McDonalds

MCD-N

NYSE:MCD

193.22
5.63 (3.00%)
McDonald's is an American hamburger and fast food restaurant chain. It was founded in 1940 as a barbecue restaurant operated by Richard and Maurice McDonald, in San Bernardino, California.
More at Wikipedia

Analysis and Opinions about MCD-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
BUY
BUY
June 2, 2020
The share price has come back nicely. Delivery sales are way up and drive-thru's, too. MCD will endure and succeed, but expect an earnings dip.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
June 2, 2020
The share price has come back nicely. Delivery sales are way up and drive-thru's, too. MCD will endure and succeed, but expect an earnings dip.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 19, 2020

MCD vs. Starbucks Can they increase locations and sales per location? MCD is saturated, so they are trying to increase the latter. Starbucks is doing both. MCD makes money from franchise fees. They're equal, leaders in their field. He can't choose one over the other.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 19, 2020

MCD vs. Starbucks Can they increase locations and sales per location? MCD is saturated, so they are trying to increase the latter. Starbucks is doing both. MCD makes money from franchise fees. They're equal, leaders in their field. He can't choose one over the other.

HOLD
HOLD
May 13, 2020
In the quick-serve restaurant space they have done well with drive thru business still doing well. More traffic will return, but they will need to make changes in seating first. A high quality name.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 13, 2020
In the quick-serve restaurant space they have done well with drive thru business still doing well. More traffic will return, but they will need to make changes in seating first. A high quality name.
HOLD
HOLD
February 20, 2020
Good company. Reaping benefits of a great turnaround. Will continue to do well as long as they can keep costs down. Stick with it. (Analysts’ price target is $230.00)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
February 20, 2020
Good company. Reaping benefits of a great turnaround. Will continue to do well as long as they can keep costs down. Stick with it. (Analysts’ price target is $230.00)
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
February 4, 2020
An excellent business. He's owned this since 2003, but sold last summer when the yield curve steepened and the CEO turned over. Now looks like a buying opportunity. Inevitably, he comes back to MCD. MCD owns their real estate, so they have the best locations. MCD outperforms when investors look for defensive stocks, but it underperforms when the market takes on more risk (like now). They've added beverages very well in Canada, namely coffee.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
February 4, 2020
An excellent business. He's owned this since 2003, but sold last summer when the yield curve steepened and the CEO turned over. Now looks like a buying opportunity. Inevitably, he comes back to MCD. MCD owns their real estate, so they have the best locations. MCD outperforms when investors look for defensive stocks, but it underperforms when the market takes on more risk (like now). They've added beverages very well in Canada, namely coffee.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 29, 2020
They continue to innovate with technology. They reported today good same-store sales. Like a REIT, it's a predictable money machine. (Analysts’ price target is $226.54)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
January 29, 2020
They continue to innovate with technology. They reported today good same-store sales. Like a REIT, it's a predictable money machine. (Analysts’ price target is $226.54)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 7, 2020
He wouldn't buy McDonalds unless it dropped down to $90, which is substantially lower than were it's trading. It's only a good buy for the long term if you can buy it at the fair market value.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
January 7, 2020
He wouldn't buy McDonalds unless it dropped down to $90, which is substantially lower than were it's trading. It's only a good buy for the long term if you can buy it at the fair market value.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 3, 2020
Missed on earnings in October. He doesn't own it quite yet. It's a good stock that still owns the sector and brings in customers. A defensive stock. If it goes below $191, he would get out. He's looking to buy this in the next couple weeks. (Analysts’ price target is $222.63)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
January 3, 2020
Missed on earnings in October. He doesn't own it quite yet. It's a good stock that still owns the sector and brings in customers. A defensive stock. If it goes below $191, he would get out. He's looking to buy this in the next couple weeks. (Analysts’ price target is $222.63)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 30, 2019
In their October report, earnings missed by 10 cents/share. In North America, MCD is cannabilizing their menu; with all-day breakfast, then what about lunch and dinner? He doesn't like food retailers in general. Decent dividend growth, but flagging sales are a red flag. Meanwhile, peers are building new stores internationally.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
December 30, 2019
In their October report, earnings missed by 10 cents/share. In North America, MCD is cannabilizing their menu; with all-day breakfast, then what about lunch and dinner? He doesn't like food retailers in general. Decent dividend growth, but flagging sales are a red flag. Meanwhile, peers are building new stores internationally.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 13, 2019

They own Yum! Brands in this space rather than McDonalds. One of the issues is that traffic into stores has been slowing in US locations. Arguably, growth with come in other emerging markets.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
December 13, 2019

They own Yum! Brands in this space rather than McDonalds. One of the issues is that traffic into stores has been slowing in US locations. Arguably, growth with come in other emerging markets.

HOLD
HOLD
November 27, 2019
Relatively defensive position, and the market's rotating more towards cyclicals. A great company. Likes it very much. It will have its time in the sun and its time in the shade. Growing earnings and cashflow very smartly. Be patient and let it work over a long time.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 27, 2019
Relatively defensive position, and the market's rotating more towards cyclicals. A great company. Likes it very much. It will have its time in the sun and its time in the shade. Growing earnings and cashflow very smartly. Be patient and let it work over a long time.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 22, 2019
38,000 restaurants across the world with 40 years of dividend growth. Over the last 5 years, it’s grown 9% compounded. It has a good growth rate. It’s come down around 10% for no reason and it is a leader in quick service. Has a good growth potential.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 22, 2019
38,000 restaurants across the world with 40 years of dividend growth. Over the last 5 years, it’s grown 9% compounded. It has a good growth rate. It’s come down around 10% for no reason and it is a leader in quick service. Has a good growth potential.
HOLD
HOLD
November 11, 2019
The balance sheet is very healthy. His only concern is that companies that have been seen as safe have had their stock prices run up. He thinks this might cause the stock price to go sideways. They are the most innovative of the quick serve restaurant chains. They are testing Beyond Meat in south western Ontario.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 11, 2019
The balance sheet is very healthy. His only concern is that companies that have been seen as safe have had their stock prices run up. He thinks this might cause the stock price to go sideways. They are the most innovative of the quick serve restaurant chains. They are testing Beyond Meat in south western Ontario.
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 7, 2019
Likes it. Adding at these lower levels. CEO leaving is not a huge deal. It's not a one-man show. Earnings look good. Good things to come, especially on the technology side which will lower costs and drive earnings.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 7, 2019
Likes it. Adding at these lower levels. CEO leaving is not a huge deal. It's not a one-man show. Earnings look good. Good things to come, especially on the technology side which will lower costs and drive earnings.
BUY
BUY
November 5, 2019

MCD vs. QSR long-term He would've chosen MCD up until a few days ago when the CEO was fired. That CEO boosted margins and invested well in tech. They had 17 quarters of rising sales. Can the new guy keep this up? MCD is probably in better shape now because of him and good to own for the next little while; there's momentum here. QSR, in contrast, is made up of several chains. However, QSR has done well in pushing non-meat products, whereas MCD is not there yet. QSR could push ahead of MCD, given this. He'd still choose McDonald's.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 5, 2019

MCD vs. QSR long-term He would've chosen MCD up until a few days ago when the CEO was fired. That CEO boosted margins and invested well in tech. They had 17 quarters of rising sales. Can the new guy keep this up? MCD is probably in better shape now because of him and good to own for the next little while; there's momentum here. QSR, in contrast, is made up of several chains. However, QSR has done well in pushing non-meat products, whereas MCD is not there yet. QSR could push ahead of MCD, given this. He'd still choose McDonald's.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 4, 2019

They have challenges. Same-store sales are not living up to street expectations. This is not a terrible buy, but sees more growth in Starbucks. McDonald's pays a 2.6% dividend as it buys back shares with borrowed money, but interest rates will remain low.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 4, 2019

They have challenges. Same-store sales are not living up to street expectations. This is not a terrible buy, but sees more growth in Starbucks. McDonald's pays a 2.6% dividend as it buys back shares with borrowed money, but interest rates will remain low.

SELL
SELL
October 22, 2019
After a huge drop after an earnings miss. It has massive downside risk--75%. Last few quarters have had poor earnings. They have been buying back stock which helps earnings. In the last 50 years, MCD has had three massive setbacks, always when the markets were overvalued. Their balance sheet is much weaker than six years ago. When a stock really falls hard, then suppliers and creditors look at a company's balance sheet--and MCD's has a big hole in theirs. The fundamentals are terrible.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
October 22, 2019
After a huge drop after an earnings miss. It has massive downside risk--75%. Last few quarters have had poor earnings. They have been buying back stock which helps earnings. In the last 50 years, MCD has had three massive setbacks, always when the markets were overvalued. Their balance sheet is much weaker than six years ago. When a stock really falls hard, then suppliers and creditors look at a company's balance sheet--and MCD's has a big hole in theirs. The fundamentals are terrible.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 15, 2019
McDonald's blew out all their equity. They have negative equity of $6.8 billion due to share buybacks and other measures. Their managers don't seem to care about their valuation which is sky high. He doesn't understand why they do this. It's never been more expensive. If MCD does get into trouble down the road (i.e. recession), this stock will go down a long, long way. A lot of blue-chip companies have no balance sheet, no equity.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
October 15, 2019
McDonald's blew out all their equity. They have negative equity of $6.8 billion due to share buybacks and other measures. Their managers don't seem to care about their valuation which is sky high. He doesn't understand why they do this. It's never been more expensive. If MCD does get into trouble down the road (i.e. recession), this stock will go down a long, long way. A lot of blue-chip companies have no balance sheet, no equity.
SELL
SELL
September 18, 2019
Why don't you like it? He has nearly 50 years of trading data on MCD-N. Every time we have a market at excessive valuations, back to 1972, market corrections have caused this stock to decline 75%. Right now his model is saying the stock is already 50% over valued. The company has been buying back stock and book value is well below current share prices. Credit worthiness has slipped over the years as well. He expects history to repeat it self. You will get your but handed to you. He is not a fan of the non-meat products -- it is a fad.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
September 18, 2019
Why don't you like it? He has nearly 50 years of trading data on MCD-N. Every time we have a market at excessive valuations, back to 1972, market corrections have caused this stock to decline 75%. Right now his model is saying the stock is already 50% over valued. The company has been buying back stock and book value is well below current share prices. Credit worthiness has slipped over the years as well. He expects history to repeat it self. You will get your but handed to you. He is not a fan of the non-meat products -- it is a fad.
BUY
BUY
September 11, 2019
Likes the name. Very competitive space. Extremely strong technicals. Low beta. Somewhat recession resilient. 2.2% dividend. Good name to own.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
September 11, 2019
Likes the name. Very competitive space. Extremely strong technicals. Low beta. Somewhat recession resilient. 2.2% dividend. Good name to own.
BUY
BUY
August 26, 2019
It's an enduring brand that has adapted well over the years. It's resilient and will survive a recession. Admires this stock, though it's no longer go-go grower it used to be.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
August 26, 2019
It's an enduring brand that has adapted well over the years. It's resilient and will survive a recession. Admires this stock, though it's no longer go-go grower it used to be.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 22, 2019
(A Top Pick Aug 21/18, Up 39%) They've always managed to get it right. He is very excited about it. They have auto order / auto-pay. It is a really well managed company.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
August 22, 2019
(A Top Pick Aug 21/18, Up 39%) They've always managed to get it right. He is very excited about it. They have auto order / auto-pay. It is a really well managed company.
BUY
BUY
June 6, 2019

He thinks it is the best fast food restaurant to invest in. Against QSR-T he likes it better. There is less debt on the balance sheet. They righted the ship and are now going for growth.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
June 6, 2019

He thinks it is the best fast food restaurant to invest in. Against QSR-T he likes it better. There is less debt on the balance sheet. They righted the ship and are now going for growth.

WAIT
WAIT
May 31, 2019
This is a solid name. Again, would wait to see how the markets shake out. He does not see too much positive happening in the markets over the next few weeks. He would be on the fence right now.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 31, 2019
This is a solid name. Again, would wait to see how the markets shake out. He does not see too much positive happening in the markets over the next few weeks. He would be on the fence right now.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
May 30, 2019
They are a cash machine. Over 90% of stores are franchised. They normally own the property and lease it back to the franchisee. They are current, have been around for most of our lifetimes and have adapted. (Analysts’ price target is $214.50)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 30, 2019
They are a cash machine. Over 90% of stores are franchised. They normally own the property and lease it back to the franchisee. They are current, have been around for most of our lifetimes and have adapted. (Analysts’ price target is $214.50)
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
May 8, 2019
Same store sales have continued to be strong and sees them continuing to re-invent themselves. Growth is high single-digit, but the value is looking a little rich right now. He would definitely buy on weakness.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 8, 2019
Same store sales have continued to be strong and sees them continuing to re-invent themselves. Growth is high single-digit, but the value is looking a little rich right now. He would definitely buy on weakness.
HOLD
HOLD
April 4, 2019
Interesting name. He likes Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T) in the sector. Mixed feelings as it is expensive. It is defensive. Low beta.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
April 4, 2019
Interesting name. He likes Restaurant Brands International (QSR-T) in the sector. Mixed feelings as it is expensive. It is defensive. Low beta.
HOLD
HOLD
March 26, 2019
Unbelievably well run. Best of all the fast food places. Not cheap, don't buy it here. No one's been able to knock them off their perch. Hesitates to sell a great business just because it's not cheap. Innovative, phenomenal quality control, increasing dividends, huge free cash flow. Yield is 2.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $199.00)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
March 26, 2019
Unbelievably well run. Best of all the fast food places. Not cheap, don't buy it here. No one's been able to knock them off their perch. Hesitates to sell a great business just because it's not cheap. Innovative, phenomenal quality control, increasing dividends, huge free cash flow. Yield is 2.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $199.00)
BUY
BUY
January 11, 2019
There's no reason why this sold off, but all stocks sell in a correction. This is a consumer stock, and US consumers with many jobs and rising incomes are in a strong space. MCD will do well. Wage inflation hasn't hit yet, either.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
January 11, 2019
There's no reason why this sold off, but all stocks sell in a correction. This is a consumer stock, and US consumers with many jobs and rising incomes are in a strong space. MCD will do well. Wage inflation hasn't hit yet, either.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 12, 2018
They've done a good transformation and have cut costs. In 2016, they starting changing their model with new products (i.e. all-day breakfast). Since 2016, we've seen higher highs and lows and a definite uptrend on their chart. It's a core holding of his. (Analysts’ price target is $192.82)
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 12, 2018
They've done a good transformation and have cut costs. In 2016, they starting changing their model with new products (i.e. all-day breakfast). Since 2016, we've seen higher highs and lows and a definite uptrend on their chart. It's a core holding of his. (Analysts’ price target is $192.82)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 5, 2018
He wouldn't touch it. It's very expensive on a P/B basis and FMV (fair market value). Sometimes, the market will carry a stock that doesn't deserve it. Consider yourself lucky for owning this, but he would then get out of it. The chart (showing strength in the past few years) is looking in the rear-view mirror. He doesn't see upside.
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McDonalds (MCD-N)
November 5, 2018
He wouldn't touch it. It's very expensive on a P/B basis and FMV (fair market value). Sometimes, the market will carry a stock that doesn't deserve it. Consider yourself lucky for owning this, but he would then get out of it. The chart (showing strength in the past few years) is looking in the rear-view mirror. He doesn't see upside.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 21, 2018

This is a new entry into his portfolio. It owns 37,000 restaurants, 92% of them franchised. They typically own the land that the restaurant is on and the franchisee leases it. This creates a very stable flow of cash. Same store sales are growing well. They are innovating in food choices and in payment methods. They have allocated $6 billion for upgrading their restaurants by 2022. The average spend at restaurants is increasing and at all time highs. Yield 2.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $184.20)

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
August 21, 2018

This is a new entry into his portfolio. It owns 37,000 restaurants, 92% of them franchised. They typically own the land that the restaurant is on and the franchisee leases it. This creates a very stable flow of cash. Same store sales are growing well. They are innovating in food choices and in payment methods. They have allocated $6 billion for upgrading their restaurants by 2022. The average spend at restaurants is increasing and at all time highs. Yield 2.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $184.20)

SELL
SELL
July 30, 2018

They demonstrate everything that is negative about stock buybacks. You erode your book value and now they trade at 100 times book value. It is trading at only 20 times earnings, however. He calculates a fair market value 46% lower than where it is now. The balance sheet is mediocre, but not strong. He does not think you are buying anything of value with this one.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
July 30, 2018

They demonstrate everything that is negative about stock buybacks. You erode your book value and now they trade at 100 times book value. It is trading at only 20 times earnings, however. He calculates a fair market value 46% lower than where it is now. The balance sheet is mediocre, but not strong. He does not think you are buying anything of value with this one.

BUY
BUY
July 17, 2018

Likes it. Management has done a fine job transforming the company by introducing fresh food, the all-day breakfast, and now fresh burger meat. They are Doing well in mobile pay and introducing delivery. They are keeping current with the times. It isn't a cheap stock, but decent.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
July 17, 2018

Likes it. Management has done a fine job transforming the company by introducing fresh food, the all-day breakfast, and now fresh burger meat. They are Doing well in mobile pay and introducing delivery. They are keeping current with the times. It isn't a cheap stock, but decent.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 17, 2018

This has negative equity (negative price to book). They blew out all their equity in stock buybacks and other payouts. Passive investing has created a growing trend among S&P-500 companies to ignore their valuation because ETF investors don’t do any analysis. This is evident among defense stocks, consumer discretionary companies, consumer staples, and so on. He does not see companies like this going higher and if the company ever stumbles, there is no book value to fall back on.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
July 17, 2018

This has negative equity (negative price to book). They blew out all their equity in stock buybacks and other payouts. Passive investing has created a growing trend among S&P-500 companies to ignore their valuation because ETF investors don’t do any analysis. This is evident among defense stocks, consumer discretionary companies, consumer staples, and so on. He does not see companies like this going higher and if the company ever stumbles, there is no book value to fall back on.

COMMENT
COMMENT
June 18, 2018

Fast food is cyclical based on gas prices. Restaurant sales took off when gas prices plunged in 2014. Also, restaurant haven't seen earnings growth vs. other consumer discretionary spaces. He doesn't see a catalyst for this stock to
improve. That said, it's had a good, long history and their foreign sales are a tailwind.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
June 18, 2018

Fast food is cyclical based on gas prices. Restaurant sales took off when gas prices plunged in 2014. Also, restaurant haven't seen earnings growth vs. other consumer discretionary spaces. He doesn't see a catalyst for this stock to
improve. That said, it's had a good, long history and their foreign sales are a tailwind.

COMMENT
COMMENT
June 8, 2018

Pizza or burgers? McDonald’s has a slight edge over Dominoes. At a 20 PE ratio, MCD-N has a better valuation, whereas DPZ-N still needs to grow into its PE ratio a bit more. He likes both companies with good management and good secular growth. A more conservative position is with MCD-N.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
June 8, 2018

Pizza or burgers? McDonald’s has a slight edge over Dominoes. At a 20 PE ratio, MCD-N has a better valuation, whereas DPZ-N still needs to grow into its PE ratio a bit more. He likes both companies with good management and good secular growth. A more conservative position is with MCD-N.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 23, 2018

It's a both a quick-service restaurant and a REIT. REITs are under pressure, because they're interest-rate sensitive. Restaurants are performing pretty well, including McDonald's. Building digital kiosks in their stores is a good move. But other restaurants, such as Domino's Pizza, have a better growth rate. McDonald's will grow its dividend over time and probably operform in the middle of the pack for a while.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 23, 2018

It's a both a quick-service restaurant and a REIT. REITs are under pressure, because they're interest-rate sensitive. Restaurants are performing pretty well, including McDonald's. Building digital kiosks in their stores is a good move. But other restaurants, such as Domino's Pizza, have a better growth rate. McDonald's will grow its dividend over time and probably operform in the middle of the pack for a while.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 9, 2018

(A Top Pick June 13/17 Up 11%) He is happy with this as they continue to develop mobile applications and rivals Starbucks. They have a great distribution as well. Worldwide sales are rising. Over the past three years the stock price increase has been stellar.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 9, 2018

(A Top Pick June 13/17 Up 11%) He is happy with this as they continue to develop mobile applications and rivals Starbucks. They have a great distribution as well. Worldwide sales are rising. Over the past three years the stock price increase has been stellar.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 1, 2018

It recently touched its last low. It's a so-so chart over the past 3 years. Hold it, but don't be a new buyer.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 1, 2018

It recently touched its last low. It's a so-so chart over the past 3 years. Hold it, but don't be a new buyer.