Northland Power Inc

NPI-T

TSE:NPI

34.37
0.17 (0.50%)
Northland Power is an independent power producer founded in 1987, and publicly traded since 1997. Northland develops, builds, owns and operates facilities that produce 'clean' and 'green' energy, ...
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Analysis and Opinions about NPI-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 21, 2019
They have a big catalyst coming up at the end of the year with the big Deutsche Bucht offshore wind project in the North Sea which will bump up their free cash flow by a third. With this they can raise their dividend (nearly 5% now) or buy back shares. You should get low-teens returns in the next few years. He expects the payout ratio to fall below 60% in 2020. (Analysts’ price target is $27.17)
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They have a big catalyst coming up at the end of the year with the big Deutsche Bucht offshore wind project in the North Sea which will bump up their free cash flow by a third. With this they can raise their dividend (nearly 5% now) or buy back shares. You should get low-teens returns in the next few years. He expects the payout ratio to fall below 60% in 2020. (Analysts’ price target is $27.17)
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 21, 2019
In construction mode in Mexico, Europe, and overseas. You want to own it when it's in growth mode. Only problem is not raising the dividend much, as they're growing. He owns NEE instead.
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In construction mode in Mexico, Europe, and overseas. You want to own it when it's in growth mode. Only problem is not raising the dividend much, as they're growing. He owns NEE instead.
BUY
BUY
May 31, 2019
This is a utility with a good dividend. This is a good quality company.
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This is a utility with a good dividend. This is a good quality company.
BUY
BUY
May 16, 2019
He really likes them. It has a really nice dividend. They own some natural gas so it is like co-generation. If you want 100% renewables, then this would not fit the bill. But if you want companies going in the right direction, then this is one of them. They are developing new technologies. At the end of the day they will own assets in wind generation in the north sea. They are well positioned in the sector.
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He really likes them. It has a really nice dividend. They own some natural gas so it is like co-generation. If you want 100% renewables, then this would not fit the bill. But if you want companies going in the right direction, then this is one of them. They are developing new technologies. At the end of the day they will own assets in wind generation in the north sea. They are well positioned in the sector.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2019

AQN vs NPI Both companies have similar yields -- around 4.9%. He owns both. AQN-T is more US focused. NPI-T is more international. The dividend with AQN-T is paid in US dollars.

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AQN vs NPI Both companies have similar yields -- around 4.9%. He owns both. AQN-T is more US focused. NPI-T is more international. The dividend with AQN-T is paid in US dollars.

HOLD
HOLD
May 10, 2019
Valuation is pretty reasonable. It trades 10.5 times EBITA. Payout ratio of 80%. He will continue to hold it. Yield 5%
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Valuation is pretty reasonable. It trades 10.5 times EBITA. Payout ratio of 80%. He will continue to hold it. Yield 5%
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 6, 2019
It has been good over the last year. He is not in this sector. His only caveat is the debt on the balance sheet. There is nothing else wrong with it.
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It has been good over the last year. He is not in this sector. His only caveat is the debt on the balance sheet. There is nothing else wrong with it.
STRONG BUY
STRONG BUY
April 30, 2019
The CEO did a stock disposition recently. One of his largest holdings. A leader in off-shore wind energy. Their issue has always been attracting capital. They need to partner or be owned by a pension fund, which they almost did a few years ago. It's odd the CEO founder sold his shares recently as opposed to a few years ago when the stock price was nearly the same. That sale has created an overhang, though. It's been in the $25 range in the past 3-4 years while NPI has de-risked and built up several projects. The future looks good, so what's next for them? Maybe raise the dividend; they haven't done that, because they've been hoarding capital to build projects. He's adding to it as it pays over a 5% yield, and he predicts the stock will rise.
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The CEO did a stock disposition recently. One of his largest holdings. A leader in off-shore wind energy. Their issue has always been attracting capital. They need to partner or be owned by a pension fund, which they almost did a few years ago. It's odd the CEO founder sold his shares recently as opposed to a few years ago when the stock price was nearly the same. That sale has created an overhang, though. It's been in the $25 range in the past 3-4 years while NPI has de-risked and built up several projects. The future looks good, so what's next for them? Maybe raise the dividend; they haven't done that, because they've been hoarding capital to build projects. He's adding to it as it pays over a 5% yield, and he predicts the stock will rise.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
April 15, 2019
He owns more of AQN. The companies in this space are pricey, because investors are moving away from fossil fuels and buying these renewables. Yes, these stocks can get pricey, so don't buy at the top and buy more than one like AQN or BLX, which are better than NPI.
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He owns more of AQN. The companies in this space are pricey, because investors are moving away from fossil fuels and buying these renewables. Yes, these stocks can get pricey, so don't buy at the top and buy more than one like AQN or BLX, which are better than NPI.
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 10, 2019
NPI vs. AQN NPI is fine, but she prefers AQN. Nothing wrong with NPI. NPI's recently pullback was due to the CEO dumping a lot of stock on the market, which was a buying opportunity/entry point. AQN has a regulated side in renewable side, pays a good dividend and can growth outside Canada.
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NPI vs. AQN NPI is fine, but she prefers AQN. Nothing wrong with NPI. NPI's recently pullback was due to the CEO dumping a lot of stock on the market, which was a buying opportunity/entry point. AQN has a regulated side in renewable side, pays a good dividend and can growth outside Canada.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
March 27, 2019
Has watched it. Owns the competitors in the space. Overhang on the stock. Good dividend, good assets. Well managed. Likes the sector. Not a bad investment at this point if you want to get into the space.
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Has watched it. Owns the competitors in the space. Overhang on the stock. Good dividend, good assets. Well managed. Likes the sector. Not a bad investment at this point if you want to get into the space.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 19, 2019
Today, the chairman did a secondary offering of $750 million at $23.35/share. The stock dropped 9.5% today. Should I be worried or will this be accretive? Because the chairman is doing the offering, the company is not getting the proceeds, so this is the worst kind of seconday offering, because it's going to him--the Chairman. So, you got to absorb $750 million that is going to estate planning. It's fine; the chairman has a right to do it, but the market has to absorb $750 million in the market. It got absorbed today--barely. That's why the stock is soft. Eventually, the offering will get absorbed and that's fine.
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Today, the chairman did a secondary offering of $750 million at $23.35/share. The stock dropped 9.5% today. Should I be worried or will this be accretive? Because the chairman is doing the offering, the company is not getting the proceeds, so this is the worst kind of seconday offering, because it's going to him--the Chairman. So, you got to absorb $750 million that is going to estate planning. It's fine; the chairman has a right to do it, but the market has to absorb $750 million in the market. It got absorbed today--barely. That's why the stock is soft. Eventually, the offering will get absorbed and that's fine.
BUY
BUY
March 14, 2019
It has been interesting with a lot of these renewable power utilities. They bounce back a lot better than the rest of the market. He only owns this kind of quality for the dividend. His only concern is that it is part of a historically high price. They are very, very clean in term of energy. (Analysts’ price target is $26.42)
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It has been interesting with a lot of these renewable power utilities. They bounce back a lot better than the rest of the market. He only owns this kind of quality for the dividend. His only concern is that it is part of a historically high price. They are very, very clean in term of energy. (Analysts’ price target is $26.42)
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 27, 2019
A good start to the year. They have brought on 3 wind projects and one in the North Sea. They have a 20 year agreement in Taiwan. He does not expect a dividend increase this year. They are trying to finance growth internally. His largest holding. Yield 4.86% (Analysts’ price target is $26.42)
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Northland Power Inc (NPI-T)
February 27, 2019
A good start to the year. They have brought on 3 wind projects and one in the North Sea. They have a 20 year agreement in Taiwan. He does not expect a dividend increase this year. They are trying to finance growth internally. His largest holding. Yield 4.86% (Analysts’ price target is $26.42)
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 16, 2019
A renewal energy company with a $4 billion market cap. A dividend payout ratio of 58%. Forecast earnings growth of 40% is expected. They have created free cash flow of $325 million. A PE of 15.5, which drops to 10.5 in 2020 and higher earnings growth. Yield 5.3%. (Analysts’ price target is $25.73)
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A renewal energy company with a $4 billion market cap. A dividend payout ratio of 58%. Forecast earnings growth of 40% is expected. They have created free cash flow of $325 million. A PE of 15.5, which drops to 10.5 in 2020 and higher earnings growth. Yield 5.3%. (Analysts’ price target is $25.73)
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