Charles Bobrinskoy
Member since: Dec '07
Director of Research at
Ariel Mutual Funds
Ariel Mutual Funds
131 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
Sector most out of favour right now is healthcare. This is one of the most respected companies in the world with a very strong balance sheet. A leader in all its businesses. Wonderful consumer business. Very cheap with a 14 multiple.
Oil has rallied from $30 to $70 but this stock has not and is actually down about 10%. Very strong balance sheet. A most favoured partner for people like Brazil and China who want an international oil company to help in explorations.
Relatively small company but the leading dominant provider of data to the pharmaceutical industry. When a drug company wants information about how its drugs are selling, what doctors are prescribing those drugs they go to this company. Great value at about 9X earnings.
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 14.22%.) Has had a very nice run lately.
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 13.9%.) An OK performer. Advertising market has been softer.
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COMMENT
COMMENT
June 16, 2009
Integration/Deflation? There is a huge debate on this issue and he thinks it could go either way. If the Fed decides to monetize the current debt, there could be big inflation but if they put a clamp on the money supply we could have deflation. Do not expose yourself by buying long-term bonds. Some gold in your portfolio could act as a hedge.
Integration/Deflation? There is a huge debate on this issue and he thinks it could go either way. If the Fed decides to monetize the current debt, there could be big inflation but if they put a clamp on the money supply we could have deflation. Do not expose yourself by buying long-term bonds. Some gold in your portfolio could act as a hedge.
Charles Bobrinskoy
Director of Research, Ariel Mutual Funds
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 16, 2009
He tends to be a big believer in this sector, the gaming space in general. Have a lot of debt, which is scary. If you own you are betting on their ability to refinance. The high yield market is in a lot better shape than in March so directionally he would be bullish.
He tends to be a big believer in this sector, the gaming space in general. Have a lot of debt, which is scary. If you own you are betting on their ability to refinance. The high yield market is in a lot better shape than in March so directionally he would be bullish.
entertainment services
BUY
BUY
June 16, 2009
Likes Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) and Merck & Co. (MRK-N) a little better but he likes the whole space. People are negative on pharmaceuticals because of a perception that the Obama administration is hostile to pharmaceuticals/healthcare in general. There is truth in that but the stock has gotten too cheap relative to its earnings. Some things are coming off patent but they have decent stuff in the pipeline. (See Top Picks.)
Likes Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) and Merck & Co. (MRK-N) a little better but he likes the whole space. People are negative on pharmaceuticals because of a perception that the Obama administration is hostile to pharmaceuticals/healthcare in general. There is truth in that but the stock has gotten too cheap relative to its earnings. Some things are coming off patent but they have decent stuff in the pipeline. (See Top Picks.)
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 16, 2009
Had a near-death experience and almost went under in March. Have almost $100 billion of commercial paper outstanding so it is more of a finance company than people think. This one is too hard.
Had a near-death experience and almost went under in March. Have almost $100 billion of commercial paper outstanding so it is more of a finance company than people think. This one is too hard.
electrical/electronic
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 16, 2009
Good buy for the next 3-5 years? If you go that long he would say yes but he thinks there are still problems in housing. Not that cheap as a stock at about 16X earnings. Also has some problems with the quality of this company.
Good buy for the next 3-5 years? If you go that long he would say yes but he thinks there are still problems in housing. Not that cheap as a stock at about 16X earnings. Also has some problems with the quality of this company.
specialty stores
BUY
BUY
June 16, 2009
Trading at just about the lowest multiple it ever has at around 12. Likes it here. High quality name.
Trading at just about the lowest multiple it ever has at around 12. Likes it here. High quality name.
department stores
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 16, 2009
Made all those acquisitions and it is still very scary to him. Still a lot of unknowns. About to go through a bad real estate cycle.
Made all those acquisitions and it is still very scary to him. Still a lot of unknowns. About to go through a bad real estate cycle.
banks
SELL
SELL
June 16, 2009
This is only for the faint of heart. If you own he would recommend you sell as a tax loss.
This is only for the faint of heart. If you own he would recommend you sell as a tax loss.
Financial Services
SELL
SELL
June 16, 2009
This is only for the faint of heart. If you own he would recommend you sell as a tax loss.
This is only for the faint of heart. If you own he would recommend you sell as a tax loss.
Financial Services
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 16, 2009
Had a multiple of 35 PE, dropped to 30 and is now in the low 20's. Starting to get very interesting. Because it is a growth stock he can't own it. Still too big a multiple to him, but getting close.
Had a multiple of 35 PE, dropped to 30 and is now in the low 20's. Starting to get very interesting. Because it is a growth stock he can't own it. Still too big a multiple to him, but getting close.
other services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
High quality large-cap and is undervalued. Trading at the lowest multiple in its 20-year history. You're getting it at about 11X earnings.
High quality large-cap and is undervalued. Trading at the lowest multiple in its 20-year history. You're getting it at about 11X earnings.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
They provide all the data to companies like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) and Pfizer (PFE-N) on pharmaceuticals sales. If you are J&J and want to know what drug is selling where and how well they tell them. Now trading at 8X earnings. Very cheap.
They provide all the data to companies like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) and Pfizer (PFE-N) on pharmaceuticals sales. If you are J&J and want to know what drug is selling where and how well they tell them. Now trading at 8X earnings. Very cheap.
other services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
The leading IT services company globally. Quality large-cap that has under performed this year. People are worried that they do a lot of business for a lot of large financial institutions but people are going to be outsourcing more and more of their technology and will be hiring more and more IT consultants. Very cheap at about 11X forward earnings.
The leading IT services company globally. Quality large-cap that has under performed this year. People are worried that they do a lot of business for a lot of large financial institutions but people are going to be outsourcing more and more of their technology and will be hiring more and more IT consultants. Very cheap at about 11X forward earnings.
other services
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 35.7%.) With consumer pressures and oil going back up they have under performed. Very cheap stock and he is still recommending it.
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 35.7%.) With consumer pressures and oil going back up they have under performed. Very cheap stock and he is still recommending it.
Transportation
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 23.9%.) Outperformed the market by a little bit.
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 23.9%.) Outperformed the market by a little bit.
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