ZZZ-T
(Past Top Pick Nov. 30, 2017, Down 18%) It just hit 52-week lows, but its earnings from fallen from 18x to 13x. ZZZ had a few weak same-store sales in recent quarters, but not disastrous. The retail story isn't sexy compared to, say, cannabis where investors have poured in. They still dominate mattress sales in Canada. Their new ad campaign is pushing accessories which sees revenue growth. There are fears that the mattress-in- a-box companies will compete, but ZZZ also sells a box beds. It's a mystery to him why Sleep has been hammered. A few good quarters will turn it around. You can buy it now.
(Past Top Pick Nov. 30, 2017, Down 18%) It just hit 52-week lows, but its earnings from fallen from 18x to 13x. ZZZ had a few weak same-store sales in recent quarters, but not disastrous. The retail story isn't sexy compared to, say, cannabis where investors have poured in. They still dominate mattress sales in Canada. Their new ad campaign is pushing accessories which sees revenue growth. There are fears that the mattress-in- a-box companies will compete, but ZZZ also sells a box beds. It's a mystery to him why Sleep has been hammered. A few good quarters will turn it around. You can buy it now.
One of the better IPO's and had run up a lot, but it has been struggling lately. It's facing competition from new players offering cheap beds. They're good operators, and they dominate the Canadian market share, especially since Sears went out of business. The valuation is not expensive and has decreased. It could possibly get bought. He's monitoring the stock.
One of the better IPO's and had run up a lot, but it has been struggling lately. It's facing competition from new players offering cheap beds. They're good operators, and they dominate the Canadian market share, especially since Sears went out of business. The valuation is not expensive and has decreased. It could possibly get bought. He's monitoring the stock.
In general, he finds retail stocks hard to make money on, especially fashion-oriented ones. Sleep Country sells mattresses, not fashion goods, so it is more interesting to him. However, its market cap is too small for his investing approach. He has looked at it several times and has missed several good opportunities in the stock. The stock price has suffered over the past year after very strong growth in the years before that. There has been a proliferation of online providers of mattresses and they are competing effectively against companies like Sleep Country. Sleep Country has gone online as well, and he thinks they provide an excellent customer experience. However, he expects them to lose more share and he expects the stock price to go further down. At some point, the drop will be overdone and it will be a good company to buy. But not yet.
In general, he finds retail stocks hard to make money on, especially fashion-oriented ones. Sleep Country sells mattresses, not fashion goods, so it is more interesting to him. However, its market cap is too small for his investing approach. He has looked at it several times and has missed several good opportunities in the stock. The stock price has suffered over the past year after very strong growth in the years before that. There has been a proliferation of online providers of mattresses and they are competing effectively against companies like Sleep Country. Sleep Country has gone online as well, and he thinks they provide an excellent customer experience. However, he expects them to lose more share and he expects the stock price to go further down. At some point, the drop will be overdone and it will be a good company to buy. But not yet.
Combination of valuation, same store sales and growth. Ticks on all boxes. Trading at 15 times earnings. Leader in their field. Great entry point. Yield 2.4% (Analysts’ price target is $39.11)
Combination of valuation, same store sales and growth. Ticks on all boxes. Trading at 15 times earnings. Leader in their field. Great entry point. Yield 2.4% (Analysts’ price target is $39.11)
There are some US competitors who recently reported poor earnings. The mattress-in-a-box is a real threat to the industry. The recent earnings report showed same store sales growth of only 4.4%, from over 7% previously. He thinks there is an opportunity right now and would begin to step in as a buyer.
There are some US competitors who recently reported poor earnings. The mattress-in-a-box is a real threat to the industry. The recent earnings report showed same store sales growth of only 4.4%, from over 7% previously. He thinks there is an opportunity right now and would begin to step in as a buyer.
(A Top Pick November 30/17 Up 2%) Concerns about the Canadian economy are weighing on this. Shoppers were given bargains following the Sears closure. Mattress in a box competition is growing, which they plan to roll out their own product to combat it.
(A Top Pick November 30/17 Up 2%) Concerns about the Canadian economy are weighing on this. Shoppers were given bargains following the Sears closure. Mattress in a box competition is growing, which they plan to roll out their own product to combat it.
One of the stronger retailers in Canada. They meet his criteria for high return on equity. He thinks it is a good entry point. They are more reasonably priced this year than last because of higher earnings. They are adding stores and are an incredibly well run company. Possibly add to the position.
One of the stronger retailers in Canada. They meet his criteria for high return on equity. He thinks it is a good entry point. They are more reasonably priced this year than last because of higher earnings. They are adding stores and are an incredibly well run company. Possibly add to the position.
They've introduced sheets and pillowcases which enjoy wider margins than mattresses, so they've been doing well. However, they face competition from Casper. Sure, they will grab Sears' market share, but Sears is now liquidating their beds at a discount. Three to five years this will be a buy, but not this year. Rather, own it for the longer term, like three years.
They've introduced sheets and pillowcases which enjoy wider margins than mattresses, so they've been doing well. However, they face competition from Casper. Sure, they will grab Sears' market share, but Sears is now liquidating their beds at a discount. Three to five years this will be a buy, but not this year. Rather, own it for the longer term, like three years.
(A Top Pick Oct 20/17. Down 13%.) Sold this, because revenues have been coming off and the costs are rising. One of the short-term catalysts was Sears going bankrupt, and putting their mattresses on fire sale.
(A Top Pick Oct 20/17. Down 13%.) Sold this, because revenues have been coming off and the costs are rising. One of the short-term catalysts was Sears going bankrupt, and putting their mattresses on fire sale.
They are a Canadian retail success story and there aren’t many of them. They dominate the space they are in. Their net income has been growing lately. They are taking their business model to on-line retailing. He is going to take another hard look at them.
They are a Canadian retail success story and there aren’t many of them. They dominate the space they are in. Their net income has been growing lately. They are taking their business model to on-line retailing. He is going to take another hard look at them.
Chart shows this is coming back to its formal level of around $32 and has been sort of basing. It looks like the market really likes that level, and some of the indicators are starting to turn up. If not sure about the story, the easiest thing to do is to look at the bases the chart shows, and anything below around $32.25, there may be another leg down. Pretty attractive yield. If it breaks down, there is going to be a lot of buying between $32 and $26. Dividend yield of 2%+.
Chart shows this is coming back to its formal level of around $32 and has been sort of basing. It looks like the market really likes that level, and some of the indicators are starting to turn up. If not sure about the story, the easiest thing to do is to look at the bases the chart shows, and anything below around $32.25, there may be another leg down. Pretty attractive yield. If it breaks down, there is going to be a lot of buying between $32 and $26. Dividend yield of 2%+.
It is a good entry point at these levels with the demise of Sears, who were liquidating everything they could. It hurt ZZZ-T temporarily. They have a great runway to open 12 or more stores for the next two years. They are back down to 18 times earnings. It is a great entry point. (Analysts’ target: $41.00).
It is a good entry point at these levels with the demise of Sears, who were liquidating everything they could. It hurt ZZZ-T temporarily. They have a great runway to open 12 or more stores for the next two years. They are back down to 18 times earnings. It is a great entry point. (Analysts’ target: $41.00).
The stock had gotten a bit too expensive, and is still reasonably expensive at north of 20X earnings, but at the same time it is a very dependable business model, as most people would want to try a mattress before they bought it. A brick and mortar business that should live on. There is nothing not to like about this, other than the valuation.
The stock had gotten a bit too expensive, and is still reasonably expensive at north of 20X earnings, but at the same time it is a very dependable business model, as most people would want to try a mattress before they bought it. A brick and mortar business that should live on. There is nothing not to like about this, other than the valuation.
(A Top Pick March 8/17. Up 4%.) Had a weak quarter with lower than expected sales and higher than expected costs in accessories, their high margin stuff. Sears bankruptcy should be good, but Sears is now liquidating their holdings which will create problems. Sold this at $33.79. It needs to be retesting the $37-$38 level before getting in.
(A Top Pick March 8/17. Up 4%.) Had a weak quarter with lower than expected sales and higher than expected costs in accessories, their high margin stuff. Sears bankruptcy should be good, but Sears is now liquidating their holdings which will create problems. Sold this at $33.79. It needs to be retesting the $37-$38 level before getting in.
It has been a position of his for some time. But margins are under pressure. They have been increasing their adverting budget. He thinks there will be pressure on margins for some time. He recently sold it. It was a darling for such a long time and it made a high and then made a lower high. There are better opportunities in the Canadian market.
It has been a position of his for some time. But margins are under pressure. They have been increasing their adverting budget. He thinks there will be pressure on margins for some time. He recently sold it. It was a darling for such a long time and it made a high and then made a lower high. There are better opportunities in the Canadian market.
(A Top Pick Sept 16/16. Up 27%.) Just added to his holdings recently. They had very good execution. Salespeople are very helpful and knowledgeable, unlike the Bay or other big department stores. They’ve also branched out into accessories such as pillowcases, duvets and headboards. Improving about 15 to 20 stores a year. Strong balance sheet and good execution.
(A Top Pick Sept 16/16. Up 27%.) Just added to his holdings recently. They had very good execution. Salespeople are very helpful and knowledgeable, unlike the Bay or other big department stores. They’ve also branched out into accessories such as pillowcases, duvets and headboards. Improving about 15 to 20 stores a year. Strong balance sheet and good execution.
This is executing very well. Very strong balance sheet and a good cash position. Management is keeping an eye on the ball, renovating the stores. Staff are well-trained. (Analysts’ price target is $44.)
This is executing very well. Very strong balance sheet and a good cash position. Management is keeping an eye on the ball, renovating the stores. Staff are well-trained. (Analysts’ price target is $44.)
(A Top Pick Sept 21/16. 0% return.) This has gone up and has come back down. Growth continues to be really strong. Same-store sales growth was 7% and the multiple probably got a little ahead of itself. Also, there is more talk about the online “Bed in a Box”.
(A Top Pick Sept 21/16. 0% return.) This has gone up and has come back down. Growth continues to be really strong. Same-store sales growth was 7% and the multiple probably got a little ahead of itself. Also, there is more talk about the online “Bed in a Box”.
Hasn’t been spending a lot of time working on this, but what is impeding its progress lately probably has more to do with encroaching competition in that industry. There have been more Internet mattress sellers coming on stream lately. Also, they are facing some cost escalations. Feels they are generally facing some fundamental shifts in retail. He would be very sensitive to the valuation you pay on this.
Hasn’t been spending a lot of time working on this, but what is impeding its progress lately probably has more to do with encroaching competition in that industry. There have been more Internet mattress sellers coming on stream lately. Also, they are facing some cost escalations. Feels they are generally facing some fundamental shifts in retail. He would be very sensitive to the valuation you pay on this.
The underperformance in the near term has mostly been related to the last quarter they reported, where same-store sales performance was not as good as the analysts had expected. Over the last number of years, this has been a very, very well-run company, and the stock has done extremely well. Expectations may have gotten too high. They’ve been gaining share from Sears Canada, which should continue.
The underperformance in the near term has mostly been related to the last quarter they reported, where same-store sales performance was not as good as the analysts had expected. Over the last number of years, this has been a very, very well-run company, and the stock has done extremely well. Expectations may have gotten too high. They’ve been gaining share from Sears Canada, which should continue.
(Market Call Minute) It is relatively expensive. Good management, growth and earnings, however.
(Market Call Minute) It is relatively expensive. Good management, growth and earnings, however.
(A Top Pick July 27/16. Up 46.11%.) This continues to execute very well. It has pulled back of late, which is probably from rotation out of the sector. They will be reporting next week, and he expects pretty strong sales again. They’ll probably be helped by all the trouble at Sears, one of their big competitors.
(A Top Pick July 27/16. Up 46.11%.) This continues to execute very well. It has pulled back of late, which is probably from rotation out of the sector. They will be reporting next week, and he expects pretty strong sales again. They’ll probably be helped by all the trouble at Sears, one of their big competitors.
In a good competitive landscape it is focused on the mattress landscape. Its biggest competitors like Sears, are not having a good time of it. Good advertising and refurbishment of their stores is really helping them. It is one he has owned for several months and will likely to continue to own.
In a good competitive landscape it is focused on the mattress landscape. Its biggest competitors like Sears, are not having a good time of it. Good advertising and refurbishment of their stores is really helping them. It is one he has owned for several months and will likely to continue to own.
It has a good run this year based on Sears mattresses. They also had good numbers. There is also a scarcity for consumer stocks in Canada. This is a stable name a decent long term hold. You want to go and test a mattress.
It has a good run this year based on Sears mattresses. They also had good numbers. There is also a scarcity for consumer stocks in Canada. This is a stable name a decent long term hold. You want to go and test a mattress.
(A Top Pick June 6/16. Up 77.73%.) They’ve done very well in executing their marketing campaign. Have been pulling back and not advertising as much. They’ve been taking market share from Department stores as well as adding higher margin accessories.
(A Top Pick June 6/16. Up 77.73%.) They’ve done very well in executing their marketing campaign. Have been pulling back and not advertising as much. They’ve been taking market share from Department stores as well as adding higher margin accessories.
(Top Pick Jun 30/16, Up 75%) They continued to execute very well and have grown business at the stores and got into accessories where they drive more business at a higher margin. Now they moved up because of recent announcements by Sears.
