Opinions by Matt Kacur | StockChase
206
Matt Kacur

President

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE Sep 2016

FSA Financial Science and Art


Opinions by Matt Kacur


Signal Opinion Expert Chart

2017-10-13

N/A
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert 

Market.He is concerned about high valuations. It’s hard to go against the tape which is really strong and good. He is more of a bottom-up and goes stock by stock by stock, which is just harder and harder and harder to find. We have to start worrying about being priced to perfection. If something comes down the road that isn’t quite as rosy and shiny as we would like, there could be pullbacks of 5%-10%, or even worse. If interest rates rise, we could see a substantial pullback, but there has been a reluctance to raise interest rates. There are also the things we don’t know about. For example, the Greek sovereign debt problem. Would that have been predicted to have as much effect as it did?

Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $0.020
Owned: _N/A

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2017-10-13

DON'T BUY
Aecon Group Inc (ARE-T)

A good company. Results are a little weaker than what he would like. They used to earn a 9% ROC, but is now down to 5%. It doesn’t look that cheap right now.

contractors
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $16.780
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

TOP PICK
Alimentation Couche-Tard (B) (ATD.B-T)

One of Canada’s best operators in retail. Convenience stores and gas stations. They are in all Canadian provinces and in 42 states. They are also in Scandinavia, Ireland, Baltic and Russia. Recently bought the Circle K company, and are converting a lot of their stores over to Circle K. Dividend yield of 0.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $72.)

food stores
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $60.380
Owned: No

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2017-10-13

TOP PICK
Broadcom (AVGO-Q)

A $100 billion market cap company. Think Cloud, think big data, think automation. They have wireline products, wireless products, enterprise storage, industrial automation, etc. They’ve been making a huge rate of return. It is undervalued. Dividend yield of 1.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $290.)

Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $247.960
Owned: No

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2017-10-13

COMMENT
B2Gold Corp. (BTO-T)

Had liked this in the past. At this point, it is probably a good idea. Back in their heyday of 2010-2011, they were earning a 17% return, which then plummeted all the way down to zero, and has now nudged its way back up to 5%. On a relative gold to gold basis, you have an improving return with a decent valuation. This is pretty good.

Golds
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $3.440
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

DON'T BUY
Cameco Corporation (CCO-T)

Has always had a low ROC, and is actually getting a little worse. Uranium prices are pretty close to their low as well. Dividend yield of 3.6%.

integrated mines
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $11.440
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

BUY
CVS Health Corp (CVS-N)

This is a company that he likes, and with the stock price dropping makes it even better. There has been a lot of outside pressure in the space. However, the results are actually quite good. This is more about what people think is going to happen but hasn’t actually happened yet. The returns are very good.

specialty stores
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $72.600
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

DON'T BUY
Walt Disney (DIS-N)

This is a really great company. There are lots of companies with stretched valuations, and this is one of them. It looks too rich, as well as having a bit of problem with ESPN. His charts show him an improving ROC, which has been improving for about 8 years. Unfortunately, the stock has also improved for about 8 years. What if returns start to slide a little.

entertainment services
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $97.380
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

TOP PICK
Generac (GNRC-N)

Manufactures generators for natural gas. The stock came down about 2 years ago and was trading at around $30-$35, and then along came some of those hurricanes. This is one of the companies that can supply power to homes. It looked undervalued regardless of that. (Analysts’ price target is $48.)

Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $50.580
Owned: No

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2017-10-13

PAST TOP PICK
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM-T)

(A Top Pick July 24/17. Up 15%.) 64% of revenue comes from copper. There is some zinc in there as well. They are in pretty good locations as far as geopolitical risks go. He liked that they had an improving Return on Capital (ROC).

precious metals
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $9.910
Owned: No

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2017-10-13

COMMENT
Inter Pipeline (IPL-T)

He really likes this but can’t get there on valuation. A good operator and they’ve done a lot of good things. Earns a decent rate of return for a pipeline company, but is slightly higher than some of their counterparts. It is just out of the range of valuation that he would be willing to pay, around $20.

oil pipelines
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $26.120
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

COMMENT
Medtronic Inc (MDT-N)

This has certainly had its good days. It’s been quite a good company for many years. He likes the medical technology space.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $78.070
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

COMMENT
Magna Int'l. (A) (MG-T)

Thinks the company is great, and would say that it is undervalued. The fundamentals are improving.

Automotive
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $68.360
Owned: Unknown

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2017-10-13

PAST TOP PICK
Oclaro (OCLR-Q)

(A Top Pick July 24/17. Down 17%.) A bandwidth networking equipment maker. It’s all about big data, bandwidth and the Cloud where they are helping with bandwidth to build out technology centres. Recently their ROC popped up to 1%. The recent downturn was related to one of their competitors which got really hit by association with another company. Both price drops were overdone as they are both good companies.

communications/media
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $8.430
Owned: No

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2017-10-13

DON'T BUY
Pengrowth Energy (PGF-T)

He is a little hesitant to get into any of the energy companies. Thought the ROC should have turned by now. Price has gone up a little and they’ve gotten leaner, and yet results are still showing a low to even negative return on Return on Capital. To make matters worse, they have a high debt.

oil/gas
Matt Kacur

President, FSA Financial Science and Art

Price: $1.290
Owned: Unknown

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