Opinions by Andrew Guy, CFA | StockChase
296
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE Feb 2007

Sentry Select Capital Corp.
The Exchange Tower130 King Street West, Suite 2850Toronto, ONM5X 1A4
T: 416-861-8729 F: 416-364-1197 info@sentryselect.com
http://www.sentryselect.com/


Opinions by Andrew Guy, CFA


Signal Opinion Expert Chart

2009-09-04

COMMENT
Agrium (AGU-T)
Fertilizers. Well diversified. Shareholder friendly and increases their dividend. Very disciplined approach. Very strong return on capital. 0.23% dividend.
chemicals
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $53.890
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

DON'T BUY
American International Group (AIG-N)
Very speculative. Have a huge insurance company that needs to break itself up. Has only kept going because of lifelines from the US government. The government has the right to convert its holdings into shares, which could reduce individual shareholders holdings.
insurance
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $40.050
Owned: No

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2009-09-04

DON'T BUY
Brookfield Asset Management (A) (BAM.A-T)
Have a number of different assets in different fields. Recapitalized Brookfield Renewable Power Fund (BRC.UN-T) (formerly Great Lakes Hydro Fund) and have an opportunity to continue to build as part of their asset book. Very smart management. Trading around their NAV. Too expensive.
management/diversified
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $23.280
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

COMMENT
BlackBerry (BB-T)
Significant challenges in that as it moves more into consumer focused it becomes more susceptible competition from new products coming out and could be more volatile. Generate very good returns on capital. Strong free cash flow. Would be more excited if they paid a dividend.
electrical/electronic
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $84.400
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

PAST TOP PICK
Diageo PLC (DEO-N)
(A Top Pick Oct 14/08. Up 2.82%.) Largest liquor company globally. Very disciplined approach to return on capital. Paying down debt and increasing dividends.
food processing
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $63.300
Owned: Yes

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2009-09-04

BUY
Fortis Inc. (FTS-T)
Regulated utility. In the last few years have done a great job of diversifying but into regulated businesses that they know very well. Stable, strong free cash flow. Good management.
electrical utilities
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $25.190
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

DON'T BUY
Laurentian Bank (LB-T)
Regional bank based largely in Quebec. Has done a great job over the past few years of improving its returns on capital. Being a smaller regional bank, they are more susceptible to very focused economic situations. For a Quebec play he would prefer National Bank (NA-T).
banks
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $38.320
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

DON'T BUY
Manitoba Telecom Services (MBT-T (Dead))
Telco in Manitoba. Good job but growth is limited. Bought the old AT&T and are trying to compete against BCE (BCE-T) and Telus (T-T) in downtown Toronto. Tax losses allow them to pay a generous dividend of 8%. Comfortable that they can sustain the dividend but questions if they can grow it. Prefers Telus (T-T), Rogers (RCI.B-T) or even BCE (BCE-T).
telephone utilities
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $32.870
Owned: No

Must be logged in to use chart

2009-09-04

COMMENT
Merck & Company (MRK-N)
Pharmaceutical. More disciplined approach so they've been generating very strong free cash flow. A couple of their strong drugs will be coming off patent in a couple of years. In the process of merging with Schering-Plough (SGP-N). If you were going to pick a name, he would prefer Abbott (ABT-N). 5% dividend yield.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $30.700
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

BUY
Methanex Corp (MX-T)
Generates strong return on capital, shareholder friendly and focused on their particular niche. This makes it an attractive business from a bottom up point of view but methanol production is a cyclical product. You want to pick your timing very carefully. If you have a longer-term outlook such as 3 years, it could be attractive. Dividend of 3.46%.
chemicals
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $20.470
Owned: Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart

2009-09-04

DON'T BUY
Pfizer Inc (PFE-N)
Largest drug company globally. Very strong number of products but along with most of the big pharmaceutical companies there are a large number of drugs that come off patent. About 25% of their earnings comes from one drug, Lipitor and when it comes off patent it will have a big effect on their earnings. There are better places to be.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $16.390
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

COMMENT
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan (POT-T)
Fertilizers. Good returns on capital and have strong balance sheets but are not dividend friendly. A seasonal play. Possibly November/December would be a better time to play.
integrated mines
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $97.180
Owned: Unknown

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2009-09-04

BUY
Pembina Pipeline Corp (PPL-T)
Generates strong return on capital, pay out strong dividends and have growth. 10.3% yield should be safe.
pipelines
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $15.140
Owned: Yes

Must be logged in to use chart

2009-09-04

TOP PICK
Power Financial Corp (PWF-T)
Great history on dividends. Double digits, about 50% annual return on dividend growth. Allows you to participate in the recovery of the financial sector through the assets they own. Very well run.
finance/leasing
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $29.280
Owned: Yes

Must be logged in to use chart

2009-09-04

TOP PICK
Royal Bank (RY-T)
This and Toronto Dominion (TD-T) (See Past Top Picks) are the 2 best managed Canadian banks. At this time, this one is the better pick because of the diversification of its assets and the strong management.
banks
Andrew Guy, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Price: $56.400
Owned: Yes

Must be logged in to use chart
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