{"id":109335,"date":"2019-10-01T19:49:41","date_gmt":"2019-10-01T19:49:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/?p=109335"},"modified":"2019-10-01T19:49:41","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T19:49:41","slug":"what-stocks-usually-go-up-oct-through-dec-its-time-for-seasonality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/what-stocks-usually-go-up-oct-through-dec-its-time-for-seasonality\/","title":{"rendered":"What stocks usually go up Oct through Dec? It\u2019s time for seasonality."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>October. A time when sunshine gives way to falling leaves; baseball ends while hockey and basketball begin; and seasonality reigns.<\/p>\n<p>Seasonality tracks the long-term performance patterns of stocks and sectors. Some stocks rise during certain months, and others fall in the same periods. For instance, the lifecos and <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/bank-stocks-bouncing-up-top-canadian-and-us-bank-stocks-to-buy\/\">banks<\/a> enjoy strong seasonality in October through December, then February into March, observes <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1047\/Don-Vialoux\">Don Vialoux<\/a>, an authority on seasonal investing. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1047\/Don-Vialoux\">Vialoux<\/a> is the first to add that seasonality is only one tool that investors can use in addition to earnings data, 200-day moving averages and other aspects of technical analysis. Also, a stock must be several years (or a few decades) old before determining its seasonality. So, this rules out all pot stocks and tech unicorns. Finally, seasonality doesn&#8217;t bat 1000. Some years break seasonal patterns.<\/p>\n<p>Roughly speaking, October is the start of a new period of seasonality. Here&#8217;s a look at two stocks and sectors entering their seasonal strength and two others that are leaving theirs (for now):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/NTR-T\">Nutrien\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-109967\" src=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Nutrien-1-760x254.jpg\" alt=\"Nutrien\" width=\"760\" height=\"254\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The potash giant is now in its seasonal phase, says <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1207\/Brooke-Thackray\">Brooke Thackray<\/a>, who advises waiting until NTR-T rises from its current support level of $65 before stepping in. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/81\/Bruce-Campbell-1\">Bruce Campbell<\/a> of Campbell and Lee feels that once the stock gets moving, it will hit $80, though it may take time. He was disappointed that it recently scaled back <a href=\"https:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/pmn\/press-releases-pmn\/business-wire-news-releases-pmn\/nutrien-announces-temporary-potash-production-downtime\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">production<\/a> due to a global slowdown in potash markets. Because commodities are price-takers, not price-makers, says Rob Connachie, who would stay away. Year-to-date, Nutrien has been volatile, bouncing between $59 and $75, though BMO upgraded it from market perform to outperform, and <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/BAC-N\">Bank of America<\/a> revised its call from underperform to neutral. Similarly, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1437\/Christopher-Blumas\">Christopher Blumas<\/a> urges buying Nutrien for its 3.5% dividend yield, 60\/40 split in production and distribution and its favourable 10x cash flow. He expects good earnings growth, a rising dividend and more share buybacks ahead.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/IGV-A\">iShares North American Tech-Software ETF\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-109968\" src=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/iShares-IGV-A-1-760x254.jpg\" alt=\"iShares IGV A\" width=\"760\" height=\"254\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As Nutrien enters seasonal strength, this ETF and the software sector are about to exit. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1047\/Don-Vialoux\">Vialoux<\/a> pinpoints their seasonality between July 31-Nov.8. He heralds software as the new defensive stocks, given their subscription model, like Microsoft&#8217;s. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/MSFT-Q\">MSFT-Q<\/a> is one of IGV&#8217;s major holdings along with Salesforce, Adobe and <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/ORCL-N\">Oracle<\/a> (they comprise nearly 30% of this ETF). This year, IGV began its seasonal a month early. Since the first week of June, the ETF has more or less stayed above $209, where it currently sits. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1047\/Don-Vialoux\">Vialoux<\/a> is a big fan of IGV, and <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1417\/Kim-Bolton\">Kim Bolton<\/a>, who specializes in tech stocks, also recommends it. You&#8217;re buying this for growth; year-to-date, IGV has run up nearly 22%. However, you&#8217;re buying it for the 0.12% yield while paying the 0.46% MER.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/CCO-T\">Cameco<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-109969\" src=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Cameco-1-760x254.jpg\" alt=\"Cameco\" width=\"760\" height=\"254\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Get into this now and get out by mid-January, advises <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1207\/Brooke-Thackray\">Thackray<\/a>. This uranium producer has gone sideways since early-2016, but has leapt nearly 20% since August 15 to close on Sept. 27 at $12.69. Before the current run started, technical analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1427\/Javed-Mirza\">Javed Mirza<\/a> considered CCO-T a trade, not a long-term hold. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1410\/Bryden-Teich\">Bryden Teich<\/a> sees a lot of upside here, but pays a low dividend yield of 0.63%. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/106\/Larry-Berman-CFA-CMT-CTA\">Larry Berman<\/a> warns that the uranium sector remains haunted by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?client=firefox-b-d&amp;q=Fukeshima+reactor\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fukushima<\/a> nuclear disaster of 2011, but CCO-T itself is still tradable.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/XGD-T\">iShares S&amp;P\/TSX Global Gold<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-109970\" src=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/iShares-XGD-V-1-760x254.jpg\" alt=\"iShares XGD V\" width=\"760\" height=\"254\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold bugs beware: the shiny rock is exiting seasonality in early-October. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1207\/Brooke-Thackray\">Thackray<\/a> has already shed 65% of his gold holdings and wants to sell more. That may sound crazy, since XGD-T has soared 33% year-to-date, boosted by investor fears about a global slowdown and trade tensions between the U.S. and China, but last week XGD fell a whole dollar to $15.09 on Sept.27. Similarly, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1274\/Christine-Poole\">Christine Poole<\/a> is bearish about gold and doesn&#8217;t own any of it. Neither does <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/59\/Richard-Croft\">Richard Croft<\/a>, but he likes this ETF for its fixed costs. The good news here, notes <a href=\"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/expert\/view\/1207\/Brooke-Thackray\">Thackray<\/a>, is that gold re-enters seasonal strength in time for Chinese New Year in January.<\/p>\n<p>For seasonal data on other stocks and sectors, visit the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equityclock.com\/seasonality\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Equity Clock<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>October. A time when sunshine gives way to falling leaves; baseball ends while hockey and basketball begin; and seasonality reigns. Seasonality tracks the long-term performance patterns of stocks and sectors. Some stocks rise during certain months, and others fall in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":109966,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"cwp_meta_box_check":"No","cwp_rev_product_name":"","cwp_rev_product_image":"","wppr_links":[],"cwp_rev_price":"","wppr_options":[],"wppr_pros":[],"wppr_cons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[157,250,170,247,140,248,249,243,244,245,246],"class_list":["post-109335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lists","tag-banks","tag-commodities","tag-dividends","tag-gold","tag-microsoft","tag-nuclear-power","tag-potash","tag-seaonality","tag-seasonal-investing","tag-software","tag-uranium"],"wppr_data":{"cwp_meta_box_check":"No"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109335","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109335"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109335\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109335"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109335"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockchase.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109335"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}