Stock Opinions by Ryan Modesto - Stockchase Experts
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Ryan Modesto @

On Stockchase since : Mar 2016

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Ryan Modesto Latest Top Picks...

Stock Opinions by Ryan Modesto - Stockchase Experts


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PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 14%) An asset management company that moves with the markets. Pays a 6% dividend plus a special annual one, totalling 7%. GS can do nothing year to year, and you'll still pocket that yield. 

Financial Services

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 14%) An asset management company that moves with the markets. Pays a 6% dividend plus a special annual one, totalling 7%. GS can do nothing year to year, and you'll still pocket that yield. 

Financial Services
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$16.120
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Avigilon Corp(AVO-T) 

September 13, 2018

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 36%) Taken out by Motorola. Bittersweet for him. They were beating market expectations with new products that looked like they had traction. But it's another case of a great Canadian company bought out. Good results, but sad to see it go.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 36%) Taken out by Motorola. Bittersweet for him. They were beating market expectations with new products that looked like they had traction. But it's another case of a great Canadian company bought out. Good results, but sad to see it go.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$26.980
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
Kinaxis Inc(KXS-T) 

September 13, 2018

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 34%)  One of the strongest tech companies in Canada. They do logistics and machine learning. They "land and expand" by landing a client, then grow the contract value as the client becomes used to their services. They have global customers including Toyota. Valuation is high because it's a high-growth company. Still likes it. 

(Past Top Pick, Nov. 14, 2017, Up 34%)  One of the strongest tech companies in Canada. They do logistics and machine learning. They "land and expand" by landing a client, then grow the contract value as the client becomes used to their services. They have global customers including Toyota. Valuation is high because it's a high-growth company. Still likes it. 

0
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$94.180
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
CAE Inc(CAE-T) 

September 13, 2018

They provide flight training simulators in civil and defence industries. Strongly correlated to Boeing and Airbus. CAE trains people to fly new planes. Moving into healthcare by partnering with Microsoft in augmented reality, a business with potential.  (1.5% dividend, Analysts' price target: $27.86)

transportation equip & components

They provide flight training simulators in civil and defence industries. Strongly correlated to Boeing and Airbus. CAE trains people to fly new planes. Moving into healthcare by partnering with Microsoft in augmented reality, a business with potential.  (1.5% dividend, Analysts' price target: $27.86)

transportation equip & components
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$26.400
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
The Stars Group Inc(TSGI-T) 

September 13, 2018

It's fallen too far too fast after a big purchase to get them into sports betting in a major way. They're almost more like a a tech company rather than a casino one with their mobile operation. It'll take time to pay debt, but it generates a lot of cash flow. If the US opens more sports betting, Stars will benefit. Cheap at 10x earnings. (no dividend, Analysts' price target: $51.31)

Business Services

It's fallen too far too fast after a big purchase to get them into sports betting in a major way. They're almost more like a a tech company rather than a casino one with their mobile operation. It'll take time to pay debt, but it generates a lot of cash flow. If the US opens more sports betting, Stars will benefit. Cheap at 10x earnings. (no dividend, Analysts' price target: $51.31)

Business Services
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$30.500
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
Crius Energy Trust(KWH.UN-T) 

September 13, 2018

Shares are seeing a big drawdown driven by fear. But their recent quarter was good with revenues up and dispelled some of those concerns. Pays a 13% yield, with 4x cash flow. The yield is a red flag. Maybe 8% is appropriate.

Shares are seeing a big drawdown driven by fear. But their recent quarter was good with revenues up and dispelled some of those concerns. Pays a 13% yield, with 4x cash flow. The yield is a red flag. Maybe 8% is appropriate.

0
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$6.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Just Energy Group(JE-T) 

September 13, 2018

Just energy vs. Crius Energy TrustSimilar companies, valuations and dividends. He prefers Crius because he knows it better and are shifting their client portfolio to more commercial and higher-margin companies. He likes this shift.

Utilities

Just energy vs. Crius Energy TrustSimilar companies, valuations and dividends. He prefers Crius because he knows it better and are shifting their client portfolio to more commercial and higher-margin companies. He likes this shift.

Utilities
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$3.890
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Crius Energy Trust(KWH.UN-T) 

September 13, 2018

Just energy vs. Crius Energy Trust: Similar companies, valuations and dividends. He prefers Crius because he knows it better and are shifting their client portfolio to more commercial and higher-margin companies. He likes this shift.

Just energy vs. Crius Energy Trust: Similar companies, valuations and dividends. He prefers Crius because he knows it better and are shifting their client portfolio to more commercial and higher-margin companies. He likes this shift.

0
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$6.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY

Likes it. Just won contracts in Ontario which he thinks are undervalued--20-year contracts with the potential for growth by growing the square footage. Has little competition due to government regulation. Probably more than a 15x multiple. Long-term potential; they'll have to invest in these facilities, so be patient. They've been very transparent about the River Rock casino in BC as authorities investigate money laundering allegations.

entertainment services

Likes it. Just won contracts in Ontario which he thinks are undervalued--20-year contracts with the potential for growth by growing the square footage. Has little competition due to government regulation. Probably more than a 15x multiple. Long-term potential; they'll have to invest in these facilities, so be patient. They've been very transparent about the River Rock casino in BC as authorities investigate money laundering allegations.

entertainment services
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$44.360
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
ATS Automation(ATA-T) 

September 13, 2018

They do tooling for factories. Manufacturing is moving to e-vehicles and more automation in factories. ATS can do this. Backlog is growing and just bought a company today. High valuation. Sound strategy. He has a 5-year timeline for ATS. Things are playing out well for them. Likes it.

misc industrial products

They do tooling for factories. Manufacturing is moving to e-vehicles and more automation in factories. ATS can do this. Backlog is growing and just bought a company today. High valuation. Sound strategy. He has a 5-year timeline for ATS. Things are playing out well for them. Likes it.

misc industrial products
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$23.980
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
TFI International Inc(TFII-T) 

September 13, 2018

They've grown a lot in the U.S. Has insider ownership, increases dividend, makes good puchases, buys back shares and the strong US economy supports the shipping of goods. Shipping rates are rising because of a shortage of truck drivers, which will last until they raise wages for drivers. TFII will benefit from this shortage. (1.8% dividend, Analysts' price target: $49.29)

Transportation

They've grown a lot in the U.S. Has insider ownership, increases dividend, makes good puchases, buys back shares and the strong US economy supports the shipping of goods. Shipping rates are rising because of a shortage of truck drivers, which will last until they raise wages for drivers. TFII will benefit from this shortage. (1.8% dividend, Analysts' price target: $49.29)

Transportation
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$47.590
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

September 13, 2018

It's the U.S. vs. world markets. The U.S. is still up 8% YTD while the TSX is down 0.5% YTD. It's frustrating for Canadian investors. Financials and energy make up half the TSX, so can those sectors carry the TSX? Probably not. Tech and healthcare make up only 15%.

It's the U.S. vs. world markets. The U.S. is still up 8% YTD while the TSX is down 0.5% YTD. It's frustrating for Canadian investors. Financials and energy make up half the TSX, so can those sectors carry the TSX? Probably not. Tech and healthcare make up only 15%.

Unknown
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PARTIAL BUY
Alaris Royalty(AD-T) 

September 13, 2018

Two years ago, Alaris had two problem investments. Pays an 8% dividend. AD is turning things around with a few more investments, and they have reset their royalty rates. Things are definitely looking better. A 98% payout ratio, but that will be threatened if there's another problem investment. Cheap now. Give it one more quarter to see if things continue to do well, but you can pick away at it now.

Financial Services

Two years ago, Alaris had two problem investments. Pays an 8% dividend. AD is turning things around with a few more investments, and they have reset their royalty rates. Things are definitely looking better. A 98% payout ratio, but that will be threatened if there's another problem investment. Cheap now. Give it one more quarter to see if things continue to do well, but you can pick away at it now.

Financial Services
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$19.450
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Reliq Health Techniques(RHT-X) 

September 13, 2018

A high-risk company in an interesting space. Healthcare providers and governments want to keep people out of hospitals, so Reliq benefits. Reliq's technology can monitor people recovering from home. They're signing contracts in Texas. They target $26 million annual recurring revenue. They've had a few product missteps, so they need to deliver that $26 million target. They're also in the process of signing contracts in Canada and Australia. This could be a big business one day, but there's a lot of risk here.

computer parts mnfctr

A high-risk company in an interesting space. Healthcare providers and governments want to keep people out of hospitals, so Reliq benefits. Reliq's technology can monitor people recovering from home. They're signing contracts in Texas. They target $26 million annual recurring revenue. They've had a few product missteps, so they need to deliver that $26 million target. They're also in the process of signing contracts in Canada and Australia. This could be a big business one day, but there's a lot of risk here.

computer parts mnfctr
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$1.210
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Photon Control(PHO-X) 

September 13, 2018

They've done very well with a new CEO following a legal fight with a subsidiary a few years ago. A good growth play on semiconductors. Has a good balance sheet and growth potential by branching into other semicondutor components. Keep a 3-year time frame on this and expect some volatility.

electrical/electronic

They've done very well with a new CEO following a legal fight with a subsidiary a few years ago. A good growth play on semiconductors. Has a good balance sheet and growth potential by branching into other semicondutor components. Keep a 3-year time frame on this and expect some volatility.

electrical/electronic
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$2.300
Owned Owned
Yes

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