Stock Opinions by Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI - Stockchase Experts
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Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI @

On Stockchase since : Jan 2007

Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder at Castlemoore Inc.

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T: 416-306-5770www.castlemoore.com

Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI Latest Top Picks...

Stock Opinions by Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI - Stockchase Experts

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N/A
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

Market. Since we got super oversold back on Christmas Eve, we bounced up. Base metals look good; energy, base metals and technology look really good. Around the 24th we saw a further rollover of the US$. It will support emerging markets amongst others. We should move ahead strongly at the end of January. The base metals move inverse to the US$ so as it is breaking down, we expect base metals to go up. He expects a multi-year bear market in the US$. The 10-year US note is falling with the price of oil. These yields should now continue higher.
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Market. Since we got super oversold back on Christmas Eve, we bounced up. Base metals look good; energy, base metals and technology look really good. Around the 24th we saw a further rollover of the US$. It will support emerging markets amongst others. We should move ahead strongly at the end of January. The base metals move inverse to the US$ so as it is breaking down, we expect base metals to go up. He expects a multi-year bear market in the US$. The 10-year US note is falling with the price of oil. These yields should now continue higher.
Unknown
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

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BUY
He just bought CP-T in the last couple of days. There is a little up-tick after Dec 24th. He would buy it now. If it breaks below the $90 range then it may come down further. The risk/reward is pretty low. He would pick it up now
Transportation
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He just bought CP-T in the last couple of days. There is a little up-tick after Dec 24th. He would buy it now. If it breaks below the $90 range then it may come down further. The risk/reward is pretty low. He would pick it up now
Transportation
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$106.420
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Altagas Ltd(ALA-T) 

January 10, 2019

As it declined he would not go long. It would be a case of getting out quick enough. It is trying to base now, since Dec 24th. It needs to get above the $16-17 range. They reduced their dividend, which the market expected. He uses a drip on this.
oil/gas
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As it declined he would not go long. It would be a case of getting out quick enough. It is trying to base now, since Dec 24th. It needs to get above the $16-17 range. They reduced their dividend, which the market expected. He uses a drip on this.
oil/gas
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$14.100
Owned Owned
Yes

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DON'T BUY
A T & T US(T-N) 

January 10, 2019

A base has not formed yet. It has a pretty significant downtrend. It will have a lot of resistance between $32-33 and until it chews threw that you will probably not get a base.
Telecommunications
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A base has not formed yet. It has a pretty significant downtrend. It will have a lot of resistance between $32-33 and until it chews threw that you will probably not get a base.
Telecommunications
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$30.400
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
The banks did not have their strong seasonal period recently and he reduced his holdings to just BMO-T. We are at a magic level here. It is banging into resistance right now. If we get above $105 it will be clear sailing to $110. BMO-T or TD-T are the best banks and CM-T is pretty good. We should have a second period of seasonality starting near the end of January until April.
banks
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The banks did not have their strong seasonal period recently and he reduced his holdings to just BMO-T. We are at a magic level here. It is banging into resistance right now. If we get above $105 it will be clear sailing to $110. BMO-T or TD-T are the best banks and CM-T is pretty good. We should have a second period of seasonality starting near the end of January until April.
banks
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$105.790
Owned Owned
No

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WATCH
Enbridge(ENB-T) 

January 10, 2019

It came back and tested the $40 range. We are trying to get above $45 and we are stuck at resistance. He put in a stop around $44. It will probably drift sideways until the $48 range. He would look to buy at $40 if it pulled back.
oil/gas pipelines
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It came back and tested the $40 range. We are trying to get above $45 and we are stuck at resistance. He put in a stop around $44. It will probably drift sideways until the $48 range. He would look to buy at $40 if it pulled back.
oil/gas pipelines
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$45.900
Owned Owned
Yes

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WATCH
Nutrien Ltd.(NTR-T) 

January 10, 2019

It dropped off and came back to $66. The downtrend is probably broken. It will probably go sideways until it breaks through $66 and then go further.
agriculture
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It dropped off and came back to $66. The downtrend is probably broken. It will probably go sideways until it breaks through $66 and then go further.
agriculture
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$66.280
Owned Owned
Unknown

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N/A
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

US$. The billions of repatriation dollars are probably ending? There was a bit rush of money coming back in so we could start to see a fall in the US$ rate. The Canadian dollar has rebounded since Christmas. We will run into resistance around $0.76. You will probably see a continuation of the strength in the Canadian dollar. Resistance would be at $0.80.
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US$. The billions of repatriation dollars are probably ending? There was a bit rush of money coming back in so we could start to see a fall in the US$ rate. The Canadian dollar has rebounded since Christmas. We will run into resistance around $0.76. You will probably see a continuation of the strength in the Canadian dollar. Resistance would be at $0.80.
Unknown
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

January 10, 2019

Don’t worry that it is not participating. It will be impacted by rates and a rush to safety. If it was bought recently it has declined a little bit. It is a little over extended. It will probably stick in the current range. BCE-T will be impacted by rates. $51 - $67 will be the range it is stuck in.
telephone utilities
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Don’t worry that it is not participating. It will be impacted by rates and a rush to safety. If it was bought recently it has declined a little bit. It is a little over extended. It will probably stick in the current range. BCE-T will be impacted by rates. $51 - $67 will be the range it is stuck in.
telephone utilities
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$55.140
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
All their real estate is operated reasonably. Commercial is holding up a bit better than residential. It had a nice little run while people got nervous with markets. The October drop might have scared some investors. Hold this one for income.
property mngmnt/investment
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All their real estate is operated reasonably. Commercial is holding up a bit better than residential. It had a nice little run while people got nervous with markets. The October drop might have scared some investors. Hold this one for income.
property mngmnt/investment
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$21.470
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WEAK BUY
General Market Comment 

January 10, 2019

Utilities vs. Telcos. Which Sector? He would look at a basket of them. XUT-T is a utility ETF. For Telcos he would get a basket directly because of the ETF's volume. In case rates go much higher he would not get a large position.
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Utilities vs. Telcos. Which Sector? He would look at a basket of them. XUT-T is a utility ETF. For Telcos he would get a basket directly because of the ETF's volume. In case rates go much higher he would not get a large position.
Unknown
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Down 23%) The biggest drop was the summer through to today when we normally have an uptick. It will probably have a pretty big catch up. A year out investors will be quite happy they stuck with it.
E.T.F.'s
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(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Down 23%) The biggest drop was the summer through to today when we normally have an uptick. It will probably have a pretty big catch up. A year out investors will be quite happy they stuck with it.
E.T.F.'s
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$11.250
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Shopify Inc.(SHOP-T) 

January 10, 2019

(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Up 13%) There have been some pretty big swings. It is only a matter of time before it breaks out of the trend and moves further up.
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(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Up 13%) There have been some pretty big swings. It is only a matter of time before it breaks out of the trend and moves further up.
0
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$195.960
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
JP Morgan Chase & Co(JPM-N) 

January 10, 2019

(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Down 11%) It's going to have some resistance about $100. He thinks it is a quality bank and soon we should see a challenge of the previous high at $120.
Financial Services
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(A Top Pick Feb 16/18, Down 11%) It's going to have some resistance about $100. He thinks it is a quality bank and soon we should see a challenge of the previous high at $120.
Financial Services
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$100.390
Owned Owned
Yes

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WATCH
Aurora Cannabis(ACB-T) 

January 10, 2019

Another sector where people are not sure what to make of it. A bunch of people were laid off in New Brunswick because they could not get supply. From a technical basis, where it is is very significant. He would expect a bounce here. If we get through $8 it would look like $10 and then $12.
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Another sector where people are not sure what to make of it. A bunch of people were laid off in New Brunswick because they could not get supply. From a technical basis, where it is is very significant. He would expect a bounce here. If we get through $8 it would look like $10 and then $12.
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$7.880
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Trevali Mining Corp(TV-T) 

January 10, 2019

The further you go down the food chain in a sector, the greater the swings you will have in price. It has a bit of a base in mid-December below $0.38. If it can't get above $0.50 and hold then it has some more work to do.
Mining
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The further you go down the food chain in a sector, the greater the swings you will have in price. It has a bit of a base in mid-December below $0.38. If it can't get above $0.50 and hold then it has some more work to do.
Mining
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.435
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
It has returned to previous support from November. He would look at the $9 range. If it breaks below that they we have a problem, otherwise it will base at this level before going up to $16.
merchandising/lodging
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It has returned to previous support from November. He would look at the $9 range. If it breaks below that they we have a problem, otherwise it will base at this level before going up to $16.
merchandising/lodging
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$12.600
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT
Chorus Aviation Inc(CHR-T) 

January 10, 2019

The industrial sector is coming into seasonality at the end of January. This year the risk/reward is pretty good. It should start to move up by the beginning of February. If this one is not doing something then, then there something specific to this stock that has to be worked through.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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The industrial sector is coming into seasonality at the end of January. This year the risk/reward is pretty good. It should start to move up by the beginning of February. If this one is not doing something then, then there something specific to this stock that has to be worked through.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$6.170
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT
Argonaut Gold(AR-T) 

January 10, 2019

There is a cup and handle starting mid-October. He projects it north of $2. He has lightened up on gold as it comes into a seasonally weak period. He will eventually buy it back. Wait until the handle has formed on the chart.
Mining
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There is a cup and handle starting mid-October. He projects it north of $2. He has lightened up on gold as it comes into a seasonally weak period. He will eventually buy it back. Wait until the handle has formed on the chart.
Mining
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$1.580
Owned Owned
No

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HOLD
Intel(INTC-Q) 

January 10, 2019

It was strong until a couple of months back. On monthly relative strength charts it looks terrible. It is at the bottom out of 18 areas he looks at. It has been really weak. We have seen a bit of a pickup in Intel recently, relative to the market. There is a wedge pattern forming. If we get a push here it will be a confirmation. If it breaks above $48 it will have a bit of ground beneath it.
electrical/electronic
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It was strong until a couple of months back. On monthly relative strength charts it looks terrible. It is at the bottom out of 18 areas he looks at. It has been really weak. We have seen a bit of a pickup in Intel recently, relative to the market. There is a wedge pattern forming. If we get a push here it will be a confirmation. If it breaks above $48 it will have a bit of ground beneath it.
electrical/electronic
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$48.560
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
Vermilion Energy Inc(VET-T) 

January 10, 2019

Energy should get a bit of a pickup by the end of January. If not, then move into one of the stronger energy names.
oil/gas
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Energy should get a bit of a pickup by the end of January. If not, then move into one of the stronger energy names.
oil/gas
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$31.560
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
Bombardier Inc (B)(BBD.B-T) 

January 10, 2019

He thinks it was an overdone situation. They have a history of disappointing investors over the years. $1.80 is a pretty significant level. We have a significant seasonal period coming up. It is on track to meet its targets of free cash flow. Yesterday's announcement with New Jersey transit adds to the tailwinds. (Analysts’ price target is $4.60)
transportation equip & components
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He thinks it was an overdone situation. They have a history of disappointing investors over the years. $1.80 is a pretty significant level. We have a significant seasonal period coming up. It is on track to meet its targets of free cash flow. Yesterday's announcement with New Jersey transit adds to the tailwinds. (Analysts’ price target is $4.60)
transportation equip & components
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$2.230
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
It has the best chart of all the base metals. We are chewing though the resistance from the downtrend in November. It has an excellent balance sheet. (Analysts’ price target is $40.92)
precious metals
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It has the best chart of all the base metals. We are chewing though the resistance from the downtrend in November. It has an excellent balance sheet. (Analysts’ price target is $40.92)
precious metals
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$30.180
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
CGI Group (A)(GIB.A-T) 

January 10, 2019

It is Canada's biggest technology company. It has really good valuation, it is defensive and it is a growth story with a good technical profile. He thinks it is undervalued and will continue to reduce its debt. If it gets through the high that it is near now, it will be a pretty good part of a portfolio for the next year. (Analysts’ price target is $88.14)
consulting
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It is Canada's biggest technology company. It has really good valuation, it is defensive and it is a growth story with a good technical profile. He thinks it is undervalued and will continue to reduce its debt. If it gets through the high that it is near now, it will be a pretty good part of a portfolio for the next year. (Analysts’ price target is $88.14)
consulting
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$86.380
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

December 18, 2018

S&P 500 has been down 13% from the September high. We want to hold the February lows at 2,530 and now we're barely above that. Indicators say the market is really oversold, even though some economic numbers are really good like retail sales and the China-US tensions are seeing a detente. If the market can bounce off the 2,500 low it's very good news. The equity put call ratio is at elevated levels--there's a lot of hedging going on. Everything is set up to have a great run, but fear and greed can push the market even lower. That said, all we need are a few days of positive push to have a good, few months. He's guardedly bullish.
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S&P 500 has been down 13% from the September high. We want to hold the February lows at 2,530 and now we're barely above that. Indicators say the market is really oversold, even though some economic numbers are really good like retail sales and the China-US tensions are seeing a detente. If the market can bounce off the 2,500 low it's very good news. The equity put call ratio is at elevated levels--there's a lot of hedging going on. Everything is set up to have a great run, but fear and greed can push the market even lower. That said, all we need are a few days of positive push to have a good, few months. He's guardedly bullish.
Unknown
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY on WEAKNESS
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.(BIR-T) 

December 18, 2018

Why is the price of natural gas rising, but this stock is declining? There's not always a correlation between natural gas prices and these stocks. BIR has a $2.80 support level, but nat gas' seasonality just ended. We need to see BIR hold its current level. He expects investors to step in here.
oil/gas
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Why is the price of natural gas rising, but this stock is declining? There's not always a correlation between natural gas prices and these stocks. BIR has a $2.80 support level, but nat gas' seasonality just ended. We need to see BIR hold its current level. He expects investors to step in here.
oil/gas
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0 comments
Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$2.720
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Seasonality should be kicking in for Canadian banks. CM needs to hold at $110, though historically its current $105 is a bottom. The banks and CIBC are very oversold. If CIBC breaks belwo $105, it could fall to the high-$90s.
banks
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Seasonality should be kicking in for Canadian banks. CM needs to hold at $110, though historically its current $105 is a bottom. The banks and CIBC are very oversold. If CIBC breaks belwo $105, it could fall to the high-$90s.
banks
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$105.180
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Barrick Gold(ABX-T) 

December 18, 2018

Gold outlook? Gold seasonality is kicking in right now. Also note that the U.S. dollar should start to roll over now. Gold stocks are starting to move up. Gold looks gold now. $1,252 resistence. Barrick is a good play. Next resistance is at $20, then $23. If he didn't own Kirkland Lake, he'd buy this.
precious metals
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Gold outlook? Gold seasonality is kicking in right now. Also note that the U.S. dollar should start to roll over now. Gold stocks are starting to move up. Gold looks gold now. $1,252 resistence. Barrick is a good play. Next resistance is at $20, then $23. If he didn't own Kirkland Lake, he'd buy this.
precious metals
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0 comments
Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$18.710
Owned Owned
No

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WATCH
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

December 18, 2018

The telcos are rolling over now. Wait and you can buy this around $52. Don't worry if you're looking long-term.
telephone utilities
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0 comments
The telcos are rolling over now. Wait and you can buy this around $52. Don't worry if you're looking long-term.
telephone utilities
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Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$55.580
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
iUnits S&P Financial(XFN-T) 

December 18, 2018

If it falls below $4.25 then something's going on. This sell-off is overreacting. Watch this one for sure.
indexes
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0 comments
If it falls below $4.25 then something's going on. This sell-off is overreacting. Watch this one for sure.
indexes
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0 comments
Hap (Robert) Sn

Chief Port, Castlemoore Inc....

Price Price
$34.240
Owned Owned
Unknown

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