everything is negative. Shifts in sentiment can be big.

MSFT vs. Intel vs. Facebook Facebook has performed well, but faces long-term regulatory headwinds. They will face more scrutiny. Intel has bigger headwinds reagrding where the technology is heading with microchips. Their legacy hardware chips will be under secular pressure. Don't buy. MSFT's cloud growth is impressive and will continue (he sold his shares already), but its multiple is really high. In the next pullback, buy MSFT. MSFT wins.

A fine growth by acquisition story, buying in the US. Lots of insider ownership, too. Managers are great growing FSV. He sold his shares when the multiple rose; margins don't get high in this business. This is still a good long-term opportunity. A few weak quarters have made this worth looking at.

Used to own it until the valuation got too high. They've done a great job spinning out the real estate into a royalty stream. But this has gone parabolic this year as its growth has slowed. Take some profits. There's limited growth, but they are benefiting from declining interest rates. This doesn't make the top of his list of income streams. Pays a good dividend. Don't need to sell this, but don't need to buy it either.

CM vs. MFC They were late to get US exposure, which hurt them. Also, there's negativity towards CM's mortgage book. TD and RY remain the top Canadian banks, not CM. TD & RY are investing in tech, the future, which is smart. MFC: The lifecos have done well diversifying into asset management and into Asia. But with low interest rates, pricing insurance gets tougher and limits growth. You own lifecos for Asia and wealth management. Not CM, but buy TD and Royal.

MFC vs. CM They were late to get US exposure, which hurt them. Also, there's negativity towards CM's mortgage book. TD and RY remain the top Canadian banks, not CM. TD & RY are investing in tech, the future, which is smart. MFC: The lifecos have done well diversifying into asset management and into Asia. But with low interest rates, pricing insurance gets tougher and limits growth. You own lifecos for Asia and wealth management. Not CM, but buy TD and Royal.

A short report recently has pressured shares and are now under 10x earnings, cheap. Their problem is that they were slow getting e-commerce. If you don't have good e-commerce, a store is treading water. But the bad news is already priced into the stock price. He prefers Leon's Furniture for buying the Brick and paying off most of that debt. Good return on capital and huge insider ownership.

A great Canadian tech story. They acquire businesses with cash then absorb those companies is incredibly accretive, propelling growth. They're a great executor. Also likes Enghouse, a great performer.

Had a good run in mid-2019. They grew international presence with Popeye's and Burger King, a good job. The issue remains Tim Horton's weak same-store sales growth, though QSR is doing well upgrading Horton's stores and expanding food offerings. Another issue remains the franchise owners vs. the corporate head. QSR also trades at a high multiple. Considering buying if this falls $10. Otherwise, don't buy.

(A Top Pick Nov 28/18, Up 16%) A great way to get exposure to US industrial and e-commerce (Amazon is a big customer). They've done a great job acquiring proprties in Chicago, Milwaukee and Minneapolis, the mid-heartland of American industry. It trades at close to book. Pays 5.5% dividend yield. He continues to buy at these levels.

(A Top Pick Nov 28/18, Down 27%) Sold it in June and bought Arc. Liked it because they were exposed to European natural gas prices, and are they're good at growing their dividend. But their multiple got too high. VET remains a good company. The dividend is near 14%, but he thinks the stock will rise if they reduce the dividend.

(A Top Pick Nov 28/18, Up 16%) Genworth and Westinghouse have been great investments for them. They're great capital allocators. Still likes it at current prices.

Long-term in a non-registered account One of the better return-on-capital companies in Canada, and historically a strong performer. They've done well diversifying internationally. But CCL will get hit over fears of global growth. Also, a recent bad earnings report hurt the stock. Long-term, this is good to buy, now when the price is depressed.

Arc vs. CPG A high-quality energy company. This used to be a $30 stock. A very well-run company, trading at historically low multiples and pays nearly a 7% yield. They operate in a great location, run by fine managers. Not too much debt. This remains a screaming buy at these levels. If there is a lift in oil sentiment, this will easily rise past $10. Better than CPG.

Future growth as a long-term hold, despite regulatory risk? It has been volatile and under regulatory microscope, which won't change. But they've had some good quarters and impressive user growth. They still need to monetize Instagram and Whatsapp, which will amount to more revenues. He expects FB to turn more to the payments space. With shares around $200, buy this when FB stumbles under Congresional pressure, not at current levels--the positivity has been priced in. He prefers other tech stocks.

SU vs. CNQ He owns CNQ; with CU, they are the two best-run Canadian oil companies. They've maintained decent share prices as its peers got washed out. SU has benefitted from the diversity of their refining assets when the WTI price differential widened CNQ is a cash-flow machine, decreasing debt and costs. You can own SU or CNQ, not both. CNQ is in a better position of returning shareholder dollars through share buybacks and/or raising the dividend. Caveat: if oil prices rise in 2020, these two giants won't benefit as much as its smaller peers (e.g. WCP) which have fallen further.

vs. Canadian Tire Canadian Tire: A short report recently has pressured shares and are now under 10x earnings, cheap. Their problem is that they were slow getting e-commerce. If you don't have good e-commerce, a store is treading water. But the bad news is already priced into the stock price. He prefers Leon's Furniture for buying the Brick and paying off most of that debt. Good return on capital and huge insider ownership.

He owns no engineering firms. SNC shares have bounced back upon news of a settlement. It has normalized back to $30. It likely won't rise much from here--it has settled. SNC has always traded at a high multiple for a cyclical business. He prefers Aecon, though is trading high as well. The space has run up recently, and these companies will benefit from Canadian infrastructure spending. But the optimism is already priced in.

They've had a volatile 2019. They did a good job rolling up franchises, but that positive has been priced into the stock. Not a good-growth company; the restaurant space faces wage increases and food inflation.

Their issue was the money-laundering inquiry in their BC casinos which stopped some good growth. Now, that issue is working its way through the system. The Woodbine Casino remains their jewel, attracting investment. GC offers a great return on capital. You don't need much capital to grow. New locations are very profitable. He owns Brookfield Business Partners which co-financed the Woodbine site.

Amazon had a record holiday season, which bodes well for CJT when they make a lot of their money in this quarter. Their relationship with Amazon will grow over time. CJT is the perfect proxy for e-commerce in Canada. It's a fine long-term buy even at $100. (Analysts’ price target is $115.91)

Offers great exposure to US banks, railroads, airlines as well as Apple. A nice collection of cyclicals. They sit on $130 billion in cash, great dry powder. Share have recently broken out. A great long term buy. (Analysts’ price target is $248.75)

Convertible bonds with a 5.75% coupon They own a great base of real estate. The debt issue is a small piece. The bond is well-covered. MTL.DV-T. You get a 6-year option on the stock within the bond, with a $14 convert price. If oil recovers, these bonds will convert into equity. Until then, collect then. It's stable. Term lasts to Sept. 2020.

MSFT vs. Intel vs. Facebook Facebook has performed well, but faces long-term regulatory headwinds. They will face more scrutiny. Intel has bigger headwinds reagrding where the technology is heading with microchips. Their legacy hardware chips will be under secular pressure. Don't buy. MSFT's cloud growth is impressive and will continue (he sold his shares already), but its multiple is really high. In the next pullback, buy MSFT. MSFT wins.

SU vs. CNQ He owns CNQ; with CU, they are the two best-run Canadian oil companies. They've maintained decent share prices as its peers got washed out. SU has benefitted from the diversity of their refining assets when the WTI price differential widened CNQ is a cash-flow machine, decreasing debt and costs. You can own SU or CNQ, not both. CNQ is in a better position of returning shareholder dollars through share buybacks and/or raising the dividend. Caveat: if oil prices rise in 2020, these two giants won't benefit as much as its smaller peers (e.g. WCP) which have fallen further.

Market. Low interest rates can only do so much to keep markets high. Earnings seasons can be interesting. The big story for the last 9 months has been the pivot of the last 9 months where the US Fed has been supplying liquidity to the markets. Trade issues will not be resolved any time soon. September and October are the two most precarious months of the year and they are almost over. There are a lot of things that are pointing to cloudy skies for 2020 but today the market is comfortable having more liquidity and earnings still being okay.

It is trading at a pretty sizeable discount to the price with which Flutter is trying to take them out at. It makes sense to try to put these two together. You are dealing with uncertainty about M&A and regulatory issues.

Traditionally it has been regarded as more focused on the domestic economy. The reliance on the domestic Canadian mortgage market for growth is not well regarded. It might be okay shorter term but not longer term.

It has performed quite well this year but was volatile over the last few years. Expectations are high so you need a big surprise beat or some news that is not priced in for it go up. He would not buy right before the quarter. The issue is that there are so few technology companies in Canada, that institutions HAVE to be in it. See his top picks today.