Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts
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Jon Vialoux

On Stockchase since : Jan 2013

Research Analyst at CastleMoore Inc.

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Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 8, 2019

Now is a logical point that the major markets should be pausing after pulling back from the TSX's and S&P's 200-day moving average yesterday. In a bull market trend, the 200-day moving average acts as a level of support where buyers take advantage of the dip and support the market for the next leg higher. We've been below the 200-day for over a month, so this level acts as resistance. Is this the final resistance? Who knows? We've had an impressive run-up since late-December of 16%. We've seen tremendous sentiment swings in the past year. December had the highest put-call ratio he's ever seen. Now, we're neutral with even split between the bulls and bears. The price of gold and REITs are still flying high. Trump won't meet China before the March 1 deadline. China wants something recipricol in this trade deal while Trump feels that the current trade situation favours China. He's not surprised to see caution among investors.
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Now is a logical point that the major markets should be pausing after pulling back from the TSX's and S&P's 200-day moving average yesterday. In a bull market trend, the 200-day moving average acts as a level of support where buyers take advantage of the dip and support the market for the next leg higher. We've been below the 200-day for over a month, so this level acts as resistance. Is this the final resistance? Who knows? We've had an impressive run-up since late-December of 16%. We've seen tremendous sentiment swings in the past year. December had the highest put-call ratio he's ever seen. Now, we're neutral with even split between the bulls and bears. The price of gold and REITs are still flying high. Trump won't meet China before the March 1 deadline. China wants something recipricol in this trade deal while Trump feels that the current trade situation favours China. He's not surprised to see caution among investors.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
It pays an 8% yield but has fallen more than that the past year. The trend says lower lows and lower highs. Not attractive. It's approaching and reacting to its 200-day moving average.
investment companies/funds
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It pays an 8% yield but has fallen more than that the past year. The trend says lower lows and lower highs. Not attractive. It's approaching and reacting to its 200-day moving average.
investment companies/funds
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$17.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Spring is seasonal strength for oil strikes before driving season. Jan.12-April 24 oil gains 10% above the benchmark, positive 12 of 15 years. He's starting to be enticed by the oil stocks. True, CPG suffers lower lows and lower highs, even today. All its moving averages are still down, but this is oversold and due for a bounce. On CPG's side is that oil is in higher demand. But for now, stay away from this.
oil/gas
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Spring is seasonal strength for oil strikes before driving season. Jan.12-April 24 oil gains 10% above the benchmark, positive 12 of 15 years. He's starting to be enticed by the oil stocks. True, CPG suffers lower lows and lower highs, even today. All its moving averages are still down, but this is oversold and due for a bounce. On CPG's side is that oil is in higher demand. But for now, stay away from this.
oil/gas
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$3.420
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Chorus Aviation Inc(CHR-T) 

February 8, 2019

Coincided with the upstick at year's end. October to May sees an uptick in cyclicals like this. It has enjoyed lower lows and lower highs, but has risen above its 200-day moving average which is good--it has gapped higher. We're outside seasonal strength but it's starting to look encouraging.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Coincided with the upstick at year's end. October to May sees an uptick in cyclicals like this. It has enjoyed lower lows and lower highs, but has risen above its 200-day moving average which is good--it has gapped higher. We're outside seasonal strength but it's starting to look encouraging.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$7.080
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT
West Fraser Timber(WFT-T) 

February 8, 2019

Lumber's seasonality is between early-November and early-March, before people actually buy their homes. Lumber prices are starting to rise from a serious low (and bad year), but they're starting to come back. WFT had a declining trend based on the falling lumber price, but peer Canfor is cutting output which may benefit EFT. He's concerned it touching its 200-day moving average and declining today. Support at $70, its 50-day moving average. If it holds less level, WFT could see higher highs.
west coast forestry
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Lumber's seasonality is between early-November and early-March, before people actually buy their homes. Lumber prices are starting to rise from a serious low (and bad year), but they're starting to come back. WFT had a declining trend based on the falling lumber price, but peer Canfor is cutting output which may benefit EFT. He's concerned it touching its 200-day moving average and declining today. Support at $70, its 50-day moving average. If it holds less level, WFT could see higher highs.
west coast forestry
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$75.940
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Nvidia Corp(NVDA-Q) 

February 8, 2019

These stocks do well in Q4, and NVDA is the momentum player. October to February, this sector outpaces the benchmark return by 28%, coinciding with the semis and tech sectors. But last Q4, this fell along with the whole market. In 2018, this sector hit lows and have since started to emerge higher to find support. He wants this to hold support at $146.02, its 50-day moving average.
computer software/processing
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These stocks do well in Q4, and NVDA is the momentum player. October to February, this sector outpaces the benchmark return by 28%, coinciding with the semis and tech sectors. But last Q4, this fell along with the whole market. In 2018, this sector hit lows and have since started to emerge higher to find support. He wants this to hold support at $146.02, its 50-day moving average.
computer software/processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$148.170
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Seasonality is Dec.2-April 15 when it beats the benchmark by 21%. These tech-related stocks are starting to bottom lately, but not outperforming during the market low. That said, it is a rounded bottom since Q4 2018 and is curently holding its lows. If it can prop higher, this could be a tremendous buying opportunity. The 50-day average is $6.
electrical/electronic
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Seasonality is Dec.2-April 15 when it beats the benchmark by 21%. These tech-related stocks are starting to bottom lately, but not outperforming during the market low. That said, it is a rounded bottom since Q4 2018 and is curently holding its lows. If it can prop higher, this could be a tremendous buying opportunity. The 50-day average is $6.
electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$6.160
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
These yield plays do well in the summer when cyclicals (and risk-off stocks) are out of favour. Now, investors are very defensive. DIV has been gaining during current seasonal strength (since late-2018). It's been rangebound the past year, though its above its 200-day moving average. Resistance at $3.15. He's not excitied by this, but it is holding.
other services
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These yield plays do well in the summer when cyclicals (and risk-off stocks) are out of favour. Now, investors are very defensive. DIV has been gaining during current seasonal strength (since late-2018). It's been rangebound the past year, though its above its 200-day moving average. Resistance at $3.15. He's not excitied by this, but it is holding.
other services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$3.040
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 6%) Nov.25-Feb.14 is seasonality which coincides with several healthcare conferences. These medical stocks are still outperforming the market. He took profits.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 6%) Nov.25-Feb.14 is seasonality which coincides with several healthcare conferences. These medical stocks are still outperforming the market. He took profits.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$215.270
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 6%) Everything sold off in housing last year, which was probably warranted because of two years of declining U.S. home sales, which reflects the overall economy. He doesn't see strength in U.S. homes.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 6%) Everything sold off in housing last year, which was probably warranted because of two years of declining U.S. home sales, which reflects the overall economy. He doesn't see strength in U.S. homes.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$33.670
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 1%) Tech's seasonality is in Q4 and CGI is still charting new highs. He sold when it hit resistance.
investment companies/funds
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(A Top Pick Nov 23/18, Up 1%) Tech's seasonality is in Q4 and CGI is still charting new highs. He sold when it hit resistance.
investment companies/funds
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$22.550
Owned Owned
No

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HOLD
Walt Disney(DIS-N) 

February 8, 2019

He's unimpressed with their just-released revenue growth. Seasonality is October-February. DIS has sold off with the broader market, but is still trending higher. Has enjoyed higher highs and lows since 2016. DIS was outperforming the market since the start of the year then flatlined. He wouldn't buy now, but hold.
entertainment services
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He's unimpressed with their just-released revenue growth. Seasonality is October-February. DIS has sold off with the broader market, but is still trending higher. Has enjoyed higher highs and lows since 2016. DIS was outperforming the market since the start of the year then flatlined. He wouldn't buy now, but hold.
entertainment services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$111.510
Owned Owned
Yes

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BUY
Shopify Inc.(SHOP-T) 

February 8, 2019

Volatile with serious moves, like today up 2%. It's starting to break above resistance, which is good. This could very well break out to new highs, because it's still charting higher. Overall, the Canadian tech sector is amazing. Good for the long term.
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Volatile with serious moves, like today up 2%. It's starting to break above resistance, which is good. This could very well break out to new highs, because it's still charting higher. Overall, the Canadian tech sector is amazing. Good for the long term.
0
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$233.300
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Open Text(OTEX-T) 

February 8, 2019

October to March seasonality. It's moved above its 200-day moving average and has gapped higher. $48 is support and when you can buy and ride it higher.
computer software/processing
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October to March seasonality. It's moved above its 200-day moving average and has gapped higher. $48 is support and when you can buy and ride it higher.
computer software/processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$49.090
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Which chart to look at if you're unsure about your investment horizon? If you're shorter-term investor, look at the 20-day moving average; intermediate 50-day; and long-term is the 200-day moving average which is most investors. BAM's 200-day is still pointing higher and is still doing quite well, but short-term it broke its level of support. It's a question mark if BAM can chart a higher high to maintain a low-term positive trend.
management/diversified
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Which chart to look at if you're unsure about your investment horizon? If you're shorter-term investor, look at the 20-day moving average; intermediate 50-day; and long-term is the 200-day moving average which is most investors. BAM's 200-day is still pointing higher and is still doing quite well, but short-term it broke its level of support. It's a question mark if BAM can chart a higher high to maintain a low-term positive trend.
management/diversified
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$57.830
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Toronto Dominion(TD-T) 

February 8, 2019

Since December, it's been in seasonality (until March 1). All the Canadian financials rise until the earnings reports at end-February. TD's 200-day moving average is flatlining, and maybe forming lower lows. He's not excited by this.
banks
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Since December, it's been in seasonality (until March 1). All the Canadian financials rise until the earnings reports at end-February. TD's 200-day moving average is flatlining, and maybe forming lower lows. He's not excited by this.
banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$74.620
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
A summer play from May-August, but it's still trending higher. Investors are risk-averse with this. Pays a 4.2% dividend.
electrical utilities
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A summer play from May-August, but it's still trending higher. Investors are risk-averse with this. Pays a 4.2% dividend.
electrical utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$14.690
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PARTIAL SELL
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

February 8, 2019

Defensives like this are trending higher, though December to March is its seasonality. Its 200-day moving average is moving higher. Taking profits now is a good idea. This could retrace its 200-day moving average.
telephone utilities
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Defensives like this are trending higher, though December to March is its seasonality. Its 200-day moving average is moving higher. Taking profits now is a good idea. This could retrace its 200-day moving average.
telephone utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$57.370
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
ATS Automation(ATA-T) 

February 8, 2019

It gapped higher at $17 following earnings, but hit its 200-day moving average and now going lower. Be cautious here long-term. Feb-July is its seasonality.
misc industrial products
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It gapped higher at $17 following earnings, but hit its 200-day moving average and now going lower. Be cautious here long-term. Feb-July is its seasonality.
misc industrial products
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$18.100
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
Suncor Energy Inc(SU-T) 

February 8, 2019

Within seasonality for oil through the spring into the driving season. We're seeing that now. Gas demand is stronger than usual this year and should eat away at the oil overhang. SU's seasonality is January to May, and it's starting to move up after recently bottoming. (Analysts’ price target is $53.26)
integrated oils
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Within seasonality for oil through the spring into the driving season. We're seeing that now. Gas demand is stronger than usual this year and should eat away at the oil overhang. SU's seasonality is January to May, and it's starting to move up after recently bottoming. (Analysts’ price target is $53.26)
integrated oils
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$42.810
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
Emerging markets have been outperforming our markets during the recent meltdown (late-2018) through stimulus. Seasonality of Dec.19-April 9 in EM.
E.T.F.'s
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Emerging markets have been outperforming our markets during the recent meltdown (late-2018) through stimulus. Seasonality of Dec.19-April 9 in EM.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$42.110
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK
CASH(CASH) 

February 8, 2019

He hates mentioning cash during seasonal strength for the broader stock markets, but these markets have come up to their 200-days moving averages. Take profits, even for a couple of days, and enjoy life.
N/A
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He hates mentioning cash during seasonal strength for the broader stock markets, but these markets have come up to their 200-days moving averages. Take profits, even for a couple of days, and enjoy life.
N/A
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
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He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
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Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Chorus Aviation Inc(CHR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$6.460
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Parkland Fuel Corp(PKI-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$37.840
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Saputo Inc.(SAP-T) 

November 23, 2018

Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$40.040
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Apple(AAPL-Q) 

November 23, 2018

Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$172.290
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$113.680
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Metro Inc (A)(MRU-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
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0 comments
Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$44.970
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Maxar Technologies(MAXR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally: Dec.12-May 9, so typical strength is coming. But it's had a parabolic decline, far below its 200-day moving average. He expects that investors will sell between $25-35, because the stock fell so sharply recently and those investors didn't have a chance to sell. It's a buying opportunity now.
computer software/processing
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Seasonally: Dec.12-May 9, so typical strength is coming. But it's had a parabolic decline, far below its 200-day moving average. He expects that investors will sell between $25-35, because the stock fell so sharply recently and those investors didn't have a chance to sell. It's a buying opportunity now.
computer software/processing
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$22.880
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
It does better in the springtime before summer driving season. This year's it's seen lower-lows and -highs. It's below its 200-day moving average. Oil price has plunged. Can CFW benefit from current $53 oil?
oil/gas field services
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0 comments
It does better in the springtime before summer driving season. This year's it's seen lower-lows and -highs. It's below its 200-day moving average. Oil price has plunged. Can CFW benefit from current $53 oil?
oil/gas field services
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$3.260
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

November 23, 2018

We're now beyond seasonality (Aug.2-Nov.11), but Visa has done really well. Payment companies won't go out of style. It's enjoyed higher-highs and -lows. Visa will benefit from holiday shopping. A good time now.
other services
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0 comments
We're now beyond seasonality (Aug.2-Nov.11), but Visa has done really well. Payment companies won't go out of style. It's enjoyed higher-highs and -lows. Visa will benefit from holiday shopping. A good time now.
other services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$132.870
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Inter Pipeline(IPL-T) 

November 23, 2018

Pipelines are defensive and their seasonality is summer, June 8-August 31. Since 2017, IPL has been in a declining trend. At least you collect a 7.6% dividend.
oil pipelines
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Pipelines are defensive and their seasonality is summer, June 8-August 31. Since 2017, IPL has been in a declining trend. At least you collect a 7.6% dividend.
oil pipelines
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$21.920
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Canadian National R.R.(CNR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Jan.7 optimal buy date. April 18 optimal sell date. CNR has held up very well during this correction. It has an uptrend trend, with resistance at $118. It's still above its 200-day moving average. The low price of oil can pressure its business.
Transportation
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Jan.7 optimal buy date. April 18 optimal sell date. CNR has held up very well during this correction. It has an uptrend trend, with resistance at $118. It's still above its 200-day moving average. The low price of oil can pressure its business.
Transportation
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$112.220
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

The 200-day chart of the S&P 500 We're beyond the high-growth phase in the economy and now in a moderating phase. There are still higher-highs and -lows, but momentum is flagging. We're not facing a recession tomrorow, but we are definitely in the late stage of the economy.
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The 200-day chart of the S&P 500 We're beyond the high-growth phase in the economy and now in a moderating phase. There are still higher-highs and -lows, but momentum is flagging. We're not facing a recession tomrorow, but we are definitely in the late stage of the economy.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
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Unknown

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COMMENT
It's high a slightly declining trend channel since 2017, with moderately lower-lows and -highs. It had a huge run-up in late-2017--a bull flag pattern. It boils down to a $10 move above the flag portion
Energy Infrastructure, Industrials & Utilities
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It's high a slightly declining trend channel since 2017, with moderately lower-lows and -highs. It had a huge run-up in late-2017--a bull flag pattern. It boils down to a $10 move above the flag portion
Energy Infrastructure, Industrials & Utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$17.940
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Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Down 6%) Seasonally, it's Sept.23-Jan.3, so there's still some runway, a little past the hurricane season, but this year it's been caught in the wider correction. That said, it's performed better than the wider market. It's holding support at $59. He's concerned that it's resisting at a double top. He exited. Maybe he will return in the future.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Down 6%) Seasonally, it's Sept.23-Jan.3, so there's still some runway, a little past the hurricane season, but this year it's been caught in the wider correction. That said, it's performed better than the wider market. It's holding support at $59. He's concerned that it's resisting at a double top. He exited. Maybe he will return in the future.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
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No

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PAST TOP PICK
US Global Jets(JETS-N) 

November 23, 2018

(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Down 3%) Seasonally, it's late-August through November. It rises then because of the seasonal decline in the oil price. JETS is down only 3% vs. the overall market of 10%, so it's really benefitted from the plunge in oil.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Down 3%) Seasonally, it's late-August through November. It rises then because of the seasonal decline in the oil price. JETS is down only 3% vs. the overall market of 10%, so it's really benefitted from the plunge in oil.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$31.400
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Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Up 0.4%) Yields 2.15%. As he raised cash before seaonal volatility in September and October, he parked that cash here. As the market plunged, he was 50% cash in August.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Aug 31/18, Up 0.4%) Yields 2.15%. As he raised cash before seaonal volatility in September and October, he parked that cash here. As the market plunged, he was 50% cash in August.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
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Yes

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TOP PICK
Healthcare has performed phenomally this year, avoiding cyclical breakdowns found in other sectors. Seasonally, it's Nov.24-Feb.14. Aging demographics help, but really pushes this are all the healthcare conferences at the start of the year. These stocks run up till then.
E.T.F.'s
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Healthcare has performed phenomally this year, avoiding cyclical breakdowns found in other sectors. Seasonally, it's Nov.24-Feb.14. Aging demographics help, but really pushes this are all the healthcare conferences at the start of the year. These stocks run up till then.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$203.850
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Yes

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TOP PICK
He's bullish U.S. housing. This ETF has risen this week, while the market has fallen. Seasonally, it's Oct. 28 - Feb. 5 because it's the run-up to homebuying in the spring. Investors are pricing in lowering interest rates, because it has been penalized by the threat of higher rates.
E.T.F.'s
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He's bullish U.S. housing. This ETF has risen this week, while the market has fallen. Seasonally, it's Oct. 28 - Feb. 5 because it's the run-up to homebuying in the spring. Investors are pricing in lowering interest rates, because it has been penalized by the threat of higher rates.
E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$31.720
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Yes

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TOP PICK
CGI Group (A)(GIB.A-T) 

November 23, 2018

He loves tech which has been punished, because the fundamentals remain strong. The last durable-goods order report stated 20% above average growth for computers and related products. Phenomenal growth historically. Seasonally, it's Dec. 22 - March 13. (Analysts’ price target is $87.74)
consulting
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He loves tech which has been punished, because the fundamentals remain strong. The last durable-goods order report stated 20% above average growth for computers and related products. Phenomenal growth historically. Seasonally, it's Dec. 22 - March 13. (Analysts’ price target is $87.74)
consulting
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$83.280
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Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

August 31, 2018

NAFTA. For now, there’s still hope. Canadian dollar has been pulling back. But the economy overall is built on a house of cards. Oil and timber exports are really holding the exports up. If NAFTA goes away, can the consumer still hold up the economy. Some risks in the employment numbers. Canadian economy is hinging upon a lot of things where there’s risk.

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NAFTA. For now, there’s still hope. Canadian dollar has been pulling back. But the economy overall is built on a house of cards. Oil and timber exports are really holding the exports up. If NAFTA goes away, can the consumer still hold up the economy. Some risks in the employment numbers. Canadian economy is hinging upon a lot of things where there’s risk.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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$0.020
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_N/A

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

August 31, 2018

Market over the summer. Great summer for equities. Shrugging off things and shooting higher. Usually see market weakness between May and October, especially in a mid-term election year. But not this year. Markets continue to grind higher.

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Market over the summer. Great summer for equities. Shrugging off things and shooting higher. Usually see market weakness between May and October, especially in a mid-term election year. But not this year. Markets continue to grind higher.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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$0.020
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_N/A

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

August 31, 2018

US Housing. We look for breadcrumbs to follow that will lead us into the next recession. Housing is one of those breadcrumbs flashing a warning signal in the US. In US, below average sales, above average inventories.

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US Housing. We look for breadcrumbs to follow that will lead us into the next recession. Housing is one of those breadcrumbs flashing a warning signal in the US. In US, below average sales, above average inventories.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
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_N/A

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DON'T BUY
Coca-Cola Company(KO-N) 

August 31, 2018

Coke differs from the broader staples sector. It’s strong between March and June, so look for it in the second quarter. Seeing a rollover, and a short-term double top. Suggests more downside weakness. Heading for breaking support at $44 and $41. Stay away.

food processing
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Coke differs from the broader staples sector. It’s strong between March and June, so look for it in the second quarter. Seeing a rollover, and a short-term double top. Suggests more downside weakness. Heading for breaking support at $44 and $41. Stay away.

food processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$44.570
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT
Trevali Mining Corp(TV-T) 

August 31, 2018

Materials do well from November to March. Look to buy into the fall. Technicals show a rollover, constantly pushing lower. Significant resistance. Stay away.

Mining
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Materials do well from November to March. Look to buy into the fall. Technicals show a rollover, constantly pushing lower. Significant resistance. Stay away.

Mining
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.780
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Unknown

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BUY
SPDR Technology ETF(XLK-N) 

August 31, 2018

Technology is a growth sector, which mitigates the seasonal fluctuations. Above average growth this year. Seasonal strength between October and end of year. Tech will benefit from cyclicality and push higher to end of the year.

E.T.F.'s
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Technology is a growth sector, which mitigates the seasonal fluctuations. Above average growth this year. Seasonal strength between October and end of year. Tech will benefit from cyclicality and push higher to end of the year.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$75.600
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Unknown

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WAIT
Apple(AAPL-Q) 

August 31, 2018

Apple has gone parabolic, which suggests it’s vulnerable to a pullback. Usually see a runup into its fall event (September 10 this year), and then a selloff. Don’t get into it now, wait for tech seasonality in October.

electrical/electronic
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Apple has gone parabolic, which suggests it’s vulnerable to a pullback. Usually see a runup into its fall event (September 10 this year), and then a selloff. Don’t get into it now, wait for tech seasonality in October.

electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$227.630
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Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK

March to June is optimal time to buy. Big runup earlier this year didn’t materialize into a positive result. Worries him that there’s a lower significant high. Investor exhaustion. If it breaks $3.50, could see significant downside. Be cautious.

breweries/beverages
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March to June is optimal time to buy. Big runup earlier this year didn’t materialize into a positive result. Worries him that there’s a lower significant high. Investor exhaustion. If it breaks $3.50, could see significant downside. Be cautious.

breweries/beverages
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$4.090
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Unknown

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BUY
Canopy Growth Corp.(WEED-T) 

August 31, 2018

Trend of higher highs, higher lows. Trend is in your favour. Broader markets reaching all-time highs. Positive risk sentiment is touching all the riskier asset classes, and as long as it remains, it’s away to the races. 

agriculture
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Trend of higher highs, higher lows. Trend is in your favour. Broader markets reaching all-time highs. Positive risk sentiment is touching all the riskier asset classes, and as long as it remains, it’s away to the races. 

agriculture
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$59.640
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Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 18/18 , Up 15%) Healthcare has been a political football. Seasonally positive in the summer. Best sector this summer. Don’t push your hand too much in the fall. Vulnerable here.

E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick May 18/18 , Up 15%) Healthcare has been a political football. Seasonally positive in the summer. Best sector this summer. Don’t push your hand too much in the fall. Vulnerable here.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$196.960
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No

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PAST TOP PICK
Power Share QQQQ ETF(QQQ-Q) 

August 31, 2018

(A Top Pick May 18/18, Up 12%) Economic growth for technology is well beyond what he’s ever seen. Technology mitigates seasonal downturns. Trend of higher highs, higher lows. Apple’s vulnerability could bring it down.

E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick May 18/18, Up 12%) Economic growth for technology is well beyond what he’s ever seen. Technology mitigates seasonal downturns. Trend of higher highs, higher lows. Apple’s vulnerability could bring it down.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$186.650
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No

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 18/18, Up 5%) Covered call adds yield when the market goes sideways, as it usually does in the summer. You don’t have to time the market, you just participate and take down portfolio risk.

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(A Top Pick May 18/18, Up 5%) Covered call adds yield when the market goes sideways, as it usually does in the summer. You don’t have to time the market, you just participate and take down portfolio risk.

0
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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$23.640
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Yes

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WAIT
Waste Management(WM-N) 

August 31, 2018

Best time to buy/sell is between March 4 and May 30. A way to maintain industrial exposure and take down risk. Back to all-time highs. Struggling to reach new highs. Momentum is fading. Vulnerable.

environmental
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Best time to buy/sell is between March 4 and May 30. A way to maintain industrial exposure and take down risk. Back to all-time highs. Struggling to reach new highs. Momentum is fading. Vulnerable.

environmental
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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$90.900
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Unknown

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COMMENT
Facebook(FB-Q) 

August 31, 2018

Internet stocks tend to do well from September to end of year. Technically, had a significant negative reaction to earnings. Going to be a lid on the stock until the recent gap gets closed. Nothing special right now.

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Internet stocks tend to do well from September to end of year. Technically, had a significant negative reaction to earnings. Going to be a lid on the stock until the recent gap gets closed. Nothing special right now.

0
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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BUY
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

August 31, 2018

Last half of the year is consumer spending season. Between August 2 and November 11 is prime seasonality. A defined pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Continue to ride that train.

other services
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Last half of the year is consumer spending season. Between August 2 and November 11 is prime seasonality. A defined pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Continue to ride that train.

other services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$146.890
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Unknown

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WAIT

Optimal holding period is from November 6 to February 8. Technically, we have some problems. Gapping lower. Looking for selling exhaustion. Hope for capitulation with high volume, that’s an opportune time to buy as a contrarian play. Yield is 30%.

entertainment services
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Optimal holding period is from November 6 to February 8. Technically, we have some problems. Gapping lower. Looking for selling exhaustion. Hope for capitulation with high volume, that’s an opportune time to buy as a contrarian play. Yield is 30%.

entertainment services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

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$3.700
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Unknown

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WATCH
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

August 31, 2018

Defensive play, so doesn’t suffer same seasonal fluctuations. Can be a good place to hide in the summer. Best time to own is December 6 to March 13, even though that’s risk-on for the market. Pullback starting to base. Support at $53 would be a good risk-reward point, and also provides a tight stop. Moving averages are rolling over. Seeing lower highs and lower lows.

telephone utilities
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Defensive play, so doesn’t suffer same seasonal fluctuations. Can be a good place to hide in the summer. Best time to own is December 6 to March 13, even though that’s risk-on for the market. Pullback starting to base. Support at $53 would be a good risk-reward point, and also provides a tight stop. Moving averages are rolling over. Seeing lower highs and lower lows.

telephone utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$53.230
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Unknown

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WATCH

Optimal hold from November 20 to February 14. Moving averages curling over. Don’t get excited yet. Wait for a better entry point. (Analysts’ price target is around $41)

precious metals
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Optimal hold from November 20 to February 14. Moving averages curling over. Don’t get excited yet. Wait for a better entry point. (Analysts’ price target is around $41)

precious metals
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$29.410
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Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

August 31, 2018

S&P 500 seasonality. Go into defensive plays for September. Hurdles for cyclicals like financials, industrials, and materials. But can’t argue with the trend of higher highs, and higher lows. We’re close to 3000, which will be like a magnet to the upside. For the month ahead, be a little bit cautious.

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S&P 500 seasonality. Go into defensive plays for September. Hurdles for cyclicals like financials, industrials, and materials. But can’t argue with the trend of higher highs, and higher lows. We’re close to 3000, which will be like a magnet to the upside. For the month ahead, be a little bit cautious.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
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_N/A

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TOP PICK

After suffering lower yields, they’re starting to break out again. Optimal time to hold is between September 23 and January 3. Volatility with hurricane season ahead, but the forecast risk is lower, so lower payouts for claims.

0 0 0 0 0
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After suffering lower yields, they’re starting to break out again. Optimal time to hold is between September 23 and January 3. Volatility with hurricane season ahead, but the forecast risk is lower, so lower payouts for claims.

0
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$66.000
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Yes

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TOP PICK
US Global Jets(JETS-N) 

August 31, 2018

Upcoming seasonal weakness for oil will be a tailwind. Seasonality is end of August to November.

E.T.F.'s
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Upcoming seasonal weakness for oil will be a tailwind. Seasonality is end of August to November.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$32.440
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No

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TOP PICK

High-yield savings account. Monthly distribution. With equity weakness in September coming up (the last 2 weeks being the weakest), being invested in this, you’ll do well to sit out the volatility. It’s only one month. Yield is 1.9%.

E.T.F.'s
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High-yield savings account. Monthly distribution. With equity weakness in September coming up (the last 2 weeks being the weakest), being invested in this, you’ll do well to sit out the volatility. It’s only one month. Yield is 1.9%.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
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No

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

May 18, 2018

Market Outlook. This is historically the part of the year when you want to become more defensive. Typically, that means going to bonds. This year we are in a rising interest rate environment so maybe you don’t want to be there as inflation still keeps coming up. If the Fed keeps on raising rates Poloz will have to follow in suit. 2.2% increase in mortgage expenses for Canadians just year-to-date. Gas up 14%. Inflation needs to be stabilized.

0 0 0 0 0
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Market Outlook. This is historically the part of the year when you want to become more defensive. Typically, that means going to bonds. This year we are in a rising interest rate environment so maybe you don’t want to be there as inflation still keeps coming up. If the Fed keeps on raising rates Poloz will have to follow in suit. 2.2% increase in mortgage expenses for Canadians just year-to-date. Gas up 14%. Inflation needs to be stabilized.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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BUY
Dollarama Inc.(DOL-T) 

May 18, 2018

It has been up in 8 of the last 8 years. Defensive characteristics that you want to see during in the summer. Ideal entry point from a risk/reward perspective. Testing support.

Consumer Products
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It has been up in 8 of the last 8 years. Defensive characteristics that you want to see during in the summer. Ideal entry point from a risk/reward perspective. Testing support.

Consumer Products
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$151.010
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No

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DON'T BUY

The seasonal strength for energy names is from the end of January to the start of May. The demand for energy product has been stellar. There is a trend of lower lows but that has been broken now. Everything looks good for this except for the fact that the seasonal strength is over, and the easy money has been made already. There is another period of strength in July. You might want to pause.

oil/gas
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The seasonal strength for energy names is from the end of January to the start of May. The demand for energy product has been stellar. There is a trend of lower lows but that has been broken now. Everything looks good for this except for the fact that the seasonal strength is over, and the easy money has been made already. There is another period of strength in July. You might want to pause.

oil/gas
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$4.830
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No

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BUY on WEAKNESS
Xylem Inc.(XYL-N) 

May 18, 2018

Less prone to cyclical fluctuations in summer. Resisting around the 20-day average. Long term is pretty much on trend. Good summer hold.

environmental
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Less prone to cyclical fluctuations in summer. Resisting around the 20-day average. Long term is pretty much on trend. Good summer hold.

environmental
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$71.640
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No

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COMMENT

Can’t say anything negative Higher highs and higher lows. Momentum indicators still in bullish territory. Not enough history though.

clothing
0 0 0 0 0
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Can’t say anything negative Higher highs and higher lows. Momentum indicators still in bullish territory. Not enough history though.

clothing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$52.780
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT
BlackBerry(BB-T) 

May 18, 2018

Has outperformed the market in the 15 of the last 19 years. A winter hold. Momentum indicators have diverged.

electrical/electronic
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Has outperformed the market in the 15 of the last 19 years. A winter hold. Momentum indicators have diverged.

electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$14.840
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT

Parts of the market where you want to flock to during the summer. One of those defensive summer names. High yield. May to August is the period of strength. Not a home run stock but provides a volatility hedge. If rates go much higher, it could have problems. Classic shoulder-head-shoulder from a technical perspective. 

electrical utilities
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Parts of the market where you want to flock to during the summer. One of those defensive summer names. High yield. May to August is the period of strength. Not a home run stock but provides a volatility hedge. If rates go much higher, it could have problems. Classic shoulder-head-shoulder from a technical perspective. 

electrical utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$12.480
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
Rio Tinto(RIO-N) 

May 18, 2018

(A Top Pick September 29/17 - Up 24%)  They were bullish in commodities coming into this year. This is the largest miner. Still like it.

other mines
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(A Top Pick September 29/17 - Up 24%)  They were bullish in commodities coming into this year. This is the largest miner. Still like it.

other mines
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$58.410
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
Nutrien Ltd.(NTR-T) 

May 18, 2018

(A Top Pick September 29/17 -  Down 4%.)  The merge of Potash and Agrium. A commodity play as they were bullish in commodities coming into this year. Fourth quarter tends to be the quarter when farmers tend to put their orders for fertilizers.

agriculture
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(A Top Pick September 29/17 -  Down 4%.)  The merge of Potash and Agrium. A commodity play as they were bullish in commodities coming into this year. Fourth quarter tends to be the quarter when farmers tend to put their orders for fertilizers.

agriculture
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$66.310
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick September 29/17 - Up 13%.) End of November to April is the period of strength in seasonality. So, they were a little earlier. But they liked the higher net interest margins. Banks is the way to benefit from raising interest rates.

E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick September 29/17 - Up 13%.) End of November to April is the period of strength in seasonality. So, they were a little earlier. But they liked the higher net interest margins. Banks is the way to benefit from raising interest rates.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$31.000
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

There is a positive trend for the energy sector. There should be some sort of digestion from here. Geopolitical risk. The pick seasonal strength for the sector is really coming to an end now. Over the short term expect some consolidation. Technically shows that $7.16  is a better price to buy this.

Oil and Gas (Integrated Oils)
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There is a positive trend for the energy sector. There should be some sort of digestion from here. Geopolitical risk. The pick seasonal strength for the sector is really coming to an end now. Over the short term expect some consolidation. Technically shows that $7.16  is a better price to buy this.

Oil and Gas (Integrated Oils)
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$7.690
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

It is consolidating here. He suspects that the announcements from the trump Administration on American Patients First affected it. Pharmaceutical companies in general are being affected. Not looking too favorable on a technical basis.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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It is consolidating here. He suspects that the announcements from the trump Administration on American Patients First affected it. Pharmaceutical companies in general are being affected. Not looking too favorable on a technical basis.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$52.710
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

May 18, 2018

Timing the market is not a good idea as most experts but seasonal investing seems to work  -  He runs the website Timigthemarkets.ca so he is for it, but he just wouldn’t advocate anybody to do it. Seasonality should be seen as a tail wind for stocks but should be seen in conjunction with fundamentals and technicals.

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Timing the market is not a good idea as most experts but seasonal investing seems to work  -  He runs the website Timigthemarkets.ca so he is for it, but he just wouldn’t advocate anybody to do it. Seasonality should be seen as a tail wind for stocks but should be seen in conjunction with fundamentals and technicals.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
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_N/A

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BUY
Magna Int'l. (A)(MG-T) 

May 18, 2018

He likes the auto parts companies. Average age of cars in the US is 11 ½. You will need parts for new cars and used cars. Positive in the 16 of the last 22 years. Seasonality to but is in the spring. Picks around July. Technically looks very solid. Higher highs and higher lows. Everything looks favorable for the stock. Trading at 10 times earnings.

Automotive
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He likes the auto parts companies. Average age of cars in the US is 11 ½. You will need parts for new cars and used cars. Positive in the 16 of the last 22 years. Seasonality to but is in the spring. Picks around July. Technically looks very solid. Higher highs and higher lows. Everything looks favorable for the stock. Trading at 10 times earnings.

Automotive
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$85.230
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

Interest sensitivity is playing against the name. Summer is the time to buy into this stock but the technical don’t look good. He would stay away from it.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
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Interest sensitivity is playing against the name. Summer is the time to buy into this stock but the technical don’t look good. He would stay away from it.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$49.540
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No

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WATCH
Procter & Gamble(PG-N) 

May 18, 2018

From June to October is the right period to buy this. Defensive name. Longer term momentum is not on its side.  It is trading a down channel. MSCD is positive diverting. Selling pressure is waning. If you see it go over 75 might be an opportunity to buy. 

misc consumer products
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From June to October is the right period to buy this. Defensive name. Longer term momentum is not on its side.  It is trading a down channel. MSCD is positive diverting. Selling pressure is waning. If you see it go over 75 might be an opportunity to buy. 

misc consumer products
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$73.450
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK

Defensive name. Positive in the last 14 of the past 18 years. Keep you invested during the summer.

E.T.F.'s
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Defensive name. Positive in the last 14 of the past 18 years. Keep you invested during the summer.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$171.830
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK

Tracks the NASDAQ. The strength on technology is equivalent to the one seen on the late 1990. But we don’t have that crazy valuations. Growth companies. Not really cyclical. 

E.T.F.'s
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Tracks the NASDAQ. The strength on technology is equivalent to the one seen on the late 1990. But we don’t have that crazy valuations. Growth companies. Not really cyclical. 

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$167.460
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No

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TOP PICK

Extra 2% return on the Dow. A way to mitigate volatility. Play on the broad market in a good economy. 

0 0 0 0 0
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Extra 2% return on the Dow. A way to mitigate volatility. Play on the broad market in a good economy. 

0
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$22.870
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No

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N/A
General Market Comment 

September 29, 2017

Market.This is supposed to be the season of volatility, but where is the volatility? It hasn’t spiked in September, which is supposed to be the weakest month of the year. It looks like the S&P 500 is going to go with a 2% gain, and the TSX is even better at 3%. This just speaks to the fundamental backdrop in the economy right now. We are seeing phenomenal manufacturing numbers, and are reaching a point of full employment.

0 0 0 0 0
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Market.This is supposed to be the season of volatility, but where is the volatility? It hasn’t spiked in September, which is supposed to be the weakest month of the year. It looks like the S&P 500 is going to go with a 2% gain, and the TSX is even better at 3%. This just speaks to the fundamental backdrop in the economy right now. We are seeing phenomenal manufacturing numbers, and are reaching a point of full employment.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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N/A
General Market Comment 

September 29, 2017

Energy. We are beyond the period of seasonal strength, which just ended recently. Between the middle of August to mid September is the period of seasonal strength. We are getting into the maintenance season. Hurricanes have always played a role at this time causing supply disruptions, which tends to drive the price of oil higher. We might not see this come back until November, which is the end of their historical maintenance period. There could be some volatility. He would be cautious.

0 0 0 0 0
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Energy. We are beyond the period of seasonal strength, which just ended recently. Between the middle of August to mid September is the period of seasonal strength. We are getting into the maintenance season. Hurricanes have always played a role at this time causing supply disruptions, which tends to drive the price of oil higher. We might not see this come back until November, which is the end of their historical maintenance period. There could be some volatility. He would be cautious.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
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_N/A

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N/A
General Market Comment 

September 29, 2017

Consumer Spending. This is showing the weakest year-to-date performance in decades, and we are also seeing that in terms of vehicle sales. Vehicle sales and restaurant sales are the most discretionary items of consumers’ budgets. Has also started seeing weak housing numbers as well, and that predates the hurricanes. We are coming into the 4th quarter, which is heavily driven by consumers spending. If we are not seeing it coming into this period, is it really going to materialize? He would avoid the sector or at least market weight it. Certainly wouldn’t overweight it. Look towards industrials and materials, the things that will really benefit from that manufacturing push.

0 0 0 0 0
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Consumer Spending. This is showing the weakest year-to-date performance in decades, and we are also seeing that in terms of vehicle sales. Vehicle sales and restaurant sales are the most discretionary items of consumers’ budgets. Has also started seeing weak housing numbers as well, and that predates the hurricanes. We are coming into the 4th quarter, which is heavily driven by consumers spending. If we are not seeing it coming into this period, is it really going to materialize? He would avoid the sector or at least market weight it. Certainly wouldn’t overweight it. Look towards industrials and materials, the things that will really benefit from that manufacturing push.

Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY
Bombardier Inc (B)(BBD.B-T) 

September 29, 2017

Seasonally, this is beyond the period of seasonal strength. The peak period you want to be in for industrial stocks is between March 6 and June 11, which produces an average return above the S&P 500 of about 9.05%, and has been positive in about 15 of the past 19 periods. Currently, it is starting to break down. The headlines do not help the stock. Technically, it seems to be developing a Head and Shoulders pattern, which implies lower Highs ahead. There is really no reason to hold this.

transportation equip & components
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Seasonally, this is beyond the period of seasonal strength. The peak period you want to be in for industrial stocks is between March 6 and June 11, which produces an average return above the S&P 500 of about 9.05%, and has been positive in about 15 of the past 19 periods. Currently, it is starting to break down. The headlines do not help the stock. Technically, it seems to be developing a Head and Shoulders pattern, which implies lower Highs ahead. There is really no reason to hold this.

transportation equip & components
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$2.260
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Trevali Mining Corp(TV-T) 

September 29, 2017

Seasonally, we are entering a period that is strong for metal and mining stocks. This is the time of year when copper tends to move higher, more so in November and December and the 1st quarter of the year. Production tends to do tremendously well in the 1st quarter, and even into the 1st half. Technically it is holding above its 200-day moving average, and hitting resistance at $1.60. Momentum is still positive, so he suspects it will continue bumping up against that. Once you have the breakout above $1.60, you should see significant highs ahead. (See Top Picks.)

Mining
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Seasonally, we are entering a period that is strong for metal and mining stocks. This is the time of year when copper tends to move higher, more so in November and December and the 1st quarter of the year. Production tends to do tremendously well in the 1st quarter, and even into the 1st half. Technically it is holding above its 200-day moving average, and hitting resistance at $1.60. Momentum is still positive, so he suspects it will continue bumping up against that. Once you have the breakout above $1.60, you should see significant highs ahead. (See Top Picks.)

Mining
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$1.410
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Unknown

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COMMENT
Xylem Inc.(XYL-N) 

September 29, 2017

An industrial company, so we are entering a time when industrial companies tend to do quite well. Technically, it is holding support at around its 50-day moving average. It has pulled back recently, but this is just alleviating a parabolic rise that we have seen since the start of the year. We should see support of their 50-day moving average. It is still producing higher highs and higher lows, and that trend is your friend.

environmental
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An industrial company, so we are entering a time when industrial companies tend to do quite well. Technically, it is holding support at around its 50-day moving average. It has pulled back recently, but this is just alleviating a parabolic rise that we have seen since the start of the year. We should see support of their 50-day moving average. It is still producing higher highs and higher lows, and that trend is your friend.

environmental
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$62.630
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Manulife Financial(MFC-T) 

September 29, 2017

Seasonally, between Dec 10 and April 3 is the optimal time to buy this. During that time, you have accumulated an average return of about 3% above the benchmark rate. It has been positive in 13 of the past 17 periods. Technically, it is holding support at the longer-term moving average. In the last couple of days, financials have broken out. (See Top Picks.)

insurance
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Seasonally, between Dec 10 and April 3 is the optimal time to buy this. During that time, you have accumulated an average return of about 3% above the benchmark rate. It has been positive in 13 of the past 17 periods. Technically, it is holding support at the longer-term moving average. In the last couple of days, financials have broken out. (See Top Picks.)

insurance
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$25.310
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Kinross Gold(K-T) 

September 29, 2017

We are beyond the period of seasonal strength for gold stocks. From June 16 to October 9, this has generated a return of 1.71%. That is the period of seasonal strength for gold commodity and producers. Technically, the chart shows a bit of a head and shoulders pattern. If we get a break below the 200-day moving average of about $5, you could see significant lows ahead. Thinks gold miners are a great buy here even though we don’t have positive seasonal tendencies over the next few months.

precious metals
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We are beyond the period of seasonal strength for gold stocks. From June 16 to October 9, this has generated a return of 1.71%. That is the period of seasonal strength for gold commodity and producers. Technically, the chart shows a bit of a head and shoulders pattern. If we get a break below the 200-day moving average of about $5, you could see significant lows ahead. Thinks gold miners are a great buy here even though we don’t have positive seasonal tendencies over the next few months.

precious metals
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$5.290
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT

The problem with playing these leveraged products is that it is basically a gamble. You are anticipating a short-term move, and in terms of the double leveraged Bull, you are hoping that is going to be positive. This is really a gambling tool, and not something he would like to play. Natural gas has been struggling at its 200-day moving average and is starting to curl lower. The builds in inventory levels over recent weeks have been higher than average. Going forward, we are looking at moderate temperatures in the US, so it doesn’t present that bullish backdrop for a near term rise.

E.T.F.'s
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The problem with playing these leveraged products is that it is basically a gamble. You are anticipating a short-term move, and in terms of the double leveraged Bull, you are hoping that is going to be positive. This is really a gambling tool, and not something he would like to play. Natural gas has been struggling at its 200-day moving average and is starting to curl lower. The builds in inventory levels over recent weeks have been higher than average. Going forward, we are looking at moderate temperatures in the US, so it doesn’t present that bullish backdrop for a near term rise.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$5.790
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
FedEx(FDX-N) 

September 29, 2017

(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. Up 10%.) This tends to have a seasonal run between Aug 27 to Nov 29, which is pretty much your US Thanksgiving. This is really a movement on the play of people and things ahead of the holiday season. Shipping activity has been very strong this year. Online retailers are doing great, and this is a beneficiary of that. This broke out of a level of resistance, came back and tested it as a level of support.

Transportation
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(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. Up 10%.) This tends to have a seasonal run between Aug 27 to Nov 29, which is pretty much your US Thanksgiving. This is really a movement on the play of people and things ahead of the holiday season. Shipping activity has been very strong this year. Online retailers are doing great, and this is a beneficiary of that. This broke out of a level of resistance, came back and tested it as a level of support.

Transportation
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$225.580
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK
Goldex Resources Corp.(GDX-X) 

September 29, 2017

(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. 0%.) Basically, insurance on your portfolio during the summer months. The period of volatility is from the end of July through to the beginning of October, but volatility has failed to play out.

Golds
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(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. 0%.) Basically, insurance on your portfolio during the summer months. The period of volatility is from the end of July through to the beginning of October, but volatility has failed to play out.

Golds
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.610
Owned Owned
No

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. 0%.) You are basically collecting a 1% return over the course of the year. It is basically a place to park cash.

E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Aug 18/17. 0%.) You are basically collecting a 1% return over the course of the year. It is basically a place to park cash.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
Teva Pharmaceutical(TEVA-N) 

September 29, 2017

Some of the larger pharmaceutical stocks can do quite well during the 4th quarter. Not sure this company falls into that category, but it does follow that same seasonal timeline. A Buy date of Oct 20 and a Sell date of March 10, has produced a 5.92% average return above the markets, and has been positive 15 out of the past 20 periods. There is a period of seasonal strength coming ahead, but looking at the technicals, do you really want to enter now when it is probably not ideal. The chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows. It had a gap in August. Whenever you have a gap, it indicates support or resistance on the retracement. Not a good time to be in this, and he would stay away.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Some of the larger pharmaceutical stocks can do quite well during the 4th quarter. Not sure this company falls into that category, but it does follow that same seasonal timeline. A Buy date of Oct 20 and a Sell date of March 10, has produced a 5.92% average return above the markets, and has been positive 15 out of the past 20 periods. There is a period of seasonal strength coming ahead, but looking at the technicals, do you really want to enter now when it is probably not ideal. The chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows. It had a gap in August. Whenever you have a gap, it indicates support or resistance on the retracement. Not a good time to be in this, and he would stay away.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$17.600
Owned Owned
Unknown

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SELL
Suncor Energy Inc(SU-T) 

September 29, 2017

Sell?The predominant period of seasonal strength for the broader energy sector is from about the end of January all the way through to May, the run-up into the summer driving season. Between Jan 12 and April 24 are the optimal dates, 9.25% above the benchmark rate. This has been positive in the past 20 periods. There is also another period of seasonal strength, mid-August to mid-Sept, which is going into hurricane season and maintenance season. This is now just kind of falling out, and the energy is starting to leach out of these energy names. Technically, there is resistance at $44. You might be able to pick this up on the cheap in December, for the big push into the new year. He has been trimming his energy exposure.

integrated oils
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Sell?The predominant period of seasonal strength for the broader energy sector is from about the end of January all the way through to May, the run-up into the summer driving season. Between Jan 12 and April 24 are the optimal dates, 9.25% above the benchmark rate. This has been positive in the past 20 periods. There is also another period of seasonal strength, mid-August to mid-Sept, which is going into hurricane season and maintenance season. This is now just kind of falling out, and the energy is starting to leach out of these energy names. Technically, there is resistance at $44. You might be able to pick this up on the cheap in December, for the big push into the new year. He has been trimming his energy exposure.

integrated oils
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$43.730
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

September 29, 2017

He is in favour of this. If consumers continue to spend and rack up their debt and credits, this company will be a beneficiary. Seasonally, between Aug 6 and Nov 11 are optimal times to be buying into this. There has been an average return of 6.23% above the benchmark rates, and it has been positive in the past 8 years. The trend is higher highs and higher lows.

other services
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He is in favour of this. If consumers continue to spend and rack up their debt and credits, this company will be a beneficiary. Seasonally, between Aug 6 and Nov 11 are optimal times to be buying into this. There has been an average return of 6.23% above the benchmark rates, and it has been positive in the past 8 years. The trend is higher highs and higher lows.

other services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$105.240
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
3M Co.(MMM-N) 

September 29, 2017

He is very much in favour of industrial stocks. Higher highs and higher lows. It has support at its 50-day moving average. Feb 11 to July 5 is the optimal time to be buying this. We are outside of that time frame, but between the end of August through to the end of the year, this tends to move higher. Technically, it broke out above short-term resistance at about $210, and he has seen retracement. If it can hold that as a level of support, it is expected to go higher.

mngmnt/diversified
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He is very much in favour of industrial stocks. Higher highs and higher lows. It has support at its 50-day moving average. Feb 11 to July 5 is the optimal time to be buying this. We are outside of that time frame, but between the end of August through to the end of the year, this tends to move higher. Technically, it broke out above short-term resistance at about $210, and he has seen retracement. If it can hold that as a level of support, it is expected to go higher.

mngmnt/diversified
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$209.900
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
HSBC Holdings P L C(HSBC-N) 

September 29, 2017

Between March 30 and August 10 is the optimal time to be buying and holding this. It has had an average return of about 7.7% over the benchmark, and has been positive in 14 of the past 17 years. This year it had a low of about $39 in April all the way to a high of about $50 just before August, a phenomenal run. We are beyond its period of seasonal strength, but there are still higher highs and higher lows technically. This is not something he would venture into, but would go into other financial companies instead.

banks
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Between March 30 and August 10 is the optimal time to be buying and holding this. It has had an average return of about 7.7% over the benchmark, and has been positive in 14 of the past 17 years. This year it had a low of about $39 in April all the way to a high of about $50 just before August, a phenomenal run. We are beyond its period of seasonal strength, but there are still higher highs and higher lows technically. This is not something he would venture into, but would go into other financial companies instead.

banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$49.410
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Spin Master Corp(TOY-T) 

September 29, 2017

Sell after they announce quarterly results, and Buy back on dips?There is no seasonal chart for this as it is too new. This is a stock he has been looking at, but it just keeps on going higher, and he can never get in at a good price. They are firing on all cylinders, and the stock price is reflecting that. However, gambling on one data point based on earnings is just a gamble. He would not encourage that. If you can get in on its 50-day moving average, do it.

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Sell after they announce quarterly results, and Buy back on dips?There is no seasonal chart for this as it is too new. This is a stock he has been looking at, but it just keeps on going higher, and he can never get in at a good price. They are firing on all cylinders, and the stock price is reflecting that. However, gambling on one data point based on earnings is just a gamble. He would not encourage that. If you can get in on its 50-day moving average, do it.

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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$48.180
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT

Hold?This is more of a yield play, so it doesn’t have the gyrations such as energy. It is more of a utility play. Yield of 4.42%. When you look at the seasonal chart for yield play such as this, it is really just a 45° line higher. It doesn’t show the seasonal fluctuations that was in some of the other sectors. His database shows that the optimal time to hold this is from Dec 7 to March 7 giving it 6.13% above the bench mark. Has been positive in 14 of the past 17 years. Technically, it is coming down to test the 200-day moving average and bouncing off of that level, which implies the long-term momentum is intact, and that it will continue to chart higher highs and higher lows. Pick this up more towards the December timeframe.

Utilities
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Hold?This is more of a yield play, so it doesn’t have the gyrations such as energy. It is more of a utility play. Yield of 4.42%. When you look at the seasonal chart for yield play such as this, it is really just a 45° line higher. It doesn’t show the seasonal fluctuations that was in some of the other sectors. His database shows that the optimal time to hold this is from Dec 7 to March 7 giving it 6.13% above the bench mark. Has been positive in 14 of the past 17 years. Technically, it is coming down to test the 200-day moving average and bouncing off of that level, which implies the long-term momentum is intact, and that it will continue to chart higher highs and higher lows. Pick this up more towards the December timeframe.

Utilities
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$41.810
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY on WEAKNESS

This looks quite good. There was a breakout recently. It was basically resisting at the 200-day moving average for a long time. Come March, it broke out quite aggressively. It moved above its 200-day and 50-day moving averages and is now up to multi-month highs. You want to buy this closer to some of those major moving averages. The 50-day is at $2.34, so it is a bit frothy here. He wouldn’t be entering right now, but would look for a pullback.

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This looks quite good. There was a breakout recently. It was basically resisting at the 200-day moving average for a long time. Come March, it broke out quite aggressively. It moved above its 200-day and 50-day moving averages and is now up to multi-month highs. You want to buy this closer to some of those major moving averages. The 50-day is at $2.34, so it is a bit frothy here. He wouldn’t be entering right now, but would look for a pullback.

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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$4.070
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
Rio Tinto(RIO-N) 

September 29, 2017

What better way to play the manufacturing uptick or the strength of the manufacturing economy than to play one of the world’s largest metal and mining companies. Between Oct 4 and Jan 6, the average gain is 10.76%, and has been positive in 15 of the past 20 periods. There is a trend of higher highs and higher lows. It’s bumping up against long-term resistance at about $50. Has really gone sideways at that level since the recession. If we do see a break out, we should see tremendous highs ahead. He wants to be seeing the play in copper even if there is an uptick in gold. (Analysts’ price target is $55.)

other mines
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What better way to play the manufacturing uptick or the strength of the manufacturing economy than to play one of the world’s largest metal and mining companies. Between Oct 4 and Jan 6, the average gain is 10.76%, and has been positive in 15 of the past 20 periods. There is a trend of higher highs and higher lows. It’s bumping up against long-term resistance at about $50. Has really gone sideways at that level since the recession. If we do see a break out, we should see tremendous highs ahead. He wants to be seeing the play in copper even if there is an uptick in gold. (Analysts’ price target is $55.)

other mines
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$47.190
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK
Agrium(AGU-T) 

September 29, 2017

These agricultural plays do well to the end of the year. Remember all the farmers are placing orders for the new year. Shipments into the 1st quarter between Oct 3 and Jan16 shares of Agrium have gained 13.29% and been positive in 17 of the past 20 periods. This year, shipments of fertilizers have been dismal. You could argue that weather is to blame. If commodity prices are going to pick up this year, we could see a very good period of seasonal strength. The chart is showing it starting to break out. (Analysts’ price target is $106.10.)

chemicals
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These agricultural plays do well to the end of the year. Remember all the farmers are placing orders for the new year. Shipments into the 1st quarter between Oct 3 and Jan16 shares of Agrium have gained 13.29% and been positive in 17 of the past 20 periods. This year, shipments of fertilizers have been dismal. You could argue that weather is to blame. If commodity prices are going to pick up this year, we could see a very good period of seasonal strength. The chart is showing it starting to break out. (Analysts’ price target is $106.10.)

chemicals
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$133.720
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK

We are a bit early for the period of seasonal strength for the US financials. From a low of September 29 to a high of December 26, this thing has had phenomenal returns over that time in the past 20 years. 5.36% on average for the past 20 years.

E.T.F.'s
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We are a bit early for the period of seasonal strength for the US financials. From a low of September 29 to a high of December 26, this thing has had phenomenal returns over that time in the past 20 years. 5.36% on average for the past 20 years.

E.T.F.'s
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$27.410
Owned Owned
No

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