Stock Opinions by Christine Poole - Stockchase Experts
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Christine Poole @

On Stockchase since : Jul 2009

CEO & Managing Director at GlobeInvest Capital Management

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Stock Opinions by Christine Poole - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

Market Outlook - The Market got oversold on December due to negative sentiment. Concerns about US trade war with China, flat yield curve flattening and oil price collapsing and a misinterpretation from the market on what Powell said about raising rates regardless of what was going on weighted on sentiment. Powell then talked again and he said that he was data dependent. The Bank of Canada said the same recently. That provided relieve to the market. The preliminary holiday sales estimates indicate that it was a strong season. Unemployment is still low. It is too early to say.
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Market Outlook - The Market got oversold on December due to negative sentiment. Concerns about US trade war with China, flat yield curve flattening and oil price collapsing and a misinterpretation from the market on what Powell said about raising rates regardless of what was going on weighted on sentiment. Powell then talked again and he said that he was data dependent. The Bank of Canada said the same recently. That provided relieve to the market. The preliminary holiday sales estimates indicate that it was a strong season. Unemployment is still low. It is too early to say.
Unknown
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
FedEx(FDX-N) 

January 10, 2019

They had to reduce guidance. They are seeing a global slowdown particularly in Europe. A couple of years ago they invested in an express delivery company in Europe. They lower their operating profits target for this company. Another overhang on the stock is Amazon (AMZN-Q) that is trying to build their own delivery network. Stay on the sidelines.
Transportation
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They had to reduce guidance. They are seeing a global slowdown particularly in Europe. A couple of years ago they invested in an express delivery company in Europe. They lower their operating profits target for this company. Another overhang on the stock is Amazon (AMZN-Q) that is trying to build their own delivery network. Stay on the sidelines.
Transportation
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$170.120
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Xylem Inc.(XYL-N) 

January 10, 2019

Pure play on water. They transport and treat and test water. As a scarce resource this is a good long term play. They tend to operate locally. At this level after the pullback they are adding to clients' portfolios. Good entry point.
environmental
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Pure play on water. They transport and treat and test water. As a scarce resource this is a good long term play. They tend to operate locally. At this level after the pullback they are adding to clients' portfolios. Good entry point.
environmental
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$68.910
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

January 10, 2019

If Canada bans Huawei would this company be hurt as they are using Huawei equipment to build the 5G network - They do have a lot of their equipment from Huawei. They would have to replace this equipment. It might cost them some money but eventually it will be passed through to the consumer. It is an incremental expense but will be manageable.
telephone utilities
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If Canada bans Huawei would this company be hurt as they are using Huawei equipment to build the 5G network - They do have a lot of their equipment from Huawei. They would have to replace this equipment. It might cost them some money but eventually it will be passed through to the consumer. It is an incremental expense but will be manageable.
telephone utilities
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$55.140
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
Telus Corp(T-T) 

January 10, 2019

If Canada bans Huawei would this company be hurt as they are using Huawei equipment to build the 5G network - They do have a lot of their equipment from Huawei. They would have to replace this equipment. It might cost them some money but eventually it will be passed through to the consumer. It is an incremental expense but will be manageable. Attractive yield. Nothing wrong with this company as part of an income bucket.
telephone utilities
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If Canada bans Huawei would this company be hurt as they are using Huawei equipment to build the 5G network - They do have a lot of their equipment from Huawei. They would have to replace this equipment. It might cost them some money but eventually it will be passed through to the consumer. It is an incremental expense but will be manageable. Attractive yield. Nothing wrong with this company as part of an income bucket.
telephone utilities
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$45.350
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Johnson & Johnson(JNJ-N) 

January 10, 2019

Would the hiccup they had with the baby powder be a problem for the company and it is safe to step in? - Still own this company. They had it for a couple of years. The company said the product is safe and they said that the evidence is in their side. It is a triple A rated company. Their pharmaceutical division is doing very well. The dividend is very attractive and with the pullback it is good to step in.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Would the hiccup they had with the baby powder be a problem for the company and it is safe to step in? - Still own this company. They had it for a couple of years. The company said the product is safe and they said that the evidence is in their side. It is a triple A rated company. Their pharmaceutical division is doing very well. The dividend is very attractive and with the pullback it is good to step in.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$129.710
Owned Owned
Yes

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DON'T BUY
Altagas Ltd(ALA-T) 

January 10, 2019

They bought a large operation in the US and then sold some assets to finance it. The market did not like it and eventually they cut the dividend. She likes other infrastructure companies that have more visibility in terms of cash flow and better growth profiles.

oil/gas
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They bought a large operation in the US and then sold some assets to finance it. The market did not like it and eventually they cut the dividend. She likes other infrastructure companies that have more visibility in terms of cash flow and better growth profiles.

oil/gas
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$14.100
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Very well managed company. Attractive space. We all live longer and there will be increasing demand for what they offer. They don't do any home care that is more open to potential liability. They have a good pipeline to grow over the next couple of years with an attractive distribution yield of around 4%. This is actually a good entry point for this stock.
property mngmnt/investment
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Very well managed company. Attractive space. We all live longer and there will be increasing demand for what they offer. They don't do any home care that is more open to potential liability. They have a good pipeline to grow over the next couple of years with an attractive distribution yield of around 4%. This is actually a good entry point for this stock.
property mngmnt/investment
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$14.030
Owned Owned
Yes

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DON'T BUY
BlackBerry(BB-T) 

January 10, 2019

It has transitioned out of hardware into software. They have a lot of cash and they make software acquisitions. There is not enough visibility in their top line growth yet.

electrical/electronic
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It has transitioned out of hardware into software. They have a lot of cash and they make software acquisitions. There is not enough visibility in their top line growth yet.

electrical/electronic
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$9.960
Owned Owned
No

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HOLD
United Technologies(UTX-N) 

January 10, 2019

The stock came off because they announced the split in three parts ( Aerospace, Otis Elevators and Chubb and Carrier Division) but it will take up to 18 months to wait until a recent acquisition closes. All three business are great with recurring revenue streams. But the spinoff  is an overhang on the stock. You will be paid to hold here.

mngmnt/diversified
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The stock came off because they announced the split in three parts ( Aerospace, Otis Elevators and Chubb and Carrier Division) but it will take up to 18 months to wait until a recent acquisition closes. All three business are great with recurring revenue streams. But the spinoff  is an overhang on the stock. You will be paid to hold here.

mngmnt/diversified
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$110.410
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Nutrien Ltd.(NTR-T) 

January 10, 2019

(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 4%) They merged with Potash a year ago. Well positioned as crop prices have held. The largest potash producer and there is increasing demand for it. Their retail side is around 35% of their operations. Attractive yield of 3.5% and they are doing some share buy backs. Attractive entry point.

agriculture
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(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 4%) They merged with Potash a year ago. Well positioned as crop prices have held. The largest potash producer and there is increasing demand for it. Their retail side is around 35% of their operations. Attractive yield of 3.5% and they are doing some share buy backs. Attractive entry point.

agriculture
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$66.280
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Walt Disney(DIS-N) 

January 10, 2019

(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 4%) It is going to be a big year for this company as they launch their direct to consumer platform. Great content. ESPN is part of their media network that is doing well. The theme park is doing well both domestically and internationally. Firing on all cylinders. Attractive entry point.
entertainment services
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(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 4%) It is going to be a big year for this company as they launch their direct to consumer platform. Great content. ESPN is part of their media network that is doing well. The theme park is doing well both domestically and internationally. Firing on all cylinders. Attractive entry point.
entertainment services
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$112.800
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Fortis Inc.(FTS-T) 

January 10, 2019

(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 6%) Boring utility. Everybody should own any of these. Yield of 4%. She has a target price of $48. Regulated with operations in the US. She thinks they are going to grow their dividend by 6% every year for the next 5 years. Safe, defensive income stock.

electrical utilities
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(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 6%) Boring utility. Everybody should own any of these. Yield of 4%. She has a target price of $48. Regulated with operations in the US. She thinks they are going to grow their dividend by 6% every year for the next 5 years. Safe, defensive income stock.

electrical utilities
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$45.460
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

Are we in a bear market? - How do you define a bear market? She doesn't think we are in a bear market. Some people say that a 20% threshold is how you define a bear market. The S&P 500 dropped from a high of September 20 to the low on December 24 19.4%. She doesn't see a recession in the near future. There is a slow down in 2019 with GDP growth being lower than 2018 but still positive. Same with corporate profit growth as the 2018 profits had been boosted by tax incentives.

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Are we in a bear market? - How do you define a bear market? She doesn't think we are in a bear market. Some people say that a 20% threshold is how you define a bear market. The S&P 500 dropped from a high of September 20 to the low on December 24 19.4%. She doesn't see a recession in the near future. There is a slow down in 2019 with GDP growth being lower than 2018 but still positive. Same with corporate profit growth as the 2018 profits had been boosted by tax incentives.

Unknown
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY

Bought it a year and a half ago. Very well managed. They have four verticals: infrastructure, renewables, property and private equity. Very global. Long term secular. Great investment.

management/diversified
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Bought it a year and a half ago. Very well managed. They have four verticals: infrastructure, renewables, property and private equity. Very global. Long term secular. Great investment.

management/diversified
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$40.690
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

Is it a good moment to convert CAD into USD? - It is always very difficult to call on currency. She sees the CAD in a range of 1.25 to 1.35. We are kind of at the high end of that end of that range. Having said that she doesn't see the CAD appreciating as there is no reason for that.
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Is it a good moment to convert CAD into USD? - It is always very difficult to call on currency. She sees the CAD in a range of 1.25 to 1.35. We are kind of at the high end of that end of that range. Having said that she doesn't see the CAD appreciating as there is no reason for that.
Unknown
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Microsoft(MSFT-Q) 

January 10, 2019

Just added on the recent pull back. Well positioned in terms of the cloud services and they did a good job in terms of transitioning to a subscription model for their Office programs. Lots of cash in their balance sheet and recurring revenue streams.
computer software/processing
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Just added on the recent pull back. Well positioned in terms of the cloud services and they did a good job in terms of transitioning to a subscription model for their Office programs. Lots of cash in their balance sheet and recurring revenue streams.
computer software/processing
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$103.600
Owned Owned
Yes

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HOLD
Raytheon(RTN-N) 

January 10, 2019

The multiple contracted with the pull in the market. A defensive name. All defensive names came off in 2018.
electrical/electronic
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The multiple contracted with the pull in the market. A defensive name. All defensive names came off in 2018.
electrical/electronic
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$159.580
Owned Owned
No

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SELL
Celgene Corp(CELG-Q) 

January 10, 2019

Having issues in terms of competition. They wanted to merge with Bristol. She doesn't think the combination makes it a better company. She would sell on the announcement (as the stock lifted).
Consumer Products
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Having issues in terms of competition. They wanted to merge with Bristol. She doesn't think the combination makes it a better company. She would sell on the announcement (as the stock lifted).
Consumer Products
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$86.950
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Enbridge(ENB-T) 

January 10, 2019

They held it for a couple of years. She would buy now. They decided to sell assets to deleverage their balance sheet. Attractive yield of 6.4% and it is going to grow. All the pipeline got hit with the pullback on the energy price of collapsed even though their business model is very different to the producers.
oil/gas pipelines
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They held it for a couple of years. She would buy now. They decided to sell assets to deleverage their balance sheet. Attractive yield of 6.4% and it is going to grow. All the pipeline got hit with the pullback on the energy price of collapsed even though their business model is very different to the producers.
oil/gas pipelines
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$45.900
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT
Vermilion Energy Inc(VET-T) 

January 10, 2019

Is this a good stock as a long term income hold? - Energy producers are not income stocks as they rely on the price of the commodity. (Analysts’ price target is $44.03)
oil/gas
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Is this a good stock as a long term income hold? - Energy producers are not income stocks as they rely on the price of the commodity. (Analysts’ price target is $44.03)
oil/gas
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$31.560
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT
General Electric(GE-N) 

January 10, 2019

In their watch list but it is going to take a while to restructure the company. Still to early. Would wait until the CEO has an investor call.
electrical/electronic
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In their watch list but it is going to take a while to restructure the company. Still to early. Would wait until the CEO has an investor call.
electrical/electronic
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$8.940
Owned Owned
No

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TOP PICK
Toronto Dominion(TD-T) 

January 10, 2019

Canadian Banks didn't do well in 2018. But the multiple contracted dramatically trading below 10x earnings now. Valuation is very attractive. Yield of 3.9%. Good growth in the US. They are still 70% retail. Capital markets (that tends to be more volatile) is only 8% of their revenues. They are deposit based. They can grow their earnings by 6-7% this year. Banks have a target payout ratio of 40 to 50% of earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
banks
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Canadian Banks didn't do well in 2018. But the multiple contracted dramatically trading below 10x earnings now. Valuation is very attractive. Yield of 3.9%. Good growth in the US. They are still 70% retail. Capital markets (that tends to be more volatile) is only 8% of their revenues. They are deposit based. They can grow their earnings by 6-7% this year. Banks have a target payout ratio of 40 to 50% of earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
banks
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$68.800
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
Abbott Labs(ABT-N) 

January 10, 2019

They owned for a number of years. 35% of their business is in the US and 40% emerging markets. Well diversified. They have four divisions: nutritionals, established pharmaceuticals, generics and medical devices and diagnostics. She sees double digit growth in earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $78.57)
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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They owned for a number of years. 35% of their business is in the US and 40% emerging markets. Well diversified. They have four divisions: nutritionals, established pharmaceuticals, generics and medical devices and diagnostics. She sees double digit growth in earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $78.57)
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$69.080
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

January 10, 2019

Leading global payment platform. As more and more people buy online they benefit. Under penetrated in Europe. They bought Visa Europe a couple of years ago that was run before as a not for profit. Good secular growth in the space. She thinks that they can grow their earnings at a 15% - 20% rate. Valuation very attractive. (Analysts’ price target is $161.35)
other services
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Leading global payment platform. As more and more people buy online they benefit. Under penetrated in Europe. They bought Visa Europe a couple of years ago that was run before as a not for profit. Good secular growth in the space. She thinks that they can grow their earnings at a 15% - 20% rate. Valuation very attractive. (Analysts’ price target is $161.35)
other services
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$138.670
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

December 11, 2018

Corporate profits need to lift this market. U.S. ones have had a strong YTD at over 20%. In 2019, they will increase 8%. That's positive if that happens. Markets will be higher a year from now, but the trade war is a serious overhang. Seeing car tariffs removed will certainly be positive. The detainment of the Huawei CFO is an obvious negative, so we must keep an eye on that. Executives are now hesitant to travel. Consensus is that Powell will raise U.S. interest rates next week and three times in 2019. But Powell has said factors could slow the economy and he'll be data-dependent. Now, the BOC has adopted a dovish tone. This means that interest rates in both countries will not rise as quickly as expected.
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Corporate profits need to lift this market. U.S. ones have had a strong YTD at over 20%. In 2019, they will increase 8%. That's positive if that happens. Markets will be higher a year from now, but the trade war is a serious overhang. Seeing car tariffs removed will certainly be positive. The detainment of the Huawei CFO is an obvious negative, so we must keep an eye on that. Executives are now hesitant to travel. Consensus is that Powell will raise U.S. interest rates next week and three times in 2019. But Powell has said factors could slow the economy and he'll be data-dependent. Now, the BOC has adopted a dovish tone. This means that interest rates in both countries will not rise as quickly as expected.
Unknown
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0 comments
Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Goldman Sachs(GS-N) 

December 11, 2018

Brokerages are more volatile than banks or insurance companies, because they rely so much on capital markets. In the late-cycle, there's a lot of general uncertainty. If you want exposure to the U.S. financial sector, buy a bank of lifeco which are more stable.
investment companies/funds
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Brokerages are more volatile than banks or insurance companies, because they rely so much on capital markets. In the late-cycle, there's a lot of general uncertainty. If you want exposure to the U.S. financial sector, buy a bank of lifeco which are more stable.
investment companies/funds
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0 comments
Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$176.800
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
3M Co.(MMM-N) 

December 11, 2018

A diversified industrial company across consumer, industrials and materials, but they have weak topline growth. About 18 months ago, they bought back stock, but added debt, when interest rates were low. Not her first choice in this space. Others have better top- and bottom-line growth.
mngmnt/diversified
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A diversified industrial company across consumer, industrials and materials, but they have weak topline growth. About 18 months ago, they bought back stock, but added debt, when interest rates were low. Not her first choice in this space. Others have better top- and bottom-line growth.
mngmnt/diversified
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Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$197.460
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
Has copper, zinc and oil exposure. She's not buying resources, because of global uncertainty. China is a big buyer of these. TECK is good at paying down their debt, though. Wait to see how the tarriffs play out.
precious metals
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Has copper, zinc and oil exposure. She's not buying resources, because of global uncertainty. China is a big buyer of these. TECK is good at paying down their debt, though. Wait to see how the tarriffs play out.
precious metals
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$29.320
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT
Cineplex Inc(CGX-T) 

December 11, 2018

Pays a good 6% dividend. It's a long-term play. The box office accounts for 80% of their profits and have been diversifying into areas like the Rec Room--but this will take time. They sell tickets when the movies are popular. Steps like the VIP cinemas and serving alcohol are positive. The dividend should hold up, unless the movie business collapses, which she doesn't see. Don't see a dividend increase, though. Also, people watch movies during recessions.
other services
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0 comments
Pays a good 6% dividend. It's a long-term play. The box office accounts for 80% of their profits and have been diversifying into areas like the Rec Room--but this will take time. They sell tickets when the movies are popular. Steps like the VIP cinemas and serving alcohol are positive. The dividend should hold up, unless the movie business collapses, which she doesn't see. Don't see a dividend increase, though. Also, people watch movies during recessions.
other services
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Christine Poole

CEO & Mana, GlobeInvest Capital ...

Price Price
$24.500
Owned Owned
Unknown

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