Opinions by Andrey Omelchak | StockChase
79
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE May 2016

LionGuard Capital Management


Opinions by Andrey Omelchak


Signal Opinion Expert Chart

2017-07-27

N/A
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert 

Markets.  He is surprised by how low the volatility is on the VIX.  These levels cannot continue going forward.  Investors have to be careful going forward.  Some caution is warranted.  You have to pick your points and not invest in the overall market.  There has been a lot of takeout activity and this is a sign of a toppy market.  It does not mean we have reached the top, however.  The gap between bonds and dividends has narrowed.  Now you take on more risk as you deploy capital in the equity market for dividends.  His fund has a negative view on commodities and he tries to stay away from them.

Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $0.020
Owned: _N/A

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2017-07-27

DON'T BUY
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert 

Investing in resources is very dangerous and you have to make a call on the underlying commodity.  He encourages investors to make investments outside of these sectors.  If it seems too good to be true, then it probably is.

Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $0.020
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

DON'T BUY
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert 

Oil:  You can bring new supply into the market.  Demand/supply is looking okay because there are all these alternative forms of energy.  Investing in oil over the long term is not viable.

Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $0.020
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

BUY
AutoCanada Inc. (ACQ-T)

They are doing a pretty good job of consolidating the auto dealer industry.  They were hit because a lot of them were in Alberta, but they are now going in the right direction.  It is a question of time until the stock price recovers, but he does not think it will hit its previous highs.  Be prepared to hold it for a while.

specialty stores
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $19.970
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

BUY on WEAKNESS
Alaris Royalty (AD-T)

A good, solid company.  But a number of investments they made recently are having to be restructured.  The dividend is sustainable, with payout close to 90%. 

Financial Services
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $22.480
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

DON'T BUY
Aimia (AIM-T)

He cautions investors not to invest in AIM-T (Aeroplan) because they have only one customer.  It could be acquired by a company to integrate into other operations, but he thinks that is speculative.

other services
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $1.540
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

BUY
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T)

Canadian banks have done tremendously well over the last 10 years.  The regulators are doing a great job of making sure the industry is safe.  Everyone should own banks.  There has not been any big write-downs in the banks recently.  They are firing on all cylinders.  Don’t overpay for them.  BNS-T has international exposures to commodities, which has held them back a bit.

banks
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $77.630
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

PAST TOP PICK
Chesswood Group (CHW-T)

(Top Pick Feb 24/17, Up 3.56%)  A Top Pick again.  The growth rate remained great and they are a potential take out candidate. 

merchandising/lodging
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $13.100
Owned: Yes

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2017-07-27

TOP PICK
Chesswood Group (CHW-T)

Small ticket equipment leasing to US companies.  They have a top management team that can manage risks as well as the company.  It has a 6.7% dividend that is sustainable and could be raised.  They are a prime takeout candidate for major financial services companies.  (Analysts’ target: $15.50).

merchandising/lodging
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $13.100
Owned: Yes

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2017-07-27

DON'T BUY
Diversified Royalty Corp. (DIV-T)

A healthy dividend yield, but once you adjust for onetime items it is about a 100% payout ratio.  Maybe they will grow into their dividend.  The management has done an okay job to date.  He prefers AD-T.  Be careful until they fix the problems with their payout ratio.

other services
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $2.380
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

BUY
DIRTT Environmental Solutions (DRT-T)

They did a great job in growing their business.  They make their installation in a fast, eco-friendly way.  A really innovative technology company.  He sees a pickup in the hospital area.  It’s just a matter of time until the stock price improves.

Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $5.980
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

HOLD
Firstservice Corp (FSV-T)

You are better off holding on to this stock.  It is highly unlikely it will correct to its past lows.  What they are doing is very smart and very interesting.  They are adding a lot of value to their clients.  They generate predictable and consistent cash flow.

other services
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $83.350
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

TOP PICK
Firan Technology Group Corp. (FTG-T)

They are growing organically very nicely and making accretive acquisitions as well.  They have a record backlog right now that will translate into results next year and they expect their margin to increase after the most recent integration is complete.  (Analysts’ target: $5.28).

Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $3.990
Owned: Yes

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2017-07-27

WEAK BUY
Hudson Bay Co. (HBC-T)

You have to get your head around the value of their real estate.  The whole retail space is under tremendous pressure.  It is just a question of when they are going to unlock those assets.

department stores
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $10.770
Owned: Unknown

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2017-07-27

BUY on WEAKNESS
Home Capital Group (HCG-T)

He believes the bad news is in the equation.  Warren Buffet has come in and provided capital for them to deploy into mortgages and this has really improved their situation.  The worst is behind them.

investment companies/funds
Andrey Omelchak

President & CIO, LionGuard Capital Management

Price: $14.020
Owned: Unknown

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