Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts
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Jon Vialoux @

On Stockchase since : Jan 2013

Research Analyst at CastleMoore Inc.

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Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
Toronto Dominion(TD-T) 

February 8, 2019

Since December, it's been in seasonality (until March 1). All the Canadian financials rise until the earnings reports at end-February. TD's 200-day moving average is flatlining, and maybe forming lower lows. He's not excited by this.
banks
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Since December, it's been in seasonality (until March 1). All the Canadian financials rise until the earnings reports at end-February. TD's 200-day moving average is flatlining, and maybe forming lower lows. He's not excited by this.
banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$74.620
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
A summer play from May-August, but it's still trending higher. Investors are risk-averse with this. Pays a 4.2% dividend.
electrical utilities
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A summer play from May-August, but it's still trending higher. Investors are risk-averse with this. Pays a 4.2% dividend.
electrical utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$14.690
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PARTIAL SELL
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

February 8, 2019

Defensives like this are trending higher, though December to March is its seasonality. Its 200-day moving average is moving higher. Taking profits now is a good idea. This could retrace its 200-day moving average.
telephone utilities
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Defensives like this are trending higher, though December to March is its seasonality. Its 200-day moving average is moving higher. Taking profits now is a good idea. This could retrace its 200-day moving average.
telephone utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$57.370
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
ATS Automation(ATA-T) 

February 8, 2019

It gapped higher at $17 following earnings, but hit its 200-day moving average and now going lower. Be cautious here long-term. Feb-July is its seasonality.
misc industrial products
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It gapped higher at $17 following earnings, but hit its 200-day moving average and now going lower. Be cautious here long-term. Feb-July is its seasonality.
misc industrial products
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$18.100
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
Suncor Energy Inc(SU-T) 

February 8, 2019

Within seasonality for oil through the spring into the driving season. We're seeing that now. Gas demand is stronger than usual this year and should eat away at the oil overhang. SU's seasonality is January to May, and it's starting to move up after recently bottoming. (Analysts’ price target is $53.26)
integrated oils
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Within seasonality for oil through the spring into the driving season. We're seeing that now. Gas demand is stronger than usual this year and should eat away at the oil overhang. SU's seasonality is January to May, and it's starting to move up after recently bottoming. (Analysts’ price target is $53.26)
integrated oils
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$42.810
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
Emerging markets have been outperforming our markets during the recent meltdown (late-2018) through stimulus. Seasonality of Dec.19-April 9 in EM.
E.T.F.'s
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Emerging markets have been outperforming our markets during the recent meltdown (late-2018) through stimulus. Seasonality of Dec.19-April 9 in EM.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$42.110
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK
CASH(CASH) 

February 8, 2019

He hates mentioning cash during seasonal strength for the broader stock markets, but these markets have come up to their 200-days moving averages. Take profits, even for a couple of days, and enjoy life.
N/A
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He hates mentioning cash during seasonal strength for the broader stock markets, but these markets have come up to their 200-days moving averages. Take profits, even for a couple of days, and enjoy life.
N/A
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
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He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Chorus Aviation Inc(CHR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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0 comments
Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$6.460
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Parkland Fuel Corp(PKI-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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0 comments
Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$37.840
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Saputo Inc.(SAP-T) 

November 23, 2018

Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$40.040
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Apple(AAPL-Q) 

November 23, 2018

Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$172.290
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$113.680
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Metro Inc (A)(MRU-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
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0 comments
Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$44.970
Owned Owned
Unknown

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