Shopify Inc.

SHOP-T

TSE:SHOP

608.76
0.00 (0.00%)
Shopify is both a Canadian e-commerce company headquartered in Ottawa, Ontario and the name of its computer software platform for online stores and retail point-of-sale systems.
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Analysis and Opinions about SHOP-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
January 20, 2020

LSPD-T vs. SHOP-T vs. SQ-N. He owned SHOP-T and then sold it and it was a mistake. None of the three companies meet his criteria. They have rapidly growing top line but the bottom line is not where it should be. LSPD-T bought another company recently and the stock price reacted favorably. We don't know enough about their bottom lines to be comfortable with them. These are fairly aggressive positions, especially at these levels. These would not be large allocations but if you wanted a little punt and accepted the volatility then these would probably be okay. SHOP-T would be the leader of the three.

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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
January 20, 2020

LSPD-T vs. SHOP-T vs. SQ-N. He owned SHOP-T and then sold it and it was a mistake. None of the three companies meet his criteria. They have rapidly growing top line but the bottom line is not where it should be. LSPD-T bought another company recently and the stock price reacted favorably. We don't know enough about their bottom lines to be comfortable with them. These are fairly aggressive positions, especially at these levels. These would not be large allocations but if you wanted a little punt and accepted the volatility then these would probably be okay. SHOP-T would be the leader of the three.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
January 13, 2020

Up 190% in the past year--not normal. He bought it in the $80s, but won't buy it now (nor sell it). Yes, it could be an Amazon and go to $2,000, but the downside risk is also huge. Too high. Wait for a pullback, at least.

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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
January 13, 2020

Up 190% in the past year--not normal. He bought it in the $80s, but won't buy it now (nor sell it). Yes, it could be an Amazon and go to $2,000, but the downside risk is also huge. Too high. Wait for a pullback, at least.

BUY
BUY
January 10, 2020
He's long been bullish this. It's not at an insane valuation, but this can become a common name among Canadian shareholders.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
January 10, 2020
He's long been bullish this. It's not at an insane valuation, but this can become a common name among Canadian shareholders.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 9, 2020

Reticence in owning today is the expensive valuation, of about 20x forward earnings. Profitability is still elusive. Concern about liberal use of executive stock options, which amounts to about 10% of revenue. Great company, not a great stock. He prefers Open Text.

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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
January 9, 2020

Reticence in owning today is the expensive valuation, of about 20x forward earnings. Profitability is still elusive. Concern about liberal use of executive stock options, which amounts to about 10% of revenue. Great company, not a great stock. He prefers Open Text.

BUY
BUY
January 2, 2020
It is one of the most expensive stocks on the face of the earth but it is also one of the fastest growing stocks on the earth. He sold half his position. He believes the outlook for their business is great and that it will translate into their stock. You want to diversify the risk in these stocks amongst three or four. Once the revenue growth drop off this stock will really pull back.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
January 2, 2020
It is one of the most expensive stocks on the face of the earth but it is also one of the fastest growing stocks on the earth. He sold half his position. He believes the outlook for their business is great and that it will translate into their stock. You want to diversify the risk in these stocks amongst three or four. Once the revenue growth drop off this stock will really pull back.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 30, 2019
17 times revenues. He is short a bit of it. It is a great Canadian success story but the valuation is insane.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 30, 2019
17 times revenues. He is short a bit of it. It is a great Canadian success story but the valuation is insane.
PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
December 23, 2019
What a stock, going after AMZN-Q. There was a surge in December and the point of resistance is about $550. When it gets there it does not mean we should get out of it. There is a double top. He has had to trim in some portfolios because it has gone up so much. He is not worried about it.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 23, 2019
What a stock, going after AMZN-Q. There was a surge in December and the point of resistance is about $550. When it gets there it does not mean we should get out of it. There is a double top. He has had to trim in some portfolios because it has gone up so much. He is not worried about it.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 11, 2019
The gift you put into your Christmas stocking. Very expensive trading at a high PE and price to sales. On Q3 their revenues were up 45% and online merchants have exceeded 1 million. They are growing loans to their merchants to over $145 million. They are modelling 350% earnings per share growth into 2021. (Analysts’ price target is $467.09)
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 11, 2019
The gift you put into your Christmas stocking. Very expensive trading at a high PE and price to sales. On Q3 their revenues were up 45% and online merchants have exceeded 1 million. They are growing loans to their merchants to over $145 million. They are modelling 350% earnings per share growth into 2021. (Analysts’ price target is $467.09)
BUY
BUY
December 9, 2019
A fantastic company, expanding to become the full-service solution for e-businesses. Their revenue growth has been nosebleed high year after year; you'll never see a cheap valuation. You won't be comfortable buying this, but it will continue to grow strong.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 9, 2019
A fantastic company, expanding to become the full-service solution for e-businesses. Their revenue growth has been nosebleed high year after year; you'll never see a cheap valuation. You won't be comfortable buying this, but it will continue to grow strong.
BUY
BUY
December 6, 2019
A Canadian tech to buy? SHOP has rebounded back into the mid $450s, he would consider this one.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 6, 2019
A Canadian tech to buy? SHOP has rebounded back into the mid $450s, he would consider this one.
Kim Bolton

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Price
$479.250
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
December 4, 2019
The momentum is clearly in your favour here. This year it became parabolic, overbought, then consolidated and now is breaking out again in a classic technical pattern. Has support in its 200-day moving average. Momentum is still positive.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 4, 2019
The momentum is clearly in your favour here. This year it became parabolic, overbought, then consolidated and now is breaking out again in a classic technical pattern. Has support in its 200-day moving average. Momentum is still positive.
Jon Vialoux

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Price
$466.420
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 3, 2019
They did huge business over American Thanksgiving which accounts for the recent spike. But it isn't proven in profitability, so he doesn't own it. Sure, he missed the huge run-up, but will miss the huge drop (if that comes). Are you into speculative stocks or more predictable ones with flatter returns?
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 3, 2019
They did huge business over American Thanksgiving which accounts for the recent spike. But it isn't proven in profitability, so he doesn't own it. Sure, he missed the huge run-up, but will miss the huge drop (if that comes). Are you into speculative stocks or more predictable ones with flatter returns?
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 26, 2019
It’s been a great growth story. He feels that the valuation multiple is very large and this comes with big expectations. At these levels, he wouldn’t start a position here.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 26, 2019
It’s been a great growth story. He feels that the valuation multiple is very large and this comes with big expectations. At these levels, he wouldn’t start a position here.
BUY
BUY
November 26, 2019
Off its 52-week highs. He's a big fan, but got stopped out. Pretty hard to take on the incumbent, Amazon. Shopify executing well, relentless R&D. They've become the full one-stop shop. Be careful, as it's a bit more volatile. Has really good runway. Will probably have a powerful December.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 26, 2019
Off its 52-week highs. He's a big fan, but got stopped out. Pretty hard to take on the incumbent, Amazon. Shopify executing well, relentless R&D. They've become the full one-stop shop. Be careful, as it's a bit more volatile. Has really good runway. Will probably have a powerful December.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 21, 2019
Has never held it. Valuation is high. Try entering at the 200-day moving average. They deal in the small to medium space, so will get hit harder in any slowdown. For tech, he usually looks to the US for Visa, Mastercard.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 21, 2019
Has never held it. Valuation is high. Try entering at the 200-day moving average. They deal in the small to medium space, so will get hit harder in any slowdown. For tech, he usually looks to the US for Visa, Mastercard.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 18, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 3%) It's had a strong run this year, but has pulled back since August. It will re-test the bottom of around $400, but he's confident it will rally again. He likes it. But if this shows lower lows, he will reduce exposure.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 18, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 3%) It's had a strong run this year, but has pulled back since August. It will re-test the bottom of around $400, but he's confident it will rally again. He likes it. But if this shows lower lows, he will reduce exposure.
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 13, 2019
He has built up a position in the US holding. His price target is $375 US. A recent share offering diluted the shares, but now it trades at $4 billion below enterprise value. He has a 3.5% holding in his portfolio.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 13, 2019
He has built up a position in the US holding. His price target is $375 US. A recent share offering diluted the shares, but now it trades at $4 billion below enterprise value. He has a 3.5% holding in his portfolio.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 12, 2019
Benefits from e-commerce. Nothing wrong with this, but the valuation and stock price are very high. The current pullback amounts to the stock getting ahead of itself. Also, they did an equity issue in mid-September which helped pressure the stock price.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 12, 2019
Benefits from e-commerce. Nothing wrong with this, but the valuation and stock price are very high. The current pullback amounts to the stock getting ahead of itself. Also, they did an equity issue in mid-September which helped pressure the stock price.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
November 8, 2019
The stock looks to be finding support here. He would be very cautious. He sold out around $450 from a technical point. He still has half a position though. It was a good day today so he will probably buy back the stocks he sold.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 8, 2019
The stock looks to be finding support here. He would be very cautious. He sold out around $450 from a technical point. He still has half a position though. It was a good day today so he will probably buy back the stocks he sold.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 7, 2019
Great business, but valuation is extremely high and profits are beyond low. It's an enabler. He wants companies that generate profits. You have to be prepared for the valuation to change dramatically. Too aggressive for him.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 7, 2019
Great business, but valuation is extremely high and profits are beyond low. It's an enabler. He wants companies that generate profits. You have to be prepared for the valuation to change dramatically. Too aggressive for him.
HOLD
HOLD
November 6, 2019
Tech stocks will always have air pockets -- momentum comes and goes. They are part of exchange indexes now, so they will benefit when the market goes up (funds need to buy) and when markets breath they will go down.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 6, 2019
Tech stocks will always have air pockets -- momentum comes and goes. They are part of exchange indexes now, so they will benefit when the market goes up (funds need to buy) and when markets breath they will go down.
BUY
BUY
November 4, 2019
Initiate a call option for a strike date of April 2020 at a strike price around $340? Likes Shopify. You will pay a lot for the option because the premiums are high, in the top 25%. Shopify has had a good run, though come off recently. Go ahead and do it. It's a speculative move.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 4, 2019
Initiate a call option for a strike date of April 2020 at a strike price around $340? Likes Shopify. You will pay a lot for the option because the premiums are high, in the top 25%. Shopify has had a good run, though come off recently. Go ahead and do it. It's a speculative move.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 1, 2019
The stock has come down. Software is out of favour with a move towards cyclical tech. They missed on earnings due to one time charges. Revenue growth is slowing that worries investors. However, it's a good time to buy here. They just passed 1M merchants and starting to offer loans to them. Has a very good management team with good growth opportunity.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
November 1, 2019
The stock has come down. Software is out of favour with a move towards cyclical tech. They missed on earnings due to one time charges. Revenue growth is slowing that worries investors. However, it's a good time to buy here. They just passed 1M merchants and starting to offer loans to them. Has a very good management team with good growth opportunity.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 28, 2019
It has performed quite well this year but was volatile over the last few years. Expectations are high so you need a big surprise beat or some news that is not priced in for it go up. He would not buy right before the quarter. The issue is that there are so few technology companies in Canada, that institutions HAVE to be in it. See his top picks today.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 28, 2019
It has performed quite well this year but was volatile over the last few years. Expectations are high so you need a big surprise beat or some news that is not priced in for it go up. He would not buy right before the quarter. The issue is that there are so few technology companies in Canada, that institutions HAVE to be in it. See his top picks today.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 24, 2019

Recent purchase puts it into direct competition with Amazon. Great momentum stock. Valuation is the issue. Trading at over 500x forward earnings, with 45% growth rate. Quite the PEG ratio. Focused on small businesses, so it's super vulnerable in a downturn.

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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 24, 2019

Recent purchase puts it into direct competition with Amazon. Great momentum stock. Valuation is the issue. Trading at over 500x forward earnings, with 45% growth rate. Quite the PEG ratio. Focused on small businesses, so it's super vulnerable in a downturn.

BUY
BUY
October 18, 2019
He recently sold out of this. Although it has pulled back to the 100 day moving average the long term trend line is holding. He expects the $300 range to hold. He likes their future outlook. A good place to buy here.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 18, 2019
He recently sold out of this. Although it has pulled back to the 100 day moving average the long term trend line is holding. He expects the $300 range to hold. He likes their future outlook. A good place to buy here.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 10, 2019
Sold out because it's harder for a large company to grow revenue, expectations were very high, valuation was high, and the parabolic technical chart. Too much risk. Back in a corrective phase, but it would have to be about half this level for the valuation to make sense to him.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 10, 2019
Sold out because it's harder for a large company to grow revenue, expectations were very high, valuation was high, and the parabolic technical chart. Too much risk. Back in a corrective phase, but it would have to be about half this level for the valuation to make sense to him.
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 4, 2019
A real Canadian tech growth story and growing in the US. The question is does it have the legs to be a permanently profitable company? At some point investors need to justify the valuations. He thinks they are at the point to show that sustainability in profits. The IPO markets in the US have recently shown rejections for companies that have not demonstrated a sustainable business.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 4, 2019
A real Canadian tech growth story and growing in the US. The question is does it have the legs to be a permanently profitable company? At some point investors need to justify the valuations. He thinks they are at the point to show that sustainability in profits. The IPO markets in the US have recently shown rejections for companies that have not demonstrated a sustainable business.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 4, 2019
A tricky stock because they have a great business but the earnings multiple is astronomical. It's a technical growth stock. You're in a very volatile situation. If the market sells off, this will be one of the firsts to sell. It's too expensive.
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 4, 2019
A tricky stock because they have a great business but the earnings multiple is astronomical. It's a technical growth stock. You're in a very volatile situation. If the market sells off, this will be one of the firsts to sell. It's too expensive.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 1, 2019
He added to his holding in the last quarter, still likes the chart. All software has had a correction in the past few weeks, but long-term rgowth stocks will move higher. (Analysts’ price target is $469.90)
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
October 1, 2019
He added to his holding in the last quarter, still likes the chart. All software has had a correction in the past few weeks, but long-term rgowth stocks will move higher. (Analysts’ price target is $469.90)
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